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Gates: Convergence is for real







Gates: Convergence is for real

Gates: Convergence is for real 01/08/2004 07:30 PM

Folks have been talking about the coming convergence between PCs and consumer electronics for years. But that was the easy part. The hard call was to figure out exactly how the pieces would fall into place. Although the debate goes on, one person who thinks that the technology industry is on the cusp of realizing one of its longest-sought grails is Bill Gates. Gates, who took the stage Wednesday night to deliver the opening key note at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, is convinced that recent technology advances have paved the way toward real convergence. CNET News.com caught up with Microsoft's co-founder and chairman to find out what's behind his optimism.




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Convergence, not so bad sometimes 01/04/2005 06:14 PM

My 5 year old cordless vtech phone has been cutting out my wifi lately, so I've been shopping around for 5.8 Ghz phones. I've also been considering giving Vonage another try, since I gave up on them in Fall of 2003 (due to unreliability).

I'm usually not a big fan of convergence devices -- it usually means you get a so-so product A squished into a so-so version of product B, and the sum of the parts is often worse than either device alone, but this new VTech/Vonage combo phone system is exactly what I was looking for. I doubt very many people share my position, in that they need both a new phone system and something for Vonage, but I can't wait to see this show up in stores.


Convergence? Who Needs It?


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When it comes to the convergence of PDAs and mobile phones most people are saying they're perfect ly fine with two devices for now. They say people are just willing to carry multiple devices. I'm not sure that's true. I'd say it has a lot more to do with the fact that most converged devices make you sacrifice important things that lessen the value of having a converged device. People buy the device for very specific things (as the article points out), and if the device can't do those things well, then it's not worth getting. As converged devices get better, then, it's likely that people will be more willing to adopt them. That is, it appears that functionality trumps carry-ability at this point - but if you can do both, people would be thrilled. That's part of the reason why the new Treo 600 has been so hot lately. It's the first device that comes close to still being a good converged device. I'm sure the next generation devices will go even further.

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For a while, it seemed like the idea of "convergence" was going out of style. It would come and go as people talk about various devices and services picking up more features. However, convergence means more than adding a camera to your phone or an internet connection to your TV -- but in figuring out what entirely new opportunities these combinations open up. Om Malik is pointing to a piece by Ramesh Jain suggesting that the future of convergence is about combining content, communication and computing -- but that too many are only focusing on two of the three aspects (or really just understand one of the three). True convergence occurs when a company clearly understands all three, and what the implications are of that convergence beyond feature creep. We've already mentioned that one of the "unexpected" side effects of convergence is that it's also convergi ng business models -- leaving some companies out in the cold when they discover their business model no longer makes sense. Witness Cablevision's ability to give away phone service. Of course, telcos are looking at convergence on their own, and this can be seen in SBC's announcement today that they're workin g on a set-top box that goes beyond what most current set-top boxes do. Basically, they're yet another company trying to create the ultimate "digital entertainment hub" with a DVR, internet access, photo/video/music storage and more. Of course, it's likely they're attacking this from a broadcast (content) perspective, rather than a communication one, but it's pretty clear that these battles are heating up, and companies who aren't figuring out the interplay between content, communication and computing aren't going to be around very long.

Convergence Bridge


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nonsense(posted from Montreal)
A
s many of you know, I have recently become enamoured of complexity theory, and this has caused me to re-think many of the ideas presented here on How to Save the World. I am blogging today from Montreal, where I have been attending the First Annual Global Colloquium on Complexity and Chaos. The event has catalyzed or emerged some new conceptions about the nature of communications, and specifically blogging, and I have decided, starting tomorrow, to incorporate these thoughts into this online journal. So get ready for some big changes here. Beginning tomorrow:
  • The red, blue, and green system charts and process charts you have become accustomed to on this blog will be discontinued. In their place you will see graphics such as the one above. The lack of borders on these charts indicates the omnipresence of intellectual miasma, and the lack of connections on these charts represents universal uncertainty. All that we can presume to know is that ideas and conceptions have the apparent quality of co-existence and that understanding of their relationship will, with time and contemplative study, gradually emerge.
  • No arrows will appear in any graphics from now on. Such presumptions of causality are, at best, oversimplifications and, at worst, dangerous misinformation.
  • The words question, answer, problem and solution will be scrubbed from posts on this blog. In our world, as a complex system, these concepts are meaningless. There are no answers or solutions, just learnings about ideation, being and nothingness, consciousness and unconsciousness.
  • You will no longer read the words 'how' or 'why' on this blog. In the absence of causality on the edge of chaos such terms are pretentious. Effective tomorrow the name of this weblog will be Convergence Bridge.
  • The categories feature of this weblog will be discontinued. Since everything is related and the true relationship between the conceptions discussed uncertain, it no longer 'makes sense' to have artificial categories. And instead of arguing, as I have in past, in favour of personal taxonomies and ontologies, I will argue, in the first article tomorrow, that there are no taxonomies or ontologies, and that such arbitrary categorizations are fraudulent.
  • I will also eschew the use of the question mark in all posts, since questions imply the existence with reasonable certainty of answers. Instead, I will begin using the 'degree' symbol (º), the circle representing the endless pursuit of perfect understanding at points in my discourse where a 'pause' for considered thought is called for. Likewise, periods, with their naive implication of order and finality, will be replaced by commas, the perfect symbol of tentativeness and uncertainty,
  • And finally, the absurd words 'know', 'knowledge' and 'information' will no longer appear in my posts. Again, a symbol, the colon, with its gentle suggestion of possible relationship, will be used in place of such anachronisms,º
It is my sincere belief that these changes will allow a higher level of intellectual discourse on these pages: I look forward to our continued journey together:º

