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World Population Reaches 6.4 Billion: What To Do?







World Population Reaches 6.4 Billion:
What To Do?

World Population Reaches 6.4 Billion:
What To Do?
01/23/2004 07:40 PM

A "population clock" at ibiblio.org projects that world human population will reach 6.4 billion on January 27, 2004. Over 97% of population growth is now in developing countries (Haub, 2003). This growth will worsen the impact of many negative social and ecological trends. Current demographic developments indicate the population explosion may be slowing. Two trends account for this: The birth rate is starting to slow in many developing countries (reaching a population replacement level) and the death rate is increasing in some of the poorest countries.




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pop chart 1
In The Hidden Dimension, his dated (1969) but thoroughly researched breakthrough study of the field of proxemics, Edward Hall provides lots of food for thought for environmentalists and architects.

Proxemics is the study of space (here on Earth not out in, er..., space), and how we use and perceive it. Hall makes it clear that an understanding of the subject also requires that we understand how time is perceived, since it is, after all, one of the dimensions we move through. This is a social study, not a scientific one. In the belief that 'perception is reality', Hall introduces us to a whole new and valuable world of investigation, one that scientists, in their zeal for 'real', have overlooked.

The first part of the book was of particular interest to me because I've been writing a lot on these pages lately about overpopulation, and the book describes extensively how we, as animals, react physically and socially to overcrowding. Last week I cited Daniel Quinn's Story of B which ascribes human overpopulation to one simple factor: production of excess food. This is illustrated in the chart above. To Quinn, it's simply an issue of imbalance. Readers of my article last week had mixed opinions on whether food production really is a direct factor, and were frustrated that having hypothesized the root cause of and solution to the problem ("produce less food"), he offered no suggestions, indeed no hope, on how to implement the solution. Readers also suggested the equation is overly simplistic, and misses important variables. Hall proposes some additional variables and backs his argument up credibly.

To Hall, one key variable is the adrenal system, by which he claims the balance of all life on Earth is regulated in a way much more 'humane' than mass starvation:

When crowding becomes too great after population buildups, interactions intensify, leading to greater and greater stress. As psychological and emotional stress builds up and tempers wear thin, subtle but powerful changes occur in the chemistry of the body. Births drop while deaths progressively increase until as state known as 'population collapse' occurs. Such cycles of build-up and collapse are now generally recognized as normal for the warm-blooded vertebrates and possibly for all life. Contrary to popular belief, the food supply is only indirectly involved in these cycles.

The adrenals play an important part in the regulation of growth, reproduction and the level of the body's defenses. The size and weight of these important glands is not fixed but responds to stress. When animals are too frequently stressed, the adrenals, in order to meet the emergency, become overactive and enlarged...Mortality [in major animal die-offs that were extensively studied by John Christian] evidently results from shock following severe metabolic disturbance, probably as a result of prolonged adrenocortical hyperactivity. There is no evidence of infection, starvation, or other obvious cause to explain the mass mortality.

It is now widely held that the processes of selection which control evolution favor the dominant individuals in any given group. Not only are they under less stress but they also seem able to stand more stress. The adrenals work harder and become more enlarged in subordinate animals...A blowup of aggressiveness and sexual activity and accompanying stresses overload the adrenals. The result is a population collapse due to lowering of the fertility rate, increased susceptibility to disease, and mass mortality from hypoglycemic shock. The dominant animals, however, usually survive.

So from a systems perspective, we actually have several more variables at work than Quinn suggested. Before the invention of agriculture, the balance of human numbers was preserved at no more than 300 million people, for three million years. Food availability caused numbers to rise, natural predators kept the balance in check. Whenever that failed, as in medieval Europe, the stress balance that Hall describes kicked in: 'naturally' lowered birth rates, and more death from violence and stress-related disease, until the overcrowding was alleviated and adrenal levels could return to normal. It's nature's way of sabotaging the system when it gets out of control. In fact pox viruses, of which there are thousands, affect every species on Earth (except, and only for the last couple of decades, man) and are amazingly species-specific: They flare up only in densely concentrated populations and are nature's (or god's) perfect population control mechanism.
food chart 2
But since the invention of agriculture, this has now evolved into a much more complex system, with a host of new human-engineered variables:
food chart 3
Agriculture was a human response to the sudden scarcity of food about 30,000 years ago, which arose from a combination of over-hunting of the big, easy game that made human life so idyllic until then, and possibly the ice-age effect of a meteor strike wobbling the Earth's rotation at that time. Everything else flowed from that: Agricultural technology increased food availability but also entailed man living a more regimented, interdependent life in much closer quarters. The resultant increase in stress and violence required the development of a completely new culture, with laws to try to keep the lid on violence, medicines to deal with diseases that spread quickly in concentrated populations, and religions to teach people how to live 'unnaturally'. Natural predators that we used to respect were now demonized and exterminated because they competed with us for food, and soon were eliminated as a population balancing mechanism. The final chart above shows the result.

