THE SALON BLOG SILLY EASTER EGG HUNT"> THE SALON BLOG SILLY EASTER EGG HUNT"> <span style="color: black;">THE SALON BLOG SILLY EASTER EGG HUNT</span>
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THE SALON BLOG SILLY EASTER EGG HUNT







THE SALON
BLOG SILLY EASTER EGG HUNT

THE SALON
BLOG SILLY EASTER EGG HUNT
04/09/2004 03:59 PM

eggHere's a silly publicity stunt I dreamed up to motivate people to check out more of the wonderful Salon Blogs. Last night I 'hid' 10 eggs, like the one at left, one in each of 10 selected Salon Bloggers' comments threads. They are numbered 1 to 10 inclusively. The posts in which they are 'hidden' are no more than one week old (April 2 or more recent). Your challenge is to be the first to find them. When you do, come back here and 'claim' the easter egg by posting, in the comments thread below, which Salon Blog you found it in, and its number.

Then, when you've claimed it, it's your job to hide another egg, in another Salon Blog comment thread (remember -- no going back further than April 2 or it gets too hard). Here's how you do it:
  1. Select a Salon Blog from this list or this list, or any other Salon Blog you know of that has been updated since April 2.
  2. Go to that blog and check to ensure that there aren't already eggs hidden in the last week's posts' comments on that blog. Then select one of the comments threads from the last week and type in (or cut and paste) as your comment this line of code:
Happy Easter!  <img src="http://blogs.salon.com/0002007/images/egg.gif"> xx

where xx is the number ten greater than the egg you found, e.g. if you found egg 7 then the egg you hide would be 17.

Theoretically, we could end up with an egg in the comments of every active Salon Blog. Remember, to claim the egg you have to be the first one to do so in the comments thread below -- if you e-mailed me about it or commented on it elsewhere it doesn't count.

This is just for fun -- no prizes, except the discovery of some great, and underappreciated, blogs. The hunt ends Easter Sunday. Happy Easter, everyone.




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SALON BLOG
DIRECTORY UPDATE - APR.10/04


SALON BLOG
DIRECTORY UPDATE - APR.10/04
04/10/2004 05:46 PM
salon logoI have just updated the full Dire ctory of Active Salon Blogs. You can download it in Excel format by clicking on the link at the top of the right sidebar just below my e-mail link. It contains current information on the owner and subject of each blog, plus current sortable data on  hits/month and inbound blog counts. Please send me details of any missing and new Salon Blogs, and any errors in the Directory. I promise to post any updates I receive to the Directory spreadsheet regularly. Here are the summary statistics for the last month:
  • Total hits per month were about 1.05 million, up 10% from February (due almost entirely to a rebound in Filchyboy's hit count). Of that total, 760 thousand hits (72%) went to the top 11 (7%) of active blogs. Median hit count remains about 700 per month.
  • Inbound blogs totaled about 4150, up 10% from February, with the top 11 active blogs accounting for almost exactly half of them. Median number of inbound blogs remains at 7.
  • The approximate proportion of female Salon bloggers was 42%, the same percentage as in January and February.
  • No longer blogging, it appears, are the passionate Toby's Political Diary (#1282), Asia Business Intelligence (#1319), Everything That Sucks (Come Back, Amanda! #1691), Patriotically Incorrect (#2379),.Lean for Dean (#2429), Doublethink (#2521), Life in LA (We miss you, Claire! #2608), and 16 relatively new bloggers. David Harris is on hiatus.
  • Mambrino's Helmet is back as The Forge.
  • Of the roughly 240 new Salon Blog numbers assigned this past two months (#3412-3642 and #3743-3757), about 90 made at least one post, and the following 36 appear to be posting regularly. That leaves the number of active Salon Blogs at 174, up 14 from February. Welcome to all new Sloggers.
Schnauzer Logic  #3435 
Connecting the Dots  3437 
Vanitas Personae  3446 
Cassandra Predicts  3456 
 Two Fawn's American Indian Movement Pages   3467 
Mindboggling Adventure Tales  3488 
Bartholomew's Notes on Religion  3494 
Saunter & Repose  3517
Avon Calling  3522 
Bill Penrose's Radio Weblog  3530 
The Cassandra Frost Collection  3531 
Lumberg Boinked Her  3552 
Screwing the Pooch  3557 
Poli Sigh  3566 
The Outer Edge  3573 
Matriarch  3577 
Oh My Stars  3580 
The Poche  3591
Bob Rich's Weblog  3592
Douglas Moran's Radio Weblog  3597
XXX Rated Realist  3602 
Rich Whiteley's Radio Weblog  3605
Manhattan Waiter  3612
The Grace Pages  3622
Lucy  3627 
Vietnam Moving Wall in Worland WY  3628 
Ashent TwentyThree's Radio Weblog  3632
What's in Scott's Head  3635
Monkey Labs  3637
Carnival Knowledge  3641
Infidelia  3744 
1.21 Giggawats  3746
Docta Puella  3751 
Enough  3752 
Steve Simard's Radio Weblog  3753 
Heart Attack Diaries  3757 

If I've missed your Salon Blog, or if you know of any active (posted within the last month) active Salon Blogs not in the directory, please let me know. There's just one day left to find the missing Easter eggs (see post below), and a few of them are hidden in the above newbie blogs.

SALON BLOG
DIRECTORY UPDATE - FEB.10/04


SALON BLOG
DIRECTORY UPDATE - FEB.10/04
02/10/2004 01:32 PM
salonI have just updated the full Dire ctory of Active Salon Blogs. You can download it in Excel format by clicking on the link at the top of the right sidebar just below my e-mail link. It contains current information on the owner and subject of each blog, plus current sortable data on  hits/month and inbound blog counts. Please send me details of any missing and new Salon Blogs, and any errors in the Directory. I promise to post any updates I receive to the Directory spreadsheet regularly. Here are the summary statistics for the last month:
  • Total hits for the month were about 950 thousand, down 12% from last month (the decrease was due entirely to a drop in hits for two blogs). Of that total, 700 thousand hits (72%) went to the top 11 (7%) active blogs. Median hit count remains about 700 per month, or about 20 hits per day.
  • Inbound blogs totaled about 3700, up 16% from last month, with the top 11 active blogs accounting for almost exactly half of them. Median number of inbound blogs remains at 7.
  • The approximate proportion of female Salon bloggers was 42%, the same percentage as a month ago.
  • No longer blogging, it appears, are Subdude Citizen, who I'll really miss, Scott Summers' Taiwan Weblog, the Return of the King Countdown blog, Paul & Chris' Paris Travel Commentary, the very stimulating Mambrino's Helmet, and four relative newcomers, Quakergreen, Struggle for Progress, Graphite Furnace and Gabriela's Radio Weblog.
  • Storyteller Hugh Elliott's Standing Room Only is back, as is Short 'n Oblique.
  • Of the roughly 85 new Salon Blog numbers assigned this past month (#3326-3411), about 30 made at least one post, and the following 12 appear to be posting regularly. That leaves the number of active Salon Blogs at 160, almost unchanged from a month ago. Welcome to all new Sloggers.

If I've missed your Salon Blog, or if you know of any active (posted within the last month) active Salon Blogs not in the directory, please let me know.

ACTIVE SALON
BLOGS LIST UPDATED


ACTIVE SALON
BLOGS LIST UPDATED
01/10/2004 03:19 PM
salonI've updated the Dire ctory of Active Salon Blogs. Please send me details on any missing and new Salon Blogs, and errors in the Directory. I promise to post any updates I receive at least once a week.

There are now 159 active (updated in the last month, or officially on vacation but returning) Salon Blogs. Comings & Goings this past month:
  • No longer blogging, it seems: The enormously helpful Charlie Z at Driver 8, the enormously successful Julie Powell of the Julie/Julia Project, Ray of Nobody Loves Raymond, whose blog is MIA, great story-teller Hugh Elliott at Standing Room Only, and Cat M. of Chronicles of an Anti-Apathetic. Their presence in this part of the blogosphere will be sorely missed.
  • Good news: Penny of My So-Called Lesbian Life is back.
  • Daniel X. O'Neil, the veteran Salon blogger at GoogObits who uniquely chronicles the deceased, has moved to his own site.
  • The flight from Radio to Typepad seems to have stopped, at least for now.
  • Of the roughly 100 new Salon Blog numbers assigned this past month, about 40 actually made at least one post, and the following 17 appear to be posting regularly. I especially recommend MallowDrama, Hermit's Notebook, Hoi Polloi and I Don't Know What Happened, which are off to sensational starts. Welcome, new Sloggers all.
Althaea Officinalis: MallowDrama
Hermit's Notebook, A
Theater of the Absurd
Much,Much,More of This and That
Letters to Jessica
Worms of Endearment
Arclist
Gabriela's Radio Weblog
Music Freak's dip into blog-infested waters
Hoi Polloi
I Don't Know What Happened
Living Backstage
You're Getting Very Sleepy
Frances D. Gonzalez's Radio Weblog
Blogcabin - Come Warm Yourself By The Fire
Pan's Garden
75003 Paris

Some stats for this past month:
  • Total hits this month for Salon Blogs were about 1.1 million, up about 8% for the month, but they were very unevenly distributed (even more than usual), with 850 thousand of these hits going to the top 11 blogs. For the typical Slogger, December traffic was about 10% quieter than November, due probably to the holidays. The median for active Salon Bloggers was only about 700 hits per month, about 30 per day.
  • Inbound blogs totaled about 3250, up about 5% month-over-month, with the top 11 blogs accounting for 50% of them. The median for active Salon Bloggers was 7 inbound blogs.
  • About 42% of active Sloggers are female, up significantly from just over 30% three months ago. That's great news, but I don't know what to make of it.
I'll continue to keep the Directory current, with your help, and will report at least bi-monthly on comings & goings and stats.