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Illegal convergence


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Emulating Errors for Tag Convergence 03/23/2005 12:34 PM

One possible solution I see for the Tag Divergence problem is errors.  When people communicate verbally, mistakes are often made and miscommunication results.  What if such miscommunication is possible in a tag system?  What if services like Flickr or Delicious are capable of confusion?  This idea sounds crazy at first which is a good sign.  ;-)

Let's see.  What if similar tags (in terms of edit distance or some other aspect) were merged randomly?  Tags like dog, dogs, dag, and dig would get confused (aka merged) into one.  It doesn't matter which tag is chosen because more common tag will eventually emerge.  Problems stemmng from intentional tag confusion mechanism needs to be minimized but I don't think they are serious if they are constrained appropriately.

Accumulation of confusion over time has a kick on it's own so I think confusions have to be soft.  I am still trying to figure out what soft means so don't feel bad if you don't understand what I am saying.


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Playing the convergence game 08/16/2004 06:56 AM
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ONStor's virtual NAS for SAN convergence


ONStor's virtual NAS for SAN convergence 05/27/2004 04:51 AM
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Convergence calls at college


Convergence calls at college 04/13/2005 08:07 AM
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Intel CEO Calls For More Convergence


Intel CEO Calls For More Convergence 02/18/2003 08:22 PM
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Lawmakers: Convergence could be end of
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U.S. representatives took an opportunity during a "show-and-tell" hearing on voice-and-data convergence technologies to suggest that the 1996 Telecommunications Act should be rewritten -- or scrapped altogether.

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Carriers invest in convergence 11/14/2003 05:45 AM
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Squandering the Convergence Bill 01/24/2004 02:19 AM
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More Unexpected Convergence: Printing
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The folks who think that it's weird to mix a camera and a phone will love this one. Epson is jumping on the convergence bandwagon with a plan to turn your TV into a printer. The idea is to have printable data sent with TV programming. For example, if you're watching a commercial and are interested in the product, you could immediately print out a catalog. Of course, I imagine that shows like The Daily Show might have a blast with the possibilities of this kind of technology.

Other News: HP Digital Convergence


Other News: HP Digital Convergence 01/06/2005 11:49 AM
HP rolls out a roadmap for the "digital living room".

The Meanings and Implications of
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The Meanings and Implications of
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ojr.org/ojr/business/1068686368.php
track this site | 4 links


Wireless Convergence by 2010


Wireless Convergence by 2010 06/23/2004 02:36 AM
Panel of 5 industry leading companies agree that wireless convergence will be deployed by 2010. [PRWEB Jun 23, 2004]

Real's Harmony Arrives with Convergence


Real's Harmony Arrives with Convergence 07/27/2004 12:32 PM
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BPM and workflow: A convergence driving
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BPM and workflow: A convergence driving
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A True Convergence of Drinking and
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Saab's new 9-5 2.0T Biopower sedan runs on regular boring old gas and pumps out a respectable 148 horses. But, because its an F FV (Flex-Fuel Vehicle), fill it up with E85 ethanol (or grain alcohol to you, rummy) and, with the turbo (especially suited for use in ethanol powered vehicles because of ethanol's higher octane), the power is boosted to 184 horses while reducing the bulk of emissions and using a renewable energy source. Only problem is that there are only a little over 300 eth anol fueling stations in the US, it should be noted that the car is not aimed at the US market so our loss is Europe's gain (though not for long). [More Inside]
Read about it last night in the latest issue of Popular Science. Previous MeFi ethanol post.
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