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Predictions for 2004







Predictions for 2004

Predictions for 2004 12/31/2003 07:25 PM

Enterprise software backlash. After being a temporarily fashionable haven from the dotcom collapse, enterprise software takes a beating Hybrid social...




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Predictions for 2004

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2004 Predictions


2004 Predictions 01/02/2004 11:02 PM

Bob's Predictions for 2004: Yet another set of year-end predictions. I like this one, though.

As for SCO, they'll continue to make noise until the middle of the year, at which point the legal case will implode and the company will give up. By that time, the company executives, insiders, and major investors will have all sold their positions at a handsome profit. This was never more than a stock scam, pushing the price of SCO shares up by more than 15 times.

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"predictions for 2004."


"predictions for 2004." 01/05/2004 03:42 AM

U2 Predictions for 2004


U2 Predictions for 2004 12/31/2003 07:26 PM
Upon doing a Google news search for 2004 predictions, these are some of the most entertaining I found.

predictions for 2004


predictions for 2004 01/01/2004 06:48 AM
prediction .. Tim Blair .. Blair

timblair.spleenville.com/archives/005556.php
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"prédictions 2004"


"prédictions 2004" 01/03/2004 10:00 PM

Cringely's 2004 Predictions


Cringely's 2004 Predictions 01/03/2004 08:14 AM
somethinghollow writes "Cringely's 2004 Predictions are out, and he makes a very interesting claim concerning Linux: 'The SCO debacle has created a crisis ...

Tech Predictions for 2004


Tech Predictions for 2004 01/01/2004 11:04 AM

More Linux Predictions for 2004


More Linux Predictions for 2004 01/02/2004 11:57 AM
An anonymous reader writes "Experts, shmexperts - it's time for the Linux community's own predictions, felt the editors of LinuxWorld Magazine. ...

Security Predictions of 2004


Security Predictions of 2004 01/05/2004 06:07 AM
Slashdot Jan 5 2004 5:15AM ET

Security Predictions For 2004


Security Predictions For 2004 12/31/2003 12:04 PM

webl0g predictions for 2004?


webl0g predictions for 2004? 01/18/2004 02:33 AM
blogroots is shaking off its stupor, and i'd love to see other people's guesses about the future

My 2004 predictions and a look back


My 2004 predictions and a look back 12/23/2003 09:12 PM
Here are my predictions for 2004, with a look back at my predictions for this year.

2004: Analyst predictions


2004: Analyst predictions 01/02/2004 06:04 AM
vnunet.com Jan 2 2004 5:22AM ET

R.a..n,d,.,m p,u,,,c.t,,u_a.t.1..0.n:
Security predictions for 2004


R.a..n,d,.,m p,u,,,c.t,,u_a.t.1..0.n:
Security predictions for 2004
01/06/2004 08:06 AM
ComputerWorld

computerworld.com.au/index.php?id=2057465071&fp=16&fpi d=0
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Security predictions for 2004


Security predictions for 2004 12/30/2003 01:38 AM

UK's Independent predictions for 2004


UK's Independent predictions for 2004 01/02/2004 04:48 AM
According to Independent.co.uk .. your look forward

news.independent.co.uk/digital/features/story.jsp?story=4770 04
track this site | 5 links


Scott McNealy's 2004 Predictions


Scott McNealy's 2004 Predictions 01/08/2004 08:27 PM
Companies like Salesforce.com, eBay, and Google are in the software business, but they don't sell their software, they let you use it or rent it. ...

For the most part, our predictions for
2004 came true


For the most part, our predictions for
2004 came true
12/27/2004 01:08 PM
SiliconValley.com Dec 27 2004 4:10PM GMT

National Review's predictions for 2004


National Review's predictions for 2004 12/30/2003 08:56 PM
reaching into the future .. Symposium: Predictions .. Symposium : .. predicts

nationalreview.com/symposium/predictions200312300000.asp
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Brent’s Psychic Predictions for
2004


Brent’s Psychic Predictions for
2004
12/30/2003 02:53 PM
Are RSS aggregators pretty much there, just needing some tweaks and small features—or at they still at the very beginning of their evolution, with a long road still ahead?

This question was asked on the NetNewsWire beta testing list. It’s a good question.

Answer: aggregators still have a long road ahead. What you see now is just the beginning.

I have an idea of some of the things you’ll see in 2004 (not just in NetNewsWire but in aggregators in general). So consider this as Brent’s psychic predictions for 2004.

1. Atom syndication support. Some aggregators already have this, and I suspect most will by mid-2004.

2. Synching. The idea is to synchronize not only your subscription lists but also the read/unread status of individual headlines—and to make it so it works between different apps, even apps running on different operating systems.

3. Easier subscribing. One of the problems for new users is the problem of subscribing to feeds. The “feed” URL scheme is a step forward here, because it makes it so you can subscribe to feeds directly from your browser. It also means instead of lots of ways to do this, which is inherently confusing, aggregator developers and users can collapse it down to one way. (I suspect there will be other good ideas too—especially in the realm of finding feeds.) Making all this easy for new users is a high priority.