P.S. I've also updated my Tables of Contents (see top left of my blog). Since Google has, for some reason, stopped crawling How to Save the World, Google is no longer a reliable way to find things in my archives. I'm going to test some other search engines and change my search bar accordingly.

DAVE'S BLOG
CLEANUP PART ONE


DAVE'S BLOG
CLEANUP PART ONE
02/10/2004 02:48 AM
Well, thanks to readers much more tech-savvy than I am, I think I may be able to get Google to start picking up my posts again, and, by tightening up the code of my blogroll, also make the page load faster for those patient readers with dial-up access. So far I have moved the blogroll to the right hand column, so Google will not get bogged down in the blogroll code and give up before it gets to the actual posts. In the process I messed up the masthead, so I've adopted a simple one-piece masthead temporarily.

If this post works properly, I'll then make an additional change to my blogroll, stripping out the table HTML and replacing it with a simple list separated by line breaks. Next post will report on the results of that. Keep your fingers crossed for me.

CONGRATULATIONS ON THE PURCHASE
OF YOUR NEW BLOG


CONGRATULATIONS ON THE PURCHASE
OF YOUR NEW BLOG
02/10/2004 02:48 AM
(Something light to mark the first anniversary of How to Save the World.)

IMPORTANT INSTRUCTIONS - DO NOT DISCARD

warningWARNING
Explosion, Bodily Injury and/or Property Damage may result if these instructions are ignored!

Congratulations on the purchase of this fine product. With proper care and handling it will give you a lifetime of carefree and enjoyable service! Please note it is your responsibility to see that it is properly assembled, installed and cared for.

Secure hair above shoulder length. Secure or remove loose clothing, and jewelry or clothing with loosely hanging ties, straps, tassels etc. They can be caught in moving parts. Long pants and sleeves, boots and gloves, and safety leg guards are recommended when operating. Always wear eye protection. DO NOT operate barefoot or while wearing sandals.

DO NOT operate when you are tired, ill, or under the influence of alcohol, drugs, or medication. Wear hearing protection if you regularly use it more than 1 - 1 1/2 hours per day.

If you smell a foul odour coming from this device, immediately shut it off and extinguish any open flame. If odour continues, immediately call the fire department and evacuate small children and pets from the vicinity. Then carefully test for leaks. Do not check for leaks with a match or open flame.

Very fine materials may clog up this product and prevent it from working properly. Ensure filters are properly installed and functioning to prevent such materials from damaging this unit. Replace the old bag when it becomes full and no longer provides adequate suction.

Never use blades or flailing devices with this product. Objects impacted can cause blindness or injury. Keep firm footing and balance at all times. Do not over-reach. Do not raise the center of balance of the unit above your waist. Never leave it unattended while in operation.

Warning: Loose screws or wing nuts can cause product to unwind and may result in damage or injury. Inspect carefully before each use to ensure all connections are secure.

Always start this unit in 'full choke' position. Remain erect while operating. Do not bend over -- injury may result.

Keep combustible materials, people and animals at least 50 feet away while operating. Keep oil and grease off working surfaces. Product comes pre-oiled and needs no further lubrication to operate properly. Keep operating area well ventilated and never smoke while operating. Do not use in garages, sheds, or breezeways. Do not install or use in recreational vehicles or boats.

Product must be equipped with a safety relief valve. Failure to install and use this valve voids your warranty.

If your model has an (optional) Viewing Window: Do not use sharp tools to remove sales materials from Viewing Window, and avoid using in heavy rain. If Window shatters, any food in the area should not be eaten.

Before each use, look for and replace damaged and loose parts. After each use, scrub thoroughly with a long-handled brass brush. Do not use commercial oven cleaners. Spiders' webs can block flow - remove with pipe cleaner.

Break product in gently before first major use. Avoid serious impact. Keep it level and stable at all times. Move only with extreme care. Some intermittent snapping and popping noises are normal. Do not allow a fixed picture to remain on the screen for a prolonged period.

Shock, or sparks visible at contact points, is evidence of improper grounding. If snow is visible, you may be operating in a fringe area.

If this unit is to remain unused for an extended period of time, it should be lightly oiled, wrapped in paper and stored in a cool, dry place.

And as with any dangerous and complex equipment, keep this product out of reach of children.

We hope you enjoy your new purchase. Should you encounter any problems during assembly or operation, our friendly 24-hour service staff will be pleased to resolve them to your complete satisfaction.

Postscript Warning: The exhaust from this product contains chemicals known to the State of California to cause cancer, birth defects, and other reproductive harm.

(All of the 'warnings' in this post have been taken verbatim from various manuals for household appliances that, for some reason, I have kept)

BLOG SUCCESS
FORMULA: FILL AN UNMET NEED


BLOG SUCCESS
FORMULA: FILL AN UNMET NEED
09/15/2004 03:13 PM
hunger
Regular readers know that my mantra for entrepreneurial success is Fill an Unmet Need. A couple of readers have suggested that this might also be the formula for blogging success.

I got some confirmation that this might be true from reading the results of an exhaustiv e survey of 17,000 readers of 50 top political blogs conducted by WebAds. Key findings for this unique category of readers:
  • Their reason for reading these blogs is to get news they can't find in mainstream media (80%), get better perspective on the news (78%), get news faster (66%), and get more honest coverage of the news (60%)
  • Politically they tilt somewhat liberal-libertarian (only 22% Republican), and their favourite blogs in order are Atrios, DailyKos, Talking Point Memo, Drudge Report  and Washington Monthly Political Animal (formerly CalPundit). They don't tend to read other political blogs or blogs on other subjects (the median number of blogs read daily is 6, and most read one of the above top 5 more than once a day). They spend a median 90 minutes a day reading blogs.
  • Demographically they're 79% male, affluent (median family income $80,000), close to middle-aged (median age 37) and disproportionately techies or students.
  • They're heavy readers of other print news and analysis media (22% read The New Yorker, more than any other magazine) but rarely catch TV or radio news. Only one in five has their own blog.
What are we to conclude from this data? Here's my take:
  1. This group is not representative of all blog readers (for a start, the respondents don't appear to read the enormously popular tech blogs). In general, there is no such thing as an 'average' blog reader. Blog readership consists of perhaps millions of very discrete and different segments, all reading different blogs for different reasons.
  2. Most women blog readers (who according to other surveys make up close to half of all blog readers) are reading very different stuff from most male blog readers. Since the two most popular 'categories' of blogs, according to Technorati, are political and technical blogs, that also suggests that women read a much broader variety of blogs than men do.
  3. These immensely popular political blogs are filling an unmet need for detailed news and analysis with a liberal slant -- precisely the need that The New Yorker, their favourite magazine, also fills.. For conservatives, that need is largely met by the preponderance of low-brow right-wing talk radio shows (which also have an overwhelmingly male audience).
  4. For the 80% who don't have their own blog, these blogs' comments threads also fill another unmet need -- an outlet for expression of readers' personal views on matters that are important to them. The equivalent of dialling in to talk radio.
If you use Shirky's Power Law, you can compute that these 50 political blogs, almost all of which are among the 250 most popular blogs overall, attract about 10% of all blog reader hits -- about three million hits per day. But there are an estimated 100 million blog readers worldwide, who between them read 30 million blog posts in a given day, only half of which is directed to the top 250 blogs. And there are a lot more non-blog readers out there Googling to find something that meets their unmet needs.