As a consequence, human population has grown virtually unchecked for 30,000 years. We respond to each new disease with new medical technology, and to the explosion in human violence with increasingly strict laws that subjugate, restrict human freedom and incarcerate non-conformists. We've even introduced, recently, medical technology that artificially reduces stress itself (starting with the lobotomy, whose first gruesome practitioner won a Nobel prize for it). We are placed in ever-more stringent and oppressive physical, psychological and social strait-jackets to keep our 'natural' reaction to the massive, psychotic stress that unprecedented overcrowding produces, all in the interests of coping with more and more people. The education system 'teaches' us relentlessly that a passive, highly-structured, urban, hierarchical 'consumer' society is the only way to live. Nevertheless, famine, war, disease, crime, domestic violence, mental illness, suicide, depression -- all manifestations of stress, are exploding as quickly as our numbers. It's a pressure cooker waiting to blow.

Our culture has so indoctrinated us that the very concept of a world with fewer people is inconceivable, even horrifying, to most of us. Our laws, our religions and our culture have reinforced our natural inclination to procreate and perverted it into a fundamental 'right', even a responsibility. Despite this, because we instinctively know something is very wrong (our instincts reflect our full three million years of evolution, not merely the most recent 'civilized' 1%), in recent years we have added the two new boxes in the upper left of the chart above, to once again balance the forces that determine population size:
  • Birth control technologies, which allow women some freedom from one of the most horrific effects of our stultifying patriarchical culture -- lack of control over their own bodies, and
  • Population education and awareness, which despite government and religious attempts to undermine it, is flourishing
So now we again have some sort of balance, unstable as it may be, and it bears tribute to our amazing instincts and ingenuity.

The problem now is momentum. The system has been out of whack for 30,000 years and, like an SUV careening out of control on an icy road, the recently-applied brakes are not working fast enough to prevent collision. We need some additional variables to be introduced quickly into the final chart above, to bring human population growth to a quick halt, and start reversing it back to levels that are not only sustainable, and will allow our severely damaged planet to heal, but which will also allow us to throw off our cultural shackles and learn to live fully and naturally again, in a world that is healthy, happy and at peace, and as part of the natural ecosystems of which we are, contrary to all our 'new' culture's propaganda, inextricably a part.

We cannot depend on governments or business for this -- they're invested in the status quo, in deep denial, and as the 'dominant' members of our society they are the elite that Hall says will survive the eco-tastrophe when we perish anyway. They control the machinery of production and will not reduce food availability, and will not invest in radical technology of any kind to reduce human population -- it's not in their nature, means or interest to be ahead of the mainstream of public thinking. We cannot depend on education alone -- there is not enough time. We cannot depend on nature's own mechanisms to restore the balance in time (though with global warming, Mad Cow, species extinction, AIDS and other new diseases nature is trying) -- we have too many countervailing technologies in place. We surely cannot depend on the gods, or the lawyers.

I am increasingly and reluctantly coming to the conclusion that the only answer -- if there is an answer at all -- is coercive. Not in the political sense -- people are already doing all the unnatural things they can bear, and no political edict to reduce population could ever succeed. We must sabotage the system. We must run the careening SUV off the road before it crashes and kills us all.

I know I'm being a bit cryptic -- I'm still thinking this through. I shudder at this conclusion, and the options I can imagine for doing it fill me with dread and revulsion. Just as our culture has given us no choice but to live within its terrible and suffocating walls, we must give this culture, and its people, no choice but to reduce its numbers and its impact on our dying world. I think I always knew and feared my thinking would come to this. My instincts have long told me there is no solution that is not radical. Question is, how to sabotage the system with a minimum of suffering.

line

There is more in Hall's book that I want to talk about. He has some important ideas that could change the way we think about architecture, about other cultures, and about how we communicate and relate to each other. It's all about perception, and it's fascinating. Look for another article on The Hidden Dimension, much less grim than this, next week

Thanks to the two kind readers who helped me find this book.

