Brent’s Psychic Predictions for 2004

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Psychic and other predictions revisited

Psychic and other predictions revisited 12/28/2004 03:40 PM
There's still time for some of these 2004 predictions to come true, but not much. For those of us who like schadenfreude (pleasure at another's mis-fortune, har): the p aranormal survey, the pet psychic, the banal, the faith-based.

Another ’honor’ victim:
Daughter, raped by brothers, killed by
mother

Another ’honor’ victim:
Daughter, raped by brothers, killed by
mother 11/18/2003 10:21 AM
practical approach to the 'family honor" business .. should read this horrifying story

azcentral.com/news/articles/1114HonorKilling14-ON.html
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’The War Has Started’ --
Allied troops in firefight in/near Basra

’The War Has Started’ --
Allied troops in firefight in/near Basra 03/19/2003 10:46 PM
article at This Is London, .. has already begun .. Evening Standard .. More Shots Fired .. It Starts .. First

track this site | 18 links

What’s in Howard Dean’s
Secret Vermont Files?

What’s in Howard Dean’s
Secret Vermont Files? 12/02/2003 01:54 AM
Dr. Dean in High Gear .. unlikely admirer: .. MSNBC Reports: .. great lengths .. (*)

msnbc.com/news/999347.asp
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2004 Predictions

2004 Predictions 01/02/2004 11:02 PM

Bob's Predictions for 2004: Yet another set of year-end predictions. I like this one, though.

As for SCO, they'll continue to make noise until the middle of the year, at which point the legal case will implode and the company will give up. By that time, the company executives, insiders, and major investors will have all sold their positions at a handsome profit. This was never more than a stock scam, pushing the price of SCO shares up by more than 15 times.

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"prédictions 2004"

"prédictions 2004" 01/03/2004 10:00 PM

Predictions for 2004

Predictions for 2004 12/31/2003 07:25 PM
Enterprise software backlash. After being a temporarily fashionable haven from the dotcom collapse, enterprise software takes a beating Hybrid social...

"predictions for 2004."

"predictions for 2004." 01/05/2004 03:42 AM

predictions for 2004

predictions for 2004 01/01/2004 06:48 AM
prediction .. Tim Blair .. Blair

timblair.spleenville.com/archives/005556.php
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U2 Predictions for 2004

U2 Predictions for 2004 12/31/2003 07:26 PM
Upon doing a Google news search for 2004 predictions, these are some of the most entertaining I found.

Security Predictions of 2004

Security Predictions of 2004 01/05/2004 06:07 AM
Slashdot Jan 5 2004 5:15AM ET

R.a..n,d,.,m p,u,,,c.t,,u_a.t.1..0.n:
Security predictions for 2004

R.a..n,d,.,m p,u,,,c.t,,u_a.t.1..0.n:
Security predictions for 2004 01/06/2004 08:06 AM
ComputerWorld

computerworld.com.au/index.php?id=2057465071&fp=16&fpi d=0
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webl0g predictions for 2004?

webl0g predictions for 2004? 01/18/2004 02:33 AM
blogroots is shaking off its stupor, and i'd love to see other people's guesses about the future

My 2004 predictions and a look back

My 2004 predictions and a look back 12/23/2003 09:12 PM
Here are my predictions for 2004, with a look back at my predictions for this year.

Cringely's 2004 Predictions

Cringely's 2004 Predictions 01/03/2004 08:14 AM
somethinghollow writes "Cringely's 2004 Predictions are out, and he makes a very interesting claim concerning Linux: 'The SCO debacle has created a crisis ...

2004: Analyst predictions

2004: Analyst predictions 01/02/2004 06:04 AM
vnunet.com Jan 2 2004 5:22AM ET

More Linux Predictions for 2004

More Linux Predictions for 2004 01/02/2004 11:57 AM
An anonymous reader writes "Experts, shmexperts - it's time for the Linux community's own predictions, felt the editors of LinuxWorld Magazine. ...

Security predictions for 2004

Security predictions for 2004 12/30/2003 01:38 AM

Security Predictions For 2004

Security Predictions For 2004 12/31/2003 12:04 PM

Tech Predictions for 2004

Tech Predictions for 2004 01/01/2004 11:04 AM

National Review's predictions for 2004

National Review's predictions for 2004 12/30/2003 08:56 PM
reaching into the future .. Symposium: Predictions .. Symposium : .. predicts

nationalreview.com/symposium/predictions200312300000.asp
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For the most part, our predictions for
2004 came true

For the most part, our predictions for
2004 came true 12/27/2004 01:08 PM
SiliconValley.com Dec 27 2004 4:10PM GMT

UK's Independent predictions for 2004

UK's Independent predictions for 2004 01/02/2004 04:48 AM
According to Independent.co.uk .. your look forward

news.independent.co.uk/digital/features/story.jsp?story=4770 04
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Scott McNealy's 2004 Predictions

Scott McNealy's 2004 Predictions 01/08/2004 08:27 PM
Companies like Salesforce.com, eBay, and Google are in the software business, but they don't sell their software, they let you use it or rent it. ...