So if you're one of those bloggers (or prospective bloggers) who defines 'success' as a lot of readers, how do you go about finding out what current (and prospective) blog readers' needs are? I suggest you can do this the same way you identify unmet business needs: by doing focused research and getting creative. Here's where to look for unmet needs (this is exactly the advice I gave budding and struggling entrepreneurs looking for unmet consumer needs, except I've changed the word 'business' to 'blog' and 'buy' to 'read'):
  • Changes: Look at changes and trends in society. What issues are hot, and what do people need to know about them, that they're not getting from the mainstream media? How are people's attitudes changing? How are their reading behaviours changing? What do people care about that the mainstream media aren't talking about? For example, if people think the news has too many facts and not enough answers, too much cold, objective information and not enough candid admission of fear and doubt, can you attract an audience by writing something deeply personal and heartfelt about it?
  • Complaints: What are people complaining about, when they talk about the media and about other blogs? Every complaint reflects an unmet need, and an opportunity for a new blog. For example, if people think the news is too serious, can you attract an audience by writing something humorous about it?
  • Problems: What problems are people facing? What's keeping people awake at night? What information or reassurance could you offer that would let them sleep better?
  • Empty Niches: What small "niches of information, inspiration or entertainment need" exist that are not satisfied by the media? What do some people think there's never enough information about? For example, can your blog fill readers' unmet passion for information about the arts, or about language, or good photography?
  • Information Gaps: What are the gaps in the 'information spectrum'? Are there personal insights or first-hand accounts you could provide, because of your unique position, experience, knowledge or physical location that would help fill those gaps? For example, do you have a unique perspective about your community that gives meaning to the barrage of meaningless facts you read in the news? 
  • Drilling Down and Following Up: Likewise, is there a new information service that you could 'attach' to an existing media outlet or blog? The media and the most popular journalists, writers and bloggers never have enough time or resources to do follow-up stories, in-depth research, surveys or interviews about things they have written about, and when someone else fills that need they are usually more than willing to link to it, sending a horde of new readers your way.
  • Discontinuities: Business guru Peter Drucker identifies seven areas of innovation opportunity resulting from what he calls discontinuities, all of which can be used to identify prospective issues that have not yet been covered in the news, that many people would probably like to read about:
    • Unexpected  or 'what if' occurrences (if Kerry wins in November, what should we do first?)
    • Perception/reality incongruities (when we realize that greenhouse gases will bring about massive climate and environmental change in our lifetimes, how will this affect our lives?)
    • Weaknesses or needs in political and social and educational processes and systems (some believe the electoral college is an anachronism -- should it just be disbanded?; Is there a better way to measure well-being than GDP?)
    • Industry and market changes (what will $160/barrel oil mean to us all?)
    • Demographic changes (with a huge number of people retiring in the next 10-20 years, what will we do with our time?)
    • Peoples' attitude and priority changes (is the trend to 'cocooning' unhealthy -- is it narrowing our perspective of the world and our ability to see other points of view?)
    • New scientific and business knowledge (how will RFID devices change the way we live, shop, work, and protect our privacy?)
  • Basic Human Needs: Look at basic, overarching human needs: Health, safety, education, time, decent quality of life, meaning, recreation. How are our experiences of these things currently unsatisfactory, why is that, and how might they be improved?
  • Personal Insights: What lessons from history, or your own personal history, or the history of people you know, can you relate that would increase understanding of the meaning of all the news we're bombarded with? For example, do you know of Palestinians or people from Darfur or Rwanda whose personal stories you can tell to explain what's really going on there and why it's happening?
  • Exploiting Blogs' Advantages over Traditional Media: Consider the advantages of blogs -- comments threads that allow feedback; intimacy; speed-to-market; independence from shareholders and advertisers -- that you can exploit. The newspapers and magazines carry recipes, for example, but a blog would allow you to actually converse about how the recipes turned out.
  • Helping People Out: What ways can you help people, by drawing on and writing about areas where you have particular expertise, experience, insight or talent?
How do you discover these unmet needs? By talking to people who spend some time online, asking them questions and listening. By reading voraciously. When you find them, make sure they're needs you can fill: If you discover that people want to know what life in North Korea is really like, there's no point trying to satisfy that need unless you at least know people who've lived there. And you might sometimes discover that the reason for an information void is that the information people are seeking simply doesn't exist.

And here's a reminder about what, from my own previous research and experience, blog readers want to see more of (each of which implies unmet needs):
  1. original research, surveys etc.
  2. original, well-crafted fiction
  3. great finds: resources, blogs, essays, artistic works
  4. news not found anywhere else
  5. category killers: aggregators that capture the best of many blogs/feeds, so they need not be read individually
  6. clever, concise political opinion
  7. benchmarks, quantitative analysis
  8. personal stories, experiences, lessons learned
  9. first-hand accounts
  10. live reports from events
  11. insight: leading-edge thinking & novel perspectives
  12. short educational pieces
  13. relevant "aha" graphics
  14. great photos
  15. useful tools and checklists
  16. précis, summaries, reviews and other time-savers
  17. fun stuff: quizzes, self-evaluations, other interactive content
How important is it that you have a single theme to your blog, something that will keep readers coming back, and not annoy them with stuff they don't expect to find on your blog and don't want to read about? As the owner of the world's most themeless blog (I'm always at a loss when people ask me what 'category' or 'type' of blog How to Save the World is), I would suggest it is somewhat important, but not important enough to let it get in the way of your muse. Readers will tell you (by their declining numbers, or lack of comments, or by e-mail) when you're no longer filling a need. Most blog tools allow you to establish different categories for different blog posts, or even maintain completely separate blogs with no cross-posting, if your subjects have completely different audiences.

But what if you don't care how many readers you have? I would suggest that, in that case, blogging fills an unmet internal need for you personally. Whether that's the ability to think out loud and clarify your own thoughts, or to keep in touch with a small circle of friends you can't meet face-to-face as often as you'd like, or to practice your writing skills, or to organize and document your personal filing cabinet or your 'personal memory' before information and ideas are lost or misplaced, these are important personal needs (for some of us, anyway) that blogging fills. But you might just find, as I did, that in the process of filling those personal needs, you also fill the unmet needs of others, and your audience becomes surprisingly large. And then, like me, you'll begin to feel a responsibility to continue to fill that unmet need for your readers. That's when you know you're hooked on blogging.

And if you quit blogging, as most bloggers do, I'll bet it's because either you, or your readers, have found something else that meets your, or their, unmet needs better.

Photo from Agence France Presse via the excellent Glob al Policy Forum, a reminder that for many of us, there are unmet needs more urgent than information, inspiration and entertainment.

THINK
GLOBAL, ACT LOCAL: PETER SINGER'S
ONE
WORLD


THINK
GLOBAL, ACT LOCAL: PETER SINGER'S
ONE
WORLD
04/23/2004 09:24 AM
one worldIf you're a regular reader of this blog, you probably know that I'm opposed to unregulated 'free' trade, very worried about the extraterritoriality of the WTO, NAFTA, Davos and other corporatist captives, strongly opposed to domestic corporations 'offshoring' jobs, using influence with the Bush regime and other right-wing governments to circumvent social and environmental laws and responsibilities, and a great believer in taking the pledge to buy local, and in community self-sufficiency.

At the same time, I'm a strong supporter of the UN and other multi-lateral NGOs, and I believe that we each have a responsibility for the well-being of all the people and creatures of this world. Some readers have said this view is inconsistent, and I wasn't quite sure how to respond to such charges. Fortunately, Peter Singer, in his recent book on global ethics, One World: The Ethics of Globalization, has come to my rescue. Singer sees no inconsistency between strong local autonomy, community, and self-sufficient economies on the one hand, and global responsibility on the other. The book is based on the Dwight Terry lectures at Yale in 2000, but has been updated to incorporate reflection on the events of 9/11 and the appalling Bush social, environmental and economic record.

I'll have more to say next week about Bush's fraudulent and despicable Earth Day media blitz, and the major media's shameless lack of critical evaluation of the utter nonsense that his propaganda machine has been churning out this week on the environment -- newspeak of Orwellian proportions. The first part of Singer's book deals with environmental responsibility, and his prescription for increasing it -- immediate ratification of Kyoto by the US and other holdout countries, and introduction of an emissions trading mechanism to make the realization of Kyoto feasible (subject to the need for some oversight on the disposition of the proceeds of such trading when it involves autocratic governments).

The second part of the book deals with the global economy, and Singer adroitly tears apart the Economist's (and other neocons') naive assertion that economic globalization somehow benefits both rich and poor countries. He then goes on to prescribe a substantial reform of the WTO and the GATT, which could actually lead to more equitable distribution of wealth and more efficient production of economic goods, while safeguarding human rights, labour and the environment. Unfortunately, the multi-national corporations and corporatists who hold sway in the WTO would never tolerate Singer's prescription, since it would entirely divert the benefits of economic globalization from their pockets to those of the world's poor.

The third part of the book deals with international law, and Singer lashes out at Bush for his unconscionable refusal to ratify the International Court of Justice, and for the UN's continued hesitancy to accept a duty (not a right) to intervene in situations of genocide and other humanitarian crises, even within a single nation. Singer is sanguine about the limitations and dangers of 'global government', but supports strengthening the UN to enable it to act as a 'protector of last resort', and including in its mandate the responsibility to supervise elections in all member nations.

The fourth and final part goes back to ethical principles and proposes that countries must, in this world where national boundaries no longer have any logistic meaning, set aside national interest and embrace, once and for all, global interest, impartially. That does not mean cultural homogenization, but imposes a responsibility for the reduction of inequality, both of economic resources and personal rights and freedoms.