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I'm just having trouble figuring out which is which! Because as far as I can see, both of them share one thing in common - a flagrant and blatantly patronising image of gay people as cheery little inoffensive sexless chappies. Well bollocks to that. Bollocks to happy gay people on TV, bollocks to the straight audiences, bollocks to the producers, bollocks to the bloody cameramen, bollocks to any passing trannies. Bollocks, if you will, to absolutely bloody everyone. I'm going to say this once and once only - and I hope it doesn't come as too much of a shock to anyone: It's not just Straight Eye for the Queer guy that will be patronising shit that sells an image of gayness that is damaging and frustratingly bland. Queer Eye for the Straight Guy was patronising shit as well.

I can't really believe that was a shock to anyone, but just in case - I'm sorry for those of you who fell over and hit your head...

Back in the late eighties, when the prevailing mood was that gay people were diseased perverts that would lead short, ill, shameful and disgusting lives, the idea that we might get portrayed as happy little child-puppets was quite appealing. But that time has passed and I think we've all had enough now of that newest of grotesque gay stereotypes archetypes - that of the girl's-best-friend, sexless, happy, home-keeping, stylish queer. I might actually bloody vomit if I see it one more time on television and if I get my greasy hands on (Kevin Kline let me reassure you that I'll be giving him a piece of my oh-so-wise and oh-so-well-tailored happy gay mind.

It's not because it's an unpleasant image of homosexual individuals, and it's not because there aren't any gay men that are all smiley and pastel in the world (because there are, and they're lovely). No, it's just because I'm sick to death with being "understood" by people I meet on as a "good-natured, slightly-dim, fashion-obssessed hysterical best-friend-in-times-of-need" kind of guy on the basis of the representation of 'my kind' in a few shit films and TV shows. There are differences between gay people and straight people - don't get me wrong. But there aren't any scientists world-wide who truly understand what the hell they all are, so why the hell do a twenty minute comedy show going to have a better idea?

Now I've read my Foucault like the best of them, and I believe him to be right when he says that categorising something is a way of asserting power over it. Hence the creation of homosexuality a little over a hundred years ago. And I'm with him on the next step too - that the creation of the category also creates an identity around which the group can rebel, to try and recast itself. But it works the other way around too. We started off as godless, sex-obsessed, dirty monsters and we fought and we've rebelled. And now instead we're god-loving, relationship-focused, kitchen-cleaning princes among men who like little dog, Versace and television where 'we' get to patronise people. Our 'positive' image has already been reincorporated and recontextualised and reconsidered and represented. The tremendous variety of gay male experience - from the most delicate to the most brutal, from the most elegant to the most fierce, from the most diplomatic to the most battle-ready, even from the most tacky to the most trivially crass - all of it is reduced down to the image of gay men as a fussy little child - who plays at 'houses', plays at 'cooking', plays at 'being a man', plays at life.

Well I want out. And this is where I turn around to face my colleagues who loved "Queer Eye" but are cross about its sequel. It's not enough that a programme on television should just be ostensibly 'nice' about gay people. It's shouldn't float our boats that some show finds it entertaining to see the happy poofs take the piss out of groups that used to kick our heads in. If you want some honour in your programming, demand that it shows you a larger variety of truths. Like the truth that shows identity as something fought for, forged, lost and rebuilt. And not one where it's given like you'd give a pet a name...

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Not quite sure what I think of in terms of how entertaining pets might find it, but it could be ideal ambient TV wallpaper. I'm thinking of having it on all the time...

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AP - Yogi got to know a lot of people in his short life. He made friends at the University of Vermont, and the Woodbridge Nursing Home, and the state women's prison, where he made the rounds, and in Plainfield, where he lived.

BBC TV channel offers programming for
pets


BBC TV channel offers programming for
pets
04/29/2004 05:40 PM
From the Guardian: Pet TV "is being billed by the BBC as an attempt to find out what sort of TV programmes, sounds and images animals respond to. The interactive TV service will consist of a looped series of images and sounds, including clips of snooker balls rolling across the green baize, frisbees flying through the air, cat toys and cartoon characters such as Top Cat." Link (Registration required, unless you use the wonderful bugmenot.com) (Thanks, Carlo!)