Anyway... individual aggregators, NetNewsWire included, will add lots of other new features not listed above. The above are just the things I predict aggregators will do in common for 2004. I expect lots of innovation to come from all over, but I can’t predict what those innovations will be.

Years from now aggregators will be like email apps: we’ll know what an aggregator should do and what the UI conventions are. But for now we get to be creative, try new ideas, see what sticks. So—my last prediction—I except 2004 to be fun.

More Open Source Predictions For 2004,
From Readers (TechWeb)


More Open Source Predictions For 2004,
From Readers (TechWeb)
01/10/2004 04:56 AM
TechWeb - Virtualization, blades and SANs will continue to gain popularity. Microsoft may port SQL Server to Linux. SCO must win its lawsuit, or the company will die. And there's more to open source than just Linux.

Tech, business possibilities for 2004: a
multiple-choice predictions quiz


Tech, business possibilities for 2004: a
multiple-choice predictions quiz
12/31/2003 07:16 AM
SiliconValley.com Dec 31 2003 6:43AM ET

Two Steps Foward, Two Steps Back: Bob's
Predictions for 2004


Two Steps Foward, Two Steps Back: Bob's
Predictions for 2004
01/03/2004 08:17 AM

pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/pulpit20040101.html
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Ideal Predictions, More Likely
Predictions


Ideal Predictions, More Likely
Predictions
12/30/2003 12:06 PM
It's the time of year for predictions, and Wired News has done a little twist on the typical "predictions for 2004" story by having prediction s that a variety of interesting people would like to see happen, along with what they actually expect to happen. The end result is pretty much what you'd expect: people would like to see less spam, better security, and better intellectual property laws - but expect the opposite to happen.

2005 Predictions


2005 Predictions 01/06/2005 09:49 PM
Information Week Jan 7 2005 1:14AM GMT

The Sad State of Predictions


The Sad State of Predictions 02/01/2005 08:50 PM
Around April 12th, 2004, I made the following prediction in a forum post: Here is a fun game to play...

"More New Hampshire Predictions"


"More New Hampshire Predictions" 01/27/2004 02:55 PM

Football: FA Cup predictions


Football: FA Cup predictions 01/23/2004 02:19 PM
Mark Lawrenson's predictions for this weekend's FA Cup ties.

Predictions for 2005


Predictions for 2005 12/30/2004 04:43 AM
If idle hands are the devil's tools, then boredom at work must be his machine gun. In that spirit, here is this years (embarrassingly early) entry to a continuing K5 tradition, Predictions 2005, plus a look back at least years predictions.

Predictions for 2003


Predictions for 2003 01/06/2003 11:29 AM

Predictions to take to your broker


Predictions to take to your broker 12/27/2004 03:53 PM
CNN Money Dec 27 2004 8:21PM GMT

My predictions for 2005


My predictions for 2005 12/31/2004 12:31 PM
2004 was the Year of the iPod and a great year for Apple. Although there were many major Mac developments, including the iMac G5, the iPod took the spotlight this year as the hottest must-have...

[[ Visit http://www.macmegasite.com for full article ]]

3 Box-Office Predictions


3 Box-Office Predictions 09/10/2004 09:22 AM
Crystal balls are so much cooler when the screen is wide.

More PlayStation 3 Predictions


More PlayStation 3 Predictions 03/20/2003 09:36 AM

Battelle's 17 predictions


Battelle's 17 predictions 12/24/2004 12:55 PM

Here' s what John Battelle is saying is gonna happen next year.

Crystal Ball

Here we are again, the end of the year. Last year I did pretty well with my prognostications, mainly because I chose carefully. This time, I'm feeling a bit more reckless. A year from now, I am sure I'll be scratching my head - what was I thinking? - but then again, that's not such a bad place to be.


So in no particular order, here are some things that I believe have a reasonable chance of occurring in 2005 with regard to the intersection of media, technology, and search.


1. We will have a goat rodeo of sorts in the blogging/micropublishing/RSS world as commercial interests push into what many consider a "pure medium." I've seen this movie before, and it ends OK. But it's important that the debate be full throated, and so far it looks to be shaping up that way. I'm already seeing these forces at work over at Boing Boing, and I am sure they will continue. We'll all work on figuring out ways to stick to our principles and get paid at the same time, however, I expect that things might get more contentious before they get better, and 2005 may be a more fractious year in the blogosphere as we evolve through this process.


2. Along those lines, things will not go as swimmingly as we'd like with regard to "monetizat ion." As the majors get into the space and start throwing around their weight and lucre, some folks will make bad decisions, and others will freeze and make no decisions at all. It will get harder to innovate before it gets easier. We'll all be surprised by the lack of what we consider "progress" in the RSS/Blogging world, and expectations of major publishing revenues will not materialize as quickly as perhaps we think they should. However, we'll in fact be making huge strides in understanding the path forward, it just won't seem like it. By the end of the year, the world will begin to realize that "blogs" are in fact an extraordinarily heterogeneous ecosystem comprised of scores, if not hundreds, of different "types" of sites.