Always the pragmatist, Singer concludes by worrying out loud about how the responsibility for a global ethic could be managed:

It is widely believed that a world government would be, at best, an unchecked bureaucratic behemoth that would make the bureaucracy of the EU look lean and efficient. At worst, it would become a global tyranny, unchecked and unchallengeable. These thoughts have to be taken seriously. How to prevent global bodies becoming either dangerous tyrannies or self-aggrandizing bureaucracies, and instead make them effective and responsive to the people whose lives they affect? It is a challenge that should not be beyond the best minds in the fields of political science and public administration.

I'd like to believe that this was possible, because if it isn't, we're in serious trouble. We cannot expect national governments to set aside parochial interests, especially when this entails accepting a responsibility that would, for the richer nations, inevitably lead to a drastic redistribution of wealth to poorer nations and hence a sudden and sharp reduction in, at least, economic living standards (if not necessarily well-being). But as John Ralston Saul has so eloquently argued, larger organizations and institutions, whether public or private, are almost always, and inherently, less efficient, less agile, more resistant to change, more hierarchic, and less transparent than smaller organizations. So the challenge is to achieve the best of both worlds, having organizations of global scope and authority and responsibility, but broken up into sufficiently small, autonomous and dynamic units that they are sensitive, resilient, responsible and responsive to the people and communities they serve. We can only hope that "the best minds in the fields of political science and public administration", wherever they are, are up to the task.

BUSH
EMPLOYMENT PROMISES - UPDATE


BUSH
EMPLOYMENT PROMISES - UPDATE
08/07/2004 12:14 PM
US Employment
As promised in February, here's an update on the US employment data. After a lot of ballyhoo in recent months, the US Department of Labour has released terrible July employment growth data, and quietly revised downwards the employment data for the previous two months. The latest 'preliminary' (subject to additional revision) numbers for June and July are 131.24 and 131.27 million respectively. Even assuming a resumption of the very modest increase rate in the Spring, employment is unlikely to reach 132 million by the end of the year. This compares to 132.4 million when Bush 'took' office four years ago, and 135.3 million promised last January (though by one interpretation of his mangled speech, he was really only promising 132.5 million). This would make Bush the first president since the great depression to record an absolute loss in total employment during his administration.

In order just to match the 150 thousand new entrants to the labour force each month due to population increase, employment should be rising by 1.8 million per year, and should now be nearing 139 million. What's worse, the quality of the new jobs created has been exceptionally poor. Rather than creating high value, knowledge-intensive jobs to replace the jobs offshored to lower-wage countries, nine out of ten of the highest-growth sectors of employment are low-wage, low-expectation jobs (food service, secretarial etc.) Most growth continues to be in part-time and temporary jobs. No surprise that so many have just given up looking for work. So much for trickle-down economics, and the promised stimulus of Bush's tax giveaway to his rich friends.

Yet a recent AP-Ipsos poll reports 46% of Americans 'approve' of Bush's handling of the economy. Who are these people and what have they been smoking?

DEALING WITH
GRIEF: UNPROFESSIONAL ADVICE


DEALING WITH
GRIEF: UNPROFESSIONAL ADVICE
06/03/2004 05:25 AM
depression
I've written twice before about suicide, and a new 'advice column' in Salon.com has provoked me to write about it again. The gist of my earlier articles:
  1.  Depression is a 'natural' consequence of stress, and, as the illustration above shows, it is somewhat self-reinforcing: our DNA programs us, in situations of intense or chronic stress, to flight or flee, and if neither of those works, to shut down, withdraw, give up -- and suicide is one manifestation of shutting down and giving up;
  2. If you haven't lived with the Noonday Demon, you can't possibly know what it's like, and you can't possibly know how it can lead someone to take their own life; and
  3. Moral judgement of those who commit suicide is repugnant -- no one has the right to tell another human being that their personal decision to terminate their own life is 'cowardly', 'irresponsible', 'lazy', "petulant', 'immature', 'self-pitying' 'self-indulgent', 'murderous', or 'cynical and cruel'. To call someone who commits suicide a 'self-murderer' is indistinguishable from and as morally reprehensible and outrageous as calling a woman who terminates an unwanted pregnancy a 'baby murderer'.
So you will probably not be surprised to learn that I was horrified to hear Salon 'advice columnist' Cary Tennis encourage a survivor of a friend's suicide to hate and blame the one who took his own anguished life. Hate-mongering offends me at the best of times, and to see it espoused against those suffering a dreadful and incapacitating illness is disturbing. Here are two especially offensive excerpts:

Sentimentalizing suicide only encourages others who, weak-minded, pained, lacking the ability to see how foolish and wrong it is, might succeed all too well in their feeble attempts.

When they go by suicide, they leave us in an insult of dust.

What fucking gall, Mr. Tennis -- and such cruel and inflammatory language. Those who commit suicide are not weak-minded, and if this 'advice columnist' had the faintest inkling what it is like to live with suicidal depression he would know better. And who the hell does he think he is to judge the actions of someone he has never met as 'foolish and wrong'?

Mr. Tennis should also know that suicide is almost never an 'insult' to anyone. It is an act of desperation, usually after years of unimaginable suffering, to escape a living hell that the victim -- yes, victim -- can no longer bear. It usually has nothing to do with anyone else, so the last thing it is is an insult to others.

To counsel people, especially people in pain after an unexpected and shocking loss, to hate and blame the deceased is an affront to human dignity, an abuse of trust, and an offense to the memory of someone who was a victim, not a 'murderer'.

There is a perverse character flaw in some people to always assuage grief by transferring it to anger and blame. Grief is internal, and it can eat you alive. Anger and blame are externally focused. They are much easier emotions to handle. And in some cases -- like rechanneling the grief over 9/11 into anger at Osama bin Ladin -- such transferance is quite rational. But although the exploitative 'vengeance' religions would have you believe otherwise, when people suffer and die there is often no one to blame, no one to get angry at. And reaching closure, like dealing with grief, is an internal process. It is about personally coming to grips with loss, with the realization that the toxic 'what might have been' is irrelevant, a fiction, closed. It is a slow, painful healing process. And it is a process best undertaken honestly. Using some cheap trick like transferring the pain to anger and blame of a phony straw man merely perverts and delays the process, and stirs up inappropriate emotions that can only confuse and inflame, not heal.

Some advice, we're better off without.

THE MOST
IMPORTANT IDEAS OF 2003 - PART
TWO


THE MOST
IMPORTANT IDEAS OF 2003 - PART
TWO
01/16/2004 11:01 AM
This is the second in a series of articles that will be published intermittently this month. This article summarizes what I believe were the most important ideas of 2003 in the world of politics and economics. The first article in the series covered the world of blogs & blogging, and future articles will cover business, the arts & sciences, and the environment.

line

POLITICS & ECONOMICS -- THE TEN MOST IMPORTANT IDEAS OF 2003

wal-mart dilemma
I make no apologies for the fact that this list reflects my perspective on the political compass (-8.2, -8.0). Those with conservative or authoritarian views are welcome to make their own lists.
  1. Constitutional liberalism must precede democracy, if the democracy is going to endure - Fareed Zakaria makes this point in his best-seller The Future of Freedom. The ill-advised approach of imperialists throughout history, including the US today in Iraq, of trying to impose democracy before the institutions that nurture and sustain it have been introduced and taken root, is doomed to failure. The future of Iraq is inevitably division, civil war, and more totalitarianism, and only the Iraqis can, and will, decide when they're ready for the bold experiment with democracy, on their own terms.
  2. The alternative to 'free' trade is 'fair' trade, not no trade - The work of economist Herman Daly shows that the 'market' is efficient at deciding how best to allocate scarce resources to producers, but incapable of governing the equally important tasks of ensuring distributive justice in the allocation of economic products, and the optimal scale of production of those economic products. Governments, representing the best interests of their people, must be free to intervene in markets to regulate these latter two attributes of an optimal trade system.
  3. A non-violent, global, connected, consensual politic has the power to withhold consent for war or tyranny - In his book The Unconquerable World, Jon Schell cites the success of Ghandi's and King's non-violent activism, and the peaceful disintegration of the Soviet bloc, to argue that popular refusal to obey an oppressive government, irrational law or unwarranted call to arms can undermine the mightiest of governments or tyrants bloodlessly, and bring about needed domestic and international reforms in politics, law, peace-keeping, and social and environmental programs and institutions.
  4. Terrorism is a reaction, not an action - The work of George Lakoff demonstrates that liberals and conservatives have fundamentally different worldviews that dictate, among other things, how they believe violence and disobedience to authority should be dealt with. The conservative 'strict father' worldview believes in might-makes-right authority, strict obedience, and severe punishment for disobedience. The liberal 'nurturing parent' worldview believes that people are basically good, that fairness should dictate policy, and that consensus and discussion are healthy. Where conservatives see terrorists as disobedient children who need to be disciplined, liberals see terrorism as a symptom of deprivation and desperation, and see the need to treat the underlying symptoms (poverty and oppression) to solve the problem.
  5. Our education system breeds a sense of helplessness, acquiescence, fear, guilt about poverty, and self-loathing - As the writings of John Taylor Gatto reveal, the education system is, despite the valiant and well-intentioned efforts of teachers, the means by which the vast majority of people today are subdued, dumbed-down, kept in line, and reduced to passive consumers instead of active citizens. Without reform of the education system, other political, economic and legal reforms will be ineffective.
  6. The search for endless productivity improvement is a race to the bottom - In its study of the success of Wal-Mart, Fast Company magazine showed how the company's single-minded preoccupation with ever-lower prices at any cost was driving the North American economy to massive offshoring, the sacrifice of quality, and the bankrupting of some very good companies. The spiral has been called 'the race to the bottom' and I illustrate it in the diagram above that I call 'The Wal-Mart Dilemma'. We need to strike a balance between low prices on the one hand, and the preservation of North American jobs and high product quality on the other. If we don't, Wal-Mart will decide for us, and their choice is clear.
US income