Firm Seeks Business of Cloning Pets (AP)


Firm Seeks Business of Cloning Pets (AP) 08/06/2004 04:43 PM
AP - A company that unveiled the world's first cloned cat nearly three years ago now says it is ready to start filling orders for cloned pets, a newspaper reported Thursday.

EU Delays Launch of Passports for Pets
(Reuters)


EU Delays Launch of Passports for Pets
(Reuters)
06/09/2004 09:10 AM
Reuters - Owners will be able to take their cats, dogs and ferrets on holiday abroad this summer even if they do not have a pet passport as required under EU law, the European Commission said Wednesday.

Man Pets Jaguar, Pays with His Finger
(Reuters)


Man Pets Jaguar, Pays with His Finger
(Reuters)
05/19/2004 10:40 AM
Reuters - A New Mexico man made a hasty exit from a zoo after climbing close to a cage to illegally pet a jaguar, but police were able to track him down by the severed finger he left behind.

New Site AnimalAttraction.com Combines
Pets, Dating


New Site AnimalAttraction.com Combines
Pets, Dating
06/03/2004 12:02 PM
"Animal Attraction will become the meeting place for pet lovers" said Dan Cohen. "Animal Attraction members can easily communicate through email, instant messaging, chat rooms and message boards. The site also features pet care information from the Humane Society of The United States and information on Animal Attraction "meet-ups" and Animal Attraction-hosted events across the country.

MRI machines adapt to newest patients:
pets


MRI machines adapt to newest patients:
pets
09/07/2004 03:37 AM
Boston Globe Sep 7 2004 7:33AM GMT

Dingoes evolved from Asian pets
(Reuters)


Dingoes evolved from Asian pets
(Reuters)
08/03/2004 12:33 AM
Reuters - Dingoes, the yellow native dogs of Australia, probably evolved from a very small group of pets brought by south-east Asian settlers, researchers have reported.

Global Positioning Systems Tracks Lost
Pets


Global Positioning Systems Tracks Lost
Pets
06/06/2005 12:04 AM
GlobalPetFinder Provides Security to Pet Owners [PRWEB Jun 2, 2005]

Italians Face Jail Terms for Abandoning
Pets (Reuters)


Italians Face Jail Terms for Abandoning
Pets (Reuters)
07/08/2004 01:59 PM
Reuters - Italy is finally cracking down on the many fickle pet owners who dump their cat or dog on the roadside as they head to the beach for their summer vacation.

Carrying privilege


Carrying privilege 01/24/2004 04:52 AM

danah's always talking about privilege and I've started to think about this more consciously than before. Just about everyone here in Davos is privileged. Some have been born into privilege and some have gained it through their work. Some people carry their privilege well, others don't. There are people who seem to gloat in and flaunt their privilege, constantly bragging and doing the nudge-nudge-wink-wink. Others carry it naturally. Others seem to feel bad or strange having been chosen to be among the privileged. Some seem to guiltily enjoy the privilege.

Some seem to believe that the privilege they have comes with the responsibility to use it to help others, while others seem to think that privilege is something they deserve to use for their own personal gain.

It's interesting to watch. I wish I could do a survey of all of the people here and ask questions like, "Do you think you deserve the privilege you have, and why?" "What do you intend to do with the privilege and do you think you owe it to the world to focus your energies on helping those without privilege?" Then there are deeper questions about whether people are helping underprivileged people to gain more recognition, out of guilt, out of love, out of a sense of responsibility or some other reason.

I haven't attended any of the philanthropy sessions, but maybe that's what they talk about.

I personally think I deserve some of the privilege that I've gained, but that there are many who don't have as much privilege as I do who deserve it more. I think I owe a lot of my privilege to where I was born, the way my mother raised me, the people I've met and an odd combination of networking skills. I do feel extremely responsible for using the privilege that I currently have to solve as many of the world's problems as possible. I continue to remind myself that the particular serious of events that have put me in the position that I am in has more to do with the people around me than anything else and I owe it to them to carry this privilege well.


And they say cats can't be trained!


And they say cats can't be trained! 01/11/2004 06:02 PM
My Cat Annie is a website with several quick adorable videos (in Flash format) of the owner's cat doing ridiculous cat tricks.

Music and Cats


Music and Cats 03/29/2005 04:27 AM
Carnival of the Cats #53 .. week's edition

musicandcats.blogspot.com/2005/03/carnival-of-cats-53.htmltrack this site | 4 links


World Population Reaches 6.4 Billion: What To Do?

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