3. There will be two to five major new sites that emerge from "nowhere" to become major cultural influencers along the lines of the political bloggers of 2004. One of them will be sold to a major publisher/aggregator for what seems like a large sum of money, driving the abovementioned #2 and #3.


4. Meanwhile, the long tail will become the talk of the "old line" media world. To capture some of that value, we'll see a slew of deals and new publishing projects from the established brands that seek to capture the idea of community journalism, affiliate commerce sales, and collaborative content creation.


5. Google will do something major with Blogger. I really have no idea what, but it's overdue. Six Apart will grow quickly but face a crisis in its implementation as its core users demand more features that are "unbloglike" like customer databases and robust publishing support tools. This (and other things) may drive Six Apart or one of its competitors into the arms of Yahoo or AOL or even - gasp - Quark or Adobe or Marcomedia.


6. Ask will continue to consolidate traffic by buying smaller search sites.


7. Yahoo and Google will both test systems that combine local merchant inventory information with search, so that merchants can use search as a direct sales channel. By the end of the year, there will be no question that the search companies are in direct competition with the ecommerce companies, but it won't matter - there's room for them all. Paul Ford will continue to get droves of readers to his related, and very prescient, three year old post on how Google takes over the world.


8. Microsoft will lose search share before they gain it back later in the year when the integration of MSN search starts to scale with new versions of Office and IE . Net net, however, MSFT will gain total in total search sessions from last year, and its technology will get much, much better.


9. Firefox will near 15% of total browser share. Firefox faithful will wonder why it's not much much higher. But MSFT will release a very good upgrade of IE, see #8.


10. A third party platform player with major economies of scale (ie eBay or Amazon) will release a search related innovation that blows everyone's mind, and has everyone buzzing about how it redefines what's possible in search.


11. The China question will become a critical issue to the search community. Defining the China question will in itself be a major task of 2005. How do search companies go in without being "evil"? Is the tradeoff worth it?


12. By the end of the year, there will be no question that search is a media business, and that the major players in search are major players in the content business.


13. Something major will finally happen at Tivo. We all hope that it's a sale to Apple, but if it is a sale, it will more likely be to Comcast or DirecTv.


14. All year, Apple will be rumored to launch a video iPod, but it won't - it's still too early. By the end of 2005, we will just be starting to see traction in the video over IP market and its connection to search. Google will introduce Video search at some point in 05, but it will stay in Labs.


15. Mobile will finally be plugged into the web in a way that makes sense for the average user and a major mobile innovation - the kind that makes us all say - Jeez that was obvious - will occur. At the core of this innovation will be the concept of search. The outlines of such an innovation: it'll be a way for mobile users to gather the unstructured data they leverage every day while talking on the phone and make it useful to their personal web (including email and RSS, in particular). And it will be a business that looks and feels like a Web 2.0 business - leveraging iterative web development practices, open APIs, and innovation in assembly - that makes the leap. (More on this when I start posting again).


16. Perhaps most recklessly...I will finish my book. The reviews will be mixed, as my attempt to satisfy both the exacting audience of Searchbloggers and the more general audience of a major trade hardcover may fall flat. Many will say I tried to do too much, others that I didn't do nearly enough (how's that for airing my deepest fears in public?!). However, I'll be happy with the effort, and the book will do OK, thanks mainly to the support of this community. So, ahead of time, thanks for your support this past year. I learned more from this process than I ever thought possible, and I owe it all to you, who grace my site with your time and input.


17. Lastly, I will be involved in starting a new business in the field of media and technology. It will start very slowly, and I'll screw up as much as I possibly can in the early stages, before imposing it on the rest of the world. Hopefully, you'll all be there to keep me honest as I try to figure out a few ideas I've been simmering for the past year or so.


Unless there's a major story which breaks in the next week or so, I'm signing off for the year, and look forward to resuming posting in 2005. Have a wonderful holiday, and a prosperous, healthy New Year. Oh, and please add your thoughts on 2005 below - I know I missed a lot....

[Batte lle's Searchblog]


The SEM CEO's Predictions, Part 1


The SEM CEO's Predictions, Part 1 12/27/2004 12:39 PM

Lawro's Premiership predictions


Lawro's Premiership predictions 04/16/2004 02:16 PM
Mark Lawrenson's tips for the weekend's Premiership games.

Priceline Pounded for Predictions


Priceline Pounded for Predictions 08/03/2004 10:53 AM
The dot-com travel survivor struggles against an unforgiving market and unfortunate realities.

Other News: PC Sales Predictions


Other News: PC Sales Predictions 05/21/2004 10:07 AM
Gartner says PC replacement sales are going to be hot this year and next. (Will Apple get any "switchers" among the buyers?)
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Predictions for 2004

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