  1. The American middle class is disappearing - Harvard Law Professor Elizabeth Warren's new book The Two Income Trap shows that massive increases in costs of housing (especially in areas with prestige schools), health insurance, transportation and education have opened up a chasm between America's 'haves' and 'have nots', most notably pushing middle-class parents to the verge of bankruptcy in huge numbers. What's worse, the shame and stigma of bankruptcy is preventing the afflicted parents from seeking recourse against usurious lenders, or even talking openly about this growing, life-destroying problem. The resultant massive concentration of power and wealth in America (see chart above) has enormous implications for the country's future.
  2. The next economy will support consumers holistically to solve their problems, not just sell them products - In her book The Support Economy, Shoshana Zuboff argues that what is needed is a new economic layer, a 're-intermediation', between the producer and consumer, which consists of 'federations' of businesses and 'advocates' who work collaboratively to look after the busy consumer's needs cradle-to-grave and deal with the multiple suppliers in the product/service delivery process. I confess I don't share the author's exuberance that such 'support' will be affordable by any except the rich elite, but so many people I respect loved this book and its ideas that I felt I had to include it.
  3. Our fixation with helplessness distorts our perceptions of risk and leads us to make dysfunctional decisions - In an article explaining our passion for SUVs and the dangerous feeling of invincibility they give us, Malcolm Gladwell explores the concept of Learned Helplessness -- our perspective failure to realize that the risks posed to life and limb by forces outside our control are dwarfed by the factors we can control. And it's in the media's and politicians' best interests to pander to this misperception -- to get us focused on things like terrorism, Mad Cow and SARS that no one can really do anything about, distracting us from far greater but less sensational dangers we can, with money and effort, fix -- things like air and water pollution, tainted food from corrupt and underregulated meat packers, drugs in sport and airplane cockpits, drunk drivers, kids with guns, corporate frauds, gerrymandering, and our fatally flawed education and prison systems and treatment of the mentally ill. Things that destroy hundreds of thousands of lives every year.
  4. US debt threatens global economic collapse - Even the US-dominated Internation al Monetary Fund is now sounding the alarm that the massive and irresponsible debt built up in three short years by the Bush regime is the greatest threat to the global economy, and with it, our jobs and life savings, since the reckless conditions that precipitated the great depression.

AMERICAN
PROGRESSIVES GET ANGRY, AND BUSY


AMERICAN
PROGRESSIVES GET ANGRY, AND BUSY
07/17/2004 01:18 PM
kucinichA few interesting lefty sites to look at as weekend reading:

The indomitable Bill Moyers tells why progressives should be angry, and not complacent, about what has happened to the political, social, educational and economic systems in the US in the past few decades. My favourite excerpts:

A profound transformation is occurring in America: the balance between wealth and the commonwealth is being upended. By design. Deliberately. We have been subjected to what the Commonwealth Foundation calls “a fanatical drive to dismantle the political institutions, the legal and statutory canons, and the intellectual and cultural frameworks that have shaped public responsibility for social harms arising from the excesses of private power.” From land, water and other natural resources, to media and the broadcast and digital spectrums, to scientific discovery and medical breakthroughs, and to politics itself, a broad range of the American commons is undergoing a powerful shift toward private and corporate control. And with little public debate. Indeed, what passes for ‘political debate’ in this country has become a cynical charade behind which the real business goes on –the not-so scrupulous business of getting and keeping power in order to divide up the spoils...Let’s face the reality: If ripping off the public trust; if distributing tax breaks to the wealthy at the expense of the poor; if driving the country into deficits deliberately to starve social benefits; if requiring states to balance their budgets on the backs of the poor; if squeezing the wages of workers until the labor force resembles a nation of serfs – if this isn’t class war, what is? It’s un-American. It’s unpatriotic. And it’s wrong...What we need is a mass movement of people like you. Get mad, yes – there’s plenty to be mad about. Then get organized and get busy. This is the fight of our lives.

And he quotes this gem from Time magazine:

“When powerful interests shower Washington with millions in campaign contributions, they often get what they want. But it’s ordinary citizens and firms that pay the price and most of them never see it coming. This is what happens if you don’t contribute to their campaigns or spend generously on lobbying. You pick up a disproportionate share of America’s tax bill. You pay higher prices for a broad range of products from peanuts to prescriptions. You pay taxes that others in a similar situation have been excused from paying. You’re compelled to abide by laws while others are granted immunity from them. You must pay debts that you incur while others do not. You’re barred from writing off on your tax returns some of the money spent on necessities while others deduct the cost of their entertainment. You must run your business by one set of rules, while the government creates another set for your competitors. In contrast, the fortunate few who contribute to the right politicians and hire the right lobbyists enjoy all the benefits of their special status. Make a bad business deal; the government bails
them out. If they want to hire workers at below market wages, the government provides the means to do so. If they want more time to pay their debts, the government gives them an extension. If they want immunity from certain laws, the government gives it. If they want to ignore rules their competition must comply with, the government gives its approval. If they want to kill legislation that is intended for the public, it gets killed.”

This is part of the Demos website. Thanks to Ge ntleBreeze's excellent blog for the link.

And once they're angry enough, American Progressives now have an organizing body to do something about this travesty: The Progressive Vote PAC's United Progressive Alliance is working at the grassroots level to reform the Democratic Party into a genuinely progressive party, or at least get some progressive planks in its platform, from the bottom up.

A
PRESCRIPTION FOR BUSINESS INNOVATION -
PART THREE


A
PRESCRIPTION FOR BUSINESS INNOVATION -
PART THREE
04/27/2004 01:12 PM
Four years ago I wrote a well-received paper entitled A Prescription for Business Innovation: Creating Technologies that Solve Basic Human Needs. I've updated it, broken it into three manageable pieces, and present the third part below. The first part, which reviewed the history of human innovation and technology, is here, the second part, which described the current environment for innovation, is here.

Six: Prescription for an Innovative Organization

Innov ProcessThe first four years of the century have seen some serious setbacks in business innovation. The corporatist-backed Bush administration has introduced legislation to reduce corporate liability to consumers, and has been extremely lax in enforcing social and environmental laws. Organizations like the RIAA and Nike have showed that the courts will allow large corporations great latitude to sue customers (including infringing on their privacy rights) and to lie to customers in their advertising (about sweatshop operations, offshoring etc.) Corporations like Enron have abused public trust and destroyed thousands of families' livelihoods and life savings. And massive defense and security expenditures have siphoned off funds that might have been invested in innovation, and have made corporations and lenders nervous about any investment while governments and corporations are so seriously overextended and exposed to interest rate fluctuations. The result is a climate of great animosity between corporations and customers, and unprecedented risk aversion.

At the same time, recent surveys indicate a growing corporate awareness that "you cannot cut (or offshore) your way to greatness", that the limit to improving profitability by reducing costs and margins has now more or less been reached, and that innovation must again move to the forefront if corporations are to have any hope of sustaining that profitability.

So corporations are looking for low-cost, effective ways to develop new products, new processes, new delivery channels and new technologies that will meet important human needs, provide real value to customers, and be affordable by those customers. This challenge occurs at a time when the distribution of wealth among customers is massively skewed, both within and between nations, towards a tiny elite, when many governments and most corporations and individuals are buried under a crushing debt load, and when the need for innovation to solve critical environmental, social and political problems has never been higher. Simply put, we are living in an age when we cannot afford innovation, and cannot afford to be without it. Perhaps the most critical innovation need therefore is for creative mechanisms to finance, price and pay for the costs of innovation itself. Funding, pricing, and cost management are now inseparable parts of the innovation process.

The prescription I propose draws on a wide variety of innovation processes that have been advanced by thought leaders on the subject, especially during the 1990s when the appetite for investment in innovation peaked, including Peter Drucker's, Cap Gemini's, Credit Suisse's, Gary Hamel's, and others listed in the bibliography below. This prescription draws as well from several innovation processes that I am personally aware of from my years working with Ernst & Young and its clients, and some lessons from how nature, which has been innovating since long before we appeared on the planet, goes about it.