More Open Source Predictions For 2004,
From Readers (TechWeb)

More Open Source Predictions For 2004,
From Readers (TechWeb) 01/10/2004 04:56 AM
TechWeb - Virtualization, blades and SANs will continue to gain popularity. Microsoft may port SQL Server to Linux. SCO must win its lawsuit, or the company will die. And there's more to open source than just Linux.

The Atlantic Online | September 2004 |
Inside Al-Qaeda’s Hard Drive |
Alan Cullison

The Atlantic Online | September 2004 |
Inside Al-Qaeda’s Hard Drive |
Alan Cullison 08/12/2004 04:21 AM
The Atlantic Online: Inside Al-Qaeda€™s Hard Drive .. A peek at Al Qaeda pre 9/11

theatlantic.com/doc/print/200409/cullison
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Tech, business possibilities for 2004: a
multiple-choice predictions quiz

Tech, business possibilities for 2004: a
multiple-choice predictions quiz 12/31/2003 07:16 AM
SiliconValley.com Dec 31 2003 6:43AM ET

Two Steps Foward, Two Steps Back: Bob's
Predictions for 2004

Two Steps Foward, Two Steps Back: Bob's
Predictions for 2004 01/03/2004 08:17 AM

pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/pulpit20040101.html
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Ideal Predictions, More Likely
Predictions

Ideal Predictions, More Likely
Predictions 12/30/2003 12:06 PM
It's the time of year for predictions, and Wired News has done a little twist on the typical "predictions for 2004" story by having prediction s that a variety of interesting people would like to see happen, along with what they actually expect to happen. The end result is pretty much what you'd expect: people would like to see less spam, better security, and better intellectual property laws - but expect the opposite to happen.

Psychic TV turned on again

Psychic TV turned on again 09/06/2004 05:23 AM
David Pescovitz: Transmedia artist Genesis P-Orridge has reactivated his seminal industrial/trance band Psychic TV to tour Europe and the United States beginning this month. Last winter, I was fortunate enough to catch a rehearsal and they sounded fabulous--tight, energized, and... happy. (Douglas Rushkoff was playing keyboards with the group for several dates late last year but will not be joining this particular "de-tour.")

Genesis is quite a sight these days as well. As part of the Breaking Sex art exploration he's immersed in with his other half, Lady Jaye, the two received identical breast implants on Valentine's Day 2003. Gen's new mantra? "S/he is Her/e." Link

A Date with Nir-The Psychic Poet

A Date with Nir-The Psychic Poet 02/01/2005 09:59 PM
Don't want to be alone on Valentines Day?

Free Psychic Test

Free Psychic Test 06/03/2004 02:20 AM
Ad - http://www.sixthsearch.com Jun 3 2004 7:20AM GMT

Psychic action enthrals gamers

Psychic action enthrals gamers 09/13/2004 04:58 AM
Second Sight offers a compelling storyline that keeps gamers coming back for me.

Psychic: Jackson Denied He Abused Kids
(AP)

Psychic: Jackson Denied He Abused Kids
(AP) 01/18/2004 11:27 AM
AP - Psychic Uri Geller defended his friend Michael Jackson on Sunday, saying the pop singer denied under hypnosis three years ago that he had sexually abused children.

St. Louis-Area Chamber Fires Psychic
(AP)

St. Louis-Area Chamber Fires Psychic
(AP) 08/27/2004 01:59 PM
AP - Maybe David Levin should have seen it coming: An economic development group fired him as a consultant over concern that his self-professed psychic powers were interfering with his work.

Brent on Inside Mac Radio

Brent on Inside Mac Radio 02/16/2004 10:51 PM
Brent spoke with the folks at Inside Mac Radio on Saturday. An archive of the show is available for download here.

Interview with Brent Simmons

Interview with Brent Simmons 02/01/2005 10:07 PM
Jeff Harrell intervi ewed Brent Simmons about NetNewsWire, MarsEdit, syndication, and Macworld Expo rumors.

Second Sight seeing The trials of a
psychic scientist makes for an
engrossing game

Second Sight seeing The trials of a
psychic scientist makes for an
engrossing game 09/07/2004 08:48 AM
BBC Sep 7 2004 12:49PM GMT

Brent fever hits Microsoft UK

Brent fever hits Microsoft UK 01/23/2004 02:24 PM
The Office's David Brent has gone down a storm at Microsoft UK, where staff are said to be queueing up for management training just so they can get a glimpse of the videos. Just don't tell Bill. Employees at Microsoft's UK office are said to be practically queueing up for management training after the company brought in David Brent, the infamous manager from the BBC's hit series The Office, to help with training.
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My predictions for 2005

My predictions for 2005 12/31/2004 12:31 PM
2004 was the Year of the iPod and a great year for Apple. Although there were many major Mac developments, including the iMac G5, the iPod took the spotlight this year as the hottest must-have...