This prescription has eighteen steps in eight stages illustrated in the chart above: Listen, Understand, Organize, Create, Experiment, Listen Again, Design, and Implement. The three stages shown in blue -- Understanding, Organizing and Implementing -- are analytical processes, well-suited to the left-brained deductive thinkers who predominate in most organizations. The three stages shown in green -- Creating, Experimenting, and Designing -- are creative processes, better suited to right-brained inductive thinkers who are relatively scarce in most organizations. The two Listening stages shown in red are communication processes, that need to involve customers and other stakeholders, and everyone in the organization involved in the innovation process. Assigning (or contracting) the right people for each stage in the process is essential to its effectiveness, and to its affordability. If it's done well, it can draw on the strengths of everyone inside and outside the organization who has a stake in a successful innovation effort.

Here are the eighteen steps. They are in reasonably sequential order, but are somewhat recursive: For example, as part of creating alternative solutions (step 12) it may be necessary to go back and scan for some additional ideas (step 1). Who should do each step depends to some extent on the industry and size of your organization: Large organizations may benefit from having a dedicated Innovation Team responsible for this, while in a very small organization it may be a scheduled part-time task of the whole management team, drawing as well on the diverse backgrounds and ideas of an informal Advisory Board.

Listen

1. Listen broadly for ideas: Appoint your Innovation Team and have them set up an 'environmental scan' that systematically looks for innovations and connections not only in your industry but also outside it, outside your country, outside of business entirely. Have the Team read about, learn about, and meet with people from the broadest possible spectrum of human enterprise and natural discovery. Subscribe to journals like Innovation, and the RSS feeds of periodicals and websites that report ideas and new technologies from a wide range of disciplines. Reward members of the Team for serendipitous readings and meetings, debrief with them promptly and regularly, filter, refine and inventory their ideas and learnings for consideration at the Understand, Create and Design stages of the innovation process. Inputs: readings, newsfeeds, conferences, interviews, meetings. Outputs: a manageable inventory of ideas and insights (categorized and contextualized appropriately so that they can be simply understood and practically applied).

2. Listen to 'pathfinder' customers, competitors, and colleagues: Plug yourself in to the 'voice of the customer'. Set a minimum time quota for everyone in your organization to spend face-to-face with business customers, or with customers' customers or end consumers. Identify 'pathfinder' customers -- those  who are most attuned to their organization's future direction and its need to change. Employ a 'Think the Customer Ahead' program that engenders effective listening, elicitation skills, story-telling skills, and creative thinking skills , a capacity explained in Imparato & Harari's book Jumping the Curve. Often the customer isn't able to articulate his or her needs in a way that lends itself to quick technology solution development. Listening to the customer is an iterative process, that entails learning about the customer's business, understanding the things that keep them awake at night, suggesting a lot of 'what if's', proffering opportunities, points-of-view and possibilities, not just asking baldly about needs and offering off-the-shelf solutions. Connect with customers indirectly as well, using all the media at your disposal -- phone surveys, e-mail, website surveys, customer satisfaction surveys (with lots of open-ended questions), self-diagnostic tools, videoconferences, etc., to capture as much information as you can about your customers, their customers, and their markets. Inputs: conversations, interviews, surveys. Outputs: needs, ideas, stories, industry future state visions, five-forces and SWOT analyses.

3. Listen to the front lines: Talk with the people who hear directly from customers and other stakeholders every day -- people in sales, customer service, even delivery and reception staff. Ask them what they're hearing, and what they think most needs improvement or rethinking. Create 'space' -- physical and electronic -- where everyone in the organization can surface, discuss and advance problems, needs and ideas collaboratively. Let anyone 'subscribe' to the inventory of news and ideas created in step 1 above. Consider maintaining a running list of the company's Top 10 Challenges to encourage focus and creative thought from everyone in the organization. Make sure top-level executive sponsorship for innovation is visible to everyone on the front lines.  Give people time off their 'regular work' to focus on organized innovation projects, and tools and process guidance to use that time effectively. Reward front-line people for new product and other innovative ideas that they surface from their conversations with customers and others. Inputs: conversations, idea & collaboration spaces, interviews. Outputs: needs, ideas, stories.

Understand

4. Understand who your actual and potential customers are: Study companies like The Body Shop that know their customers, their needs, their buying preferences and criteria intimately. These are companies that spend a lot of face time with customers and have rigorous processes in place to capture what they learn, probe what they need, and explore the potential market for new innovations. And identify and get out and meet with potential customers as well, to understand why they're not already customers and what could change that. And then have your Innovation Team cast a wider net and ask who might be customers that are currently not served by either your company or your competitors. Learn the lessons of Christensen's The Innovator's Dilemma and The Innovator's Solution -- how disruptive innovations can (sometimes inadvertently) transform whole industries, and how that presents your company with both threats and opportunities that could completely change the profile or even definition of your customers. Inputs/Outputs: list of actual and potential customers and what they currently buy, could be buying, and will and won't be buying in the future, and why.

5. Understand and respect what end-consumers want and need: and based on that
6. Understand what immediate customers will need: Start with the end-consumer of your products and services, and the end-consumer of the products of your immediate customers. Their buying patterns, needs and preferences will determine the success of your customers, and that will in turn determine their buying patterns, needs and preferences. The end-consumer has the ultimate power, and, unlike corporations', their buying decisions are based on broader and more subjective criteria than business need and affordability. They buy things they want, not just things they need. If you sell to the auto industry, you need to understand why consumers, against all logic, buy SUVs. And if your company is making money from sweatshop labour or old growth forests, better come clean now. Business needs to end its abusive relationship with consumers -- overcharging them, misleading them, suing them, and selling them inferior, imported merchandise and services. Once consumers realize their true marketplace power, they will get back at adversarial suppliers with a vengeance. Business needs to respect them, respond to them, and be responsible members of the communities in which they operate. The Reputation Economy isn't here yet, but it's coming. If you cause consumers to dislike you or distrust you, you'll soon be dead. Inputs/Outputs: current state analysis and future state vision of wants and needs for both current and future immediate customers, and end-consumers, and a resultant future state vision and emerging needs profile for your industry.

7. Understand why these wants and needs aren't already met: Here's the hard part. Things are usually the way they are for a reason. You know there are wants and needs that aren't being met. The challenge is not to throw in the towel when you find out why. The technology doesn't exist? The solution would be very costly or risky to develop? The solution is not affordable to customers? The solution is too radical for customers to accept or too complex for them to understand? The organization currently lacks the capacity or competencies to produce the solution? That's what innovation is about. Take up the challenge with your eyes open about what must be overcome, but take up the challenge. If it was easy someone else would have already done it. Inputs/Outputs: list of challenges.

Organize

8. Organize those with a stake in solving the problem: Now you know what needs to be done, the next step is to organize the troops. Who can help solve the problem, assess the alternatives, provide the needed resources? Outputs: project team member list, including 'pathfinder' customers and other outsiders. (Note that the project team is responsible for solving a specific problem or need, while the Innovation Team has oversight over the entire innovation effort of the organization -- they aren't the same group).

9. Organize the program for solving the problem: There are a lot of techniques and methods that you can use to break through a problem and come up with solutions. The bibliography below is replete with them. In my experience, creative minds need a very broad framework (schedule, budget, high-level process) and a lot of freedom to figure out how to solve the problem within that framework. Self-organizing, self-managed innovation project teams seem to work well in some organizations but not in others. If you insist on imposing more discipline on the process, more hoops to jump through, control points and early-stage go/no-go filters, make sure the people you're imposing it on see the value in these constraints, and that they don't squeeze the boldest and potentially most successful ideas out in the process. Outputs: project schedule, budget, program.

10. Organize the resources needed to solve the problem: The project team needs sufficient tools and knowledge to be able to understand the problem, the customer need, and the variables that could impact the potential solutions. Inputs: all the Outputs from steps 1-7 above, redrafted into a cogent and digestible form.

Create

11. Create an environment and capability for innovation: Give the Innovation Team and the project teams permission to fail, and teach them how to fail early and inexpensively. Prevent executives from pushing their 'pet' projects to the detriment of others. Don't let the 'black hats' deep-six good, hairy, audacious ideas prematurely, and ensure that 'black hat' behaviours are not rewarded by senior management. Help the team avoid slipping into excessive caution or incrementalism. Keep the marketing group from unduly influencing the process with antiquated ideas for 'creating market demand' and launching products with press releases and self-serving promotional and advertising campaigns -- In the emerging customer-driven market these techniques will no longer make a mediocre product a success. Provide rewards and incentives for team members, and for other contributors to the innovation effort. Don't tolerate hoarding of ideas and knowledge, or inter-department 'charges' that block knowledge transfer and cross-functional collaboration. Share credit for good ideas and successes, and don't make innovation an area of internal competition. Help bright, creative, quiet people find their voice, and let people promote 'crazy' ideas without fear of ridicule. Teach the Innovation Team and the project teams (and others in the organization who show interest) techniques that will enhance their creativity and improve the innovation process, and give them time and resources to discover other techniques and try them out. Invest adequate, patient capital and resources for innovation. Give ideas sufficient time to find their market but don't throw good money after bad, no matter how well-intentioned. Understand sunk costs and learn from failures. Consider letting those involved in the innovation 'invest' personally in return for a share of the ultimate revenues or profits: Having some 'skin in the game' can be very motivating and empowering. Inputs: time, training, tools, space, sponsorship, leadership and resources. Outputs: people who are inspired, capable and encouraged to contribute productively to the innovation effort.
 