[[ Visit http://www.macmegasite.com for full article ]]

Predictions for 2005

Predictions for 2005 12/30/2004 04:43 AM
If idle hands are the devil's tools, then boredom at work must be his machine gun. In that spirit, here is this years (embarrassingly early) entry to a continuing K5 tradition, Predictions 2005, plus a look back at least years predictions.

2005 Predictions

2005 Predictions 01/06/2005 09:49 PM
Information Week Jan 7 2005 1:14AM GMT

VoIP Predictions for 2005

VoIP Predictions for 2005 01/02/2005 03:56 PM
Slashdot Jan 2 2005 8:06PM GMT

Dynamically Typed: PHP Predictions for
2005

Dynamically Typed: PHP Predictions for
2005 01/03/2005 10:17 AM
With all of the people looking back to what was 2004 of in the PHP world, it's good to see that Harry Fuecks has a look toward the future, speculati ng what will be to come in the PHP community.

Battelle's tech predictions for 2005

Battelle's tech predictions for 2005 12/24/2004 12:29 PM
Xeni Jardin: John Battelle gazes knowingly into a crystal ball, and reports "things that I believe have a reasonable chance of occurring in 2005 with regard to the intersection of media, technology, and search." Really good stuff here, consider it required reading. Link

"John Battelle?s predictions for 2005"

"John Battelle?s predictions for 2005" 01/03/2005 10:35 AM

Commissioner takes spotlight on Parmalat
Few brokerages making predictions for
2005 Poll: Half of Am

Commissioner takes spotlight on Parmalat
Few brokerages making predictions for
2005 Poll: Half of Am 12/22/2004 01:30 AM
Seattletimes.nwsource.com - Sun Dec 19, 11:36 pm GMT

Few brokerages making predictions for
2005 Fannie Mae board meets to talk
shake-up Kia Spectra gets

Few brokerages making predictions for
2005 Fannie Mae board meets to talk
shake-up Kia Spectra gets 12/22/2004 01:30 AM
Seattletimes.nwsource.com - Mon Dec 20, 11:38 am GMT

Class Action Suit Averted As Appeals
Court Rules That Steve Jobs Is Not
Psychic

Class Action Suit Averted As Appeals
Court Rules That Steve Jobs Is Not
Psychic 04/11/2005 10:12 AM

A federal appeals court last week upheld a lower court's ruling that Apple investors cannot sue the company over the fact that the Power Mac G4 Cube didn't live up to Apple's predictions. By Laurie Duncan, Unofficial Apple Weblog

Football: FA Cup predictions

Football: FA Cup predictions 01/23/2004 02:19 PM
Mark Lawrenson's predictions for this weekend's FA Cup ties.

3 Box-Office Predictions

3 Box-Office Predictions 09/10/2004 09:22 AM
Crystal balls are so much cooler when the screen is wide.

"More New Hampshire Predictions"

"More New Hampshire Predictions" 01/27/2004 02:55 PM

Predictions to take to your broker

Predictions to take to your broker 12/27/2004 03:53 PM
CNN Money Dec 27 2004 8:21PM GMT

More PlayStation 3 Predictions

More PlayStation 3 Predictions 03/20/2003 09:36 AM

Battelle's 17 predictions

Battelle's 17 predictions 12/24/2004 12:55 PM

Here' s what John Battelle is saying is gonna happen next year.

Here we are again, the end of the year. Last year I did pretty well with my prognostications, mainly because I chose carefully. This time, I'm feeling a bit more reckless. A year from now, I am sure I'll be scratching my head - what was I thinking? - but then again, that's not such a bad place to be.

So in no particular order, here are some things that I believe have a reasonable chance of occurring in 2005 with regard to the intersection of media, technology, and search.

1. We will have a goat rodeo of sorts in the blogging/micropublishing/RSS world as commercial interests push into what many consider a "pure medium." I've seen this movie before, and it ends OK. But it's important that the debate be full throated, and so far it looks to be shaping up that way. I'm already seeing these forces at work over at Boing Boing, and I am sure they will continue. We'll all work on figuring out ways to stick to our principles and get paid at the same time, however, I expect that things might get more contentious before they get better, and 2005 may be a more fractious year in the blogosphere as we evolve through this process.

2. Along those lines, things will not go as swimmingly as we'd like with regard to "monetizat