12. Create lots of alternative solutions: Don't put everything at risk on one option. Use scenario planning and other techniques to identify and assess alternatives. Don't reject the really far-out alternatives prematurely -- cost/risk/benefit decisions usually can't be properly made until the customers have had the chance to say their piece again in step 15 below. Outputs: alternative solutions.

Experiment

13. Experiment: Try many things, learn fast from failures, tinker, iterate, combine, transfer: Try several alternatives simultaneously in different markets to speed up the assessment process. Use rapid prototyping and other iteration techniques to expose as many alternatives to the market as possible. Outputs: test results.

Listen Again

14. Listen to potential customers and help them imagine: Use prototypes and stories to make the innovative product, service, channel or technology as concrete as possible. Beware customers' propensity to say 'yes' at this stage when there's no required commitment. Go back to what you learned from customers in steps 1-7 and recite what you heard back to the customers for confirmation, explaining how the innovation addresses the need articulated by the customers. Listen objectively for confirmation or dissonance. Outputs: customer evaluations

15. Listen to acceptance criteria -- the ‘if’s: If the product appears to meet the need, the next task is to assess the customers' buying criteria: price and affordability, convenience, options, delivery time, upgradability etc. Some of these criteria may be show-stoppers that will require re-invention or other creative brainstorming, while others may be able to be addressed in the design stage below. Outputs: customer buying criteria

16. Listen to ‘what could go wrong’: Here's where you let the 'black hats' say their piece: What competitive threats exist or could arise? Is the innovation vulnerable to disruptive innovation from unexpected sources? Are there unforeseen production, quality control, political, regulatory, financial, marketing, or servicing landmines? What's the shelf-life? Could it become a commodity prematurely? Will it be prohibitively expensive to produce or to buy? Will it cannibalize existing product sales? Is it a strategic fit for the organization? Some of these 'what could go wrongs' may require re-invention or other creative resolution by the project team, while others may be able to be addressed in the design stage below. Outputs: list of threats and risks, and resolution plan.

Design

17. Design: consider customer-valued attributes, cost, intuitive ease of use, ease of change, ease of enhancement: The greatest idea in the world can still be torpedoed by bad design. The designer has to be told, in no uncertain terms, what attributes are important to the customer, how much at most the solution can cost, and the trade-off between ease-of-use and power. Technology products especially are often over-engineered because additional functions and features are easy and inexpensive to add, but they add complexity disproportionate to the benefits of the additional functionality, often to the point of turning off potential customers. And in this age of constant upgrades and inter-operability requirements, the solution must be easy to change, redesign and enhance. Inputs: specifications based on Outputs from steps 12-16 above. Outputs: completed designs.

Implement

18. Make the final go/no-go decision, then implement: If there are still several alternatives on the drawing board, whittle them down to a manageable number. If necessary, send the idea back for reinvention (step 11), re-testing (step 13) or redesign (step 17). If the previous steps have been done properly, this step should be the easiest. Once the decision has been made to go, the set-up, production, viral marketing, sales, distribution, employee and user training, partnering, after-sales service, success measurement and continuous improvement should be problem-free, since the 'what could go wrong' possibilities have already been considered and addressed, and people from all functional areas of the organization should have been involved and consulted during the Create and Design stages.

Seven: Applying the Prescription: Some Examples

To give you a flavour for how this prescription could work in practice, here are eight fundamental business problems from different industries, and some innovations that have recently been (or are currently being) successfully commercialized to solve them. In each case, the solution shown could reasonably have been derived using the principles and process in the prescription above:

Customer Problem / Need
Innovation / Technology Solution
Car and computer buyers can't get exactly what they want, and hate haggling with dealers.
Web sites let you design your own car or computer, find the closest model to your design, find the best price for that model, accept payment and deliver it to your door. Some will even take a completely custom order.
Television watchers find most fare awful, TV guides complicated, and VCRs even more complicated.
The new TiVo technology asks for and monitors your preferences, pulls e-schedules off the net & satellites, and automatically records and indexes your preferred shows, commercial-free, onto a hard drive.
Although newspapers are a terrible waste of paper, and hard to read on the commuter train, reading from a computer screen doesn't work either due to poor legibility and awkwardness.
Two innovations are converging on a solution to this: Erasable paper, which allows you to print out each day's newspaper onto the same recycled pages; and ultrathin large screens with memory, that allow you to read one page at a time on a crisp viewing device smaller than a paperback.
Clothing that gets torn or stained is cheaper and easier to replace than repair.
A new organic clothing technology has been developed, modelled after human skin, that heals and itself. There is even a 'spray-on' version that can help burn victims to heal without scarring.
Banks are facing 'spread' squeezes, forcing them to generate new revenues from user service charges instead of interest charges, but consumers hate service charges and see little value for money in them.
Progressive banks are offering customers a 'menu' of alternative ways of 'subscribing' to bank services, including variable rate (pay-per-use), fixed rate, 'frequent-flyer' rate (lower or no service charges for users who use many of the bank's services), and free-if-you-handle-it-yourself rates. They are also offering a variety of new services that use the Internet to ignore geography (offering mortgages and business loans on-line worldwide) and exploit existing infrastructure and knowledge (e.g. accounting and tax services, insurance, financial planning, credit management).
Retailers are caught in a squeeze between low-cost Power Centers and consumers' dissatisfaction with (and cost of) the 'retail experience'.
Car companies have invented the concept of 'try on' centers, where competitors share a low-cost, do-it-yourself space where consumers can try out competing models, and then place orders electronically that are delivered, to their specs, from a low-cost warehouse to the consumer's home. Where the 'retail experience' requires more than just try-outs, companies like Home Depot have created value-add services like education (how-to sessions) and adventure (rock climbing walls at some sporting goods stores) that now draw customers more powerfully than their products.
Audit firms have found their 'product' commoditized and vilified by regulators for not measuring what is now important to stakeholders.
A US University is exploring whether 'fraud insurance' would be cheaper than audits and just as satisfactory to stakeholders and regulators. Meanwhile, some firms have invented a variety of new ways to measure the value of a company, including EVA, Balanced Scorecards, and Social Responsibility Reporting.
Many people are intrigued with, and want, the benefits of computer and Internet technologies, but don't have the time or comfort with the technologies to use them.
High tech companies are inventing computer and Internet 'appliances' that perform a single task automatically, simply and transparently e.g. refrigerator that sends a message when items are out-of-stock, past their 'use before' date, or too cold or too warm.

Conclusion


This presentation was itself the result of addressing an unmet need: After reading dozens of books on innovation, I was unable to find one source that explained in clear terms what innovation is, in a business context, conveyed the urgent need for businesses to become more innovative, and provided an actionable prescription for doing so. This paper was initially developed to provide the Core Innovation Team of Ernst & Young with background on the history, current state and leading practices in business innovation, and I am now using it to develop part of a core curriculum on entrepreneurship, of which innovation is a critical element.

I hope this analysis has given you a better understanding of the subject and its importance, and some useful tools and ideas that you can use to make your organization more innovative as well. I would welcome the opportunity to continue the discussion on this subject, by e-mail or through the comments thread below. You can find more of my writings on business innovation in this index.

While I'm optimistic that this prescription will work within business and other organizations, large and small, I am less convinced that it will work to solve some of the more deep-seated human needs and inexorable problems that plague us today, such as global warming, pollution, the energy crisis, biodegradation, endemic war, violence, mental illness and disease, animal cruelty, urban sprawl and decay, crime, unemployment, and the inequitable distribution of resources, income, wealth and power. While the process should work in principle, it is unlikely that this process can be followed with sufficient rigour or resources without (a) a willingness by governments to spend much more money (paid for by taxes) to solve these problems, (b) a political will to solve such problems creatively and by consensus, rather than leaving it to private interests to address them or dealing with them by brute force, and (c) a much greater awareness, commitment and sense of responsibility by the body politic of the urgency and opportunity to solve these problems. But just as business will be driven once again to invest in innovation in the search to sustain profitability, it is likely that private citizens and public institutions will ultimately be driven to invest together in innovation in the search for a liveable, sustainable world. The process they then use will probably look a lot like this prescription.

Bibliography
  • Boston Consulting Group -- Innovation to Cash (annual survey of executive priorities), 2003
  • Cap Gemini -- The Adaptive Imperative, in Perspectives on Business Innovation, 2002
  • Chen, Eric and Ho, Kathryn Kai-ling -- Demystifying Innovation, 2002
  • Chesbrough, Henry -- Sometimes Success Begins at Failure, in HBR Working Knowledge, 2003
  • Chomsky, Noam -- Manufacturing Dissent, 1995
  • Christensen, Clay -- The Innovator's Dilemma, 2000
  • Christensen, Clay -- The Innovator's Solution, 2003
  • Credit Suisse First Boston -- New Economy Forum, synthesis report, 1999
  • De Bono, Edward -- Serious Creativity, 1992
  • Dertouzos, Michael -- What Will Be, 1999: Although the idea of 'find a need and fill it' is hardly new in business, an article by MIT's Michael Dertouzos in the December 1999 Technology Review on the pillars of innovation reinforces the connection between need and innovation. Building on ideas in his book What Will Be , he says: Perhaps the most important ingredient of successful innovation is the creative technological idea that serves a pressing human need. This kind of creativity, in turn, requires a schizophrenic combination of rationality and insanity that's outside our ordinary experience. Imagine that all current inventions in the world and all their possible logical extensions and uses are inside a huge balloon. People are pretty good at extending these ideas further, using logic and common sense. But their results, being logical extensions of what's already there, stay within the balloon. To escape these old ideas and come up with something that is radically new, the balloon must be punctured with something that defies reason -- an [innovation] has been born. Successful innovators apply their drive and flexibility toward looking for and blending these two forces [market and technology] wherever they crop up, always striving to zero in on the key ingredient -- a creative idea that serves a pressing human need.
  • Dixon, Nancy -- The Organizational Learning Cycle, 1994
  • Drucker, Peter -- Innovation & Entrepreneurship, 1993
  • Drucker, Peter -- Management Challenges for the 21st Century, 1999
  • Fast Company magazine -- various online and hard-copy articles on Innovation, 1999-2004, notably the Business at its Best series
  • Gehl, John and Douglas, Suzanne -- Innovation (weekly e-magazine)
  • Gladwell, Malcolm -- The Tipping Point, 2003
  • Hamel, Gary -- Leading the Revolution, 2000
  • Handy, Charles -- Age of Unreason, 1998 and Age of Paradox, 1995
  • Ichimura, Elliott -- Virtuous Cycle of Innovation, 2001 (unpublished )
  • Imperato, Nicholas & Harari, Oren -- Jumping the Curve, 1996
  • Kelley, The Art of Innovation, 2001
  • Leifer, Richard et al -- Radical Innovation, 2000
  • Leonard-Barton, Dorothy -- Wellspring of Knowledge, 1995
  • Meadows, Donella -- Places to Intervene in a System, in Whole Earth magazine, 1997
  • O'Mara, Kevin -- Five Innovation Best Practices, in ZDNet, 2003
  • Payne, Cyndy -- WL Gore & Associates, Case Study in Innovation, in Foundation for Enterprise Development online magazine, 1998
  • Peters, Tom -- The Circle of Innovation, 1999
  • Robert, Michel -- Product Innovation Strategy, 1995 suggests looking for innovative ideas where there are: unexpected successes, failures or events; process weaknesses; changes in market structure, demographics, and perceptions; high growth areas and convergences; new knowledge or technology; changes in economic, political, regulatory, legal or social environment; changes in markets, customers, resources or delivery channels.
  • Schrage, Michael -- Serious Play, 1999
  • Senge, Peter -- The Fifth Discipline, 1990
  • Tucker, Robert -- Five Steps to Business Innovation, Business + Strategy Magazine, February 2003
  • Von Hippel, Eric -- The Sources of Innovation, 1997
  • Wheatley, Margaret -- Leadership & The New Science, 2001
  • Zuboff, Shoshana et al -- The Support Economy, 2003

THE BOSTON
TEA-PARTY AS 'ECO-TERRORISM'


THE BOSTON
TEA-PARTY AS 'ECO-TERRORISM'
03/06/2004 02:08 AM
Boston Tea Party
A
member of the Derrick Jensen mailing list pointed out a brilliantly-written letter to the editor of a small Virginia community newspaper, describing new laws to increase penalties for 'eco-terrorism', a vaguely defined term which appears to include acts of sabotage to corporate 'property', even if they do no harm to any individual. The law was apparently designed to discourage acts against the property of logging, mining, and factory farm corporations, developers and SUV retailers. Here's the letter in its entirety.

Last week, you used the term "ecoterrorist" with regard to the Earth Liberation Front (ELF). A note on semantics: The Department of Defense defines terrorism as "The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property to coerce or intimidate governments or societies, often to achieve political, religious, or ideological objectives."



Somehow, burning a bulldozer fails to meet these criteria. Unlawful and ideological, yes. But they intended to coerce corporate entities (United Land, Virginia Land, Kessler Group, Regency Centers, and Dierman Realty Group), not governments or societies.

Do you feel "terrorized" by the loss of the Land Company's trackhoe? Even developer Wendell Wood seems non-plussed. "You can go buy another."

What is scary is how terms like "ecoterrorist," "cyber-terrorist," "narco-terrorist" and "special-interest terrorist" are slipping into our vernacular.

Know this: "Animal and Ecological Terrorism Act" legislation was proposed in Texas and New York, to officially label many forms of advocacy as "terrorism." Plus, President Bush's proposed Patriot Act II hopes to broaden the definition of terrorism and make it easier to sentence such "terrorists" to death. Now, who's scaring who?

Indeed, the ELF is the FBI's top priority regarding domestic terrorism. But I, for one, would hope they'd instead focus more on whoever mailed U.S. military-manufactured anthrax and ricin to Congress.

Truth is, most people agree with ELF's intentions. A recent national survey found that two out of three people think the environment is more important than property rights, corporate profits, or even creating jobs.

The ELF usually targets only the most egregious of industrial polluters and ecology-destroying profiteers. Take Nestle's Ice Mountain bottled water, which built a plant in Michigan's Mecosta County (despite a 2-1 resident vote to deny them zoning) and then proceeded to violate state and federal water rights by siphoning from public rivers and streams. ELF activists, after exhausting legal avenues of dissent, tried to blow up the plant.

Is the sprawling Hollymead Center as bad? No. But Richmond's SUVs were arguably an environmental and social menace. Objectively speaking, SUVs kill more Americans than al-Qaeda does.

The last word: There was a time when we had a very different term for those who sabotage avaricious corporations. As John Adams said of the Sons of Liberty who dunked East India Company tea into Boston harbor: "There is a dignity, a majesty, a sublimity in this last effort of the patriots that I greatly admire."

Brian Wimer


Charlottesville

P.S. This week, Bush's Education Secretary called the National Education Association teachers union a "Terrorist Organization" for criticizing the shortcomings of Bush's No Child Left Behind Act. Who's next? Editorialists?

THE MOST
IMPORTANT IDEAS OF 2003 - PART ONE


THE MOST
IMPORTANT IDEAS OF 2003 - PART ONE
01/07/2004 01:07 PM
This is the first of five articles in a series that will be published intermittently this month. This article summarizes what I believe were the most important ideas of 2003 in the world of blogs and blogging.  The other articles in the series will propose the most important ideas of the year in:
  • business,
  • politics & economics,
  • arts & science, and
  • the environment.
line

BLOGS & BLOGGING -- THE TEN MOST IMPORTANT IDEAS OF 2003
process
During the year, the blogosphere doubled in size, and began to mature into a true alternative medium for information and connection. My nominations for the most important ideas of the year* in blogs & blogging are:
  1. The Internet is a World of Ends - Doc Searls and David Weinberger finally explained to bloggers and to e-business what the Internet is and how it works. As a result, bloggers (and blogging tool developers) now realize that there will never be 'standards' for blogs, blog censorship, clear rules on what is and isn't appropriate in citing others' work on your blog, standard blog taxonomy and categories, an official definition or list of blogs, unarguable or untamperable rankings of blog popularity, or controls of any kind. It's a jungle out here. There are no rules. The blogosphere, like the Internet, is owned by no one, open to everyone, and made better by each of us. A cornucopia of unrestricted and open innovation. Its value flowers at the ends, and, fellow bloggers, we are the ends.
  2. Blog popularity is subject to Shirky's Power Law - "In systems where many people are free to choose between many options, a small subset of the whole will always get a disproportionate amount of traffic (or attention, or income), by the very act of choosing". It's the old 80/20 rule. The later you are starting to blog, the harder it becomes to find an audience. Not impossible, just harder. There are anomalies: new blogging communities and new 'hot topics' can allow savvy bloggers to quickly galvanize a readership. But if you want to be popular in the blogosphere, it's more important to be first than best.
  3. Blogs have Tipping Points and manifest the Strength of Weak Ties - Ever noticed how hard it is to get your family and close friends ('strong ties') to read your blog? That's because they see no incremental value in doing so. But friends of friends, people two or three degrees removed from your network, do. Weak ties probably got you your job, found your life partner, provoked your most innovative ideas, and sourced most of your blog's readership. And you can exploit these weak ties to push a new idea, find new readers, perhaps even save the world. It's easy: Just Test the credibility of and degree of interest in what you're saying by sending messages to selected mavens (bloggers who incubate new ideas and stick with them until they catch), A-listers (bloggers who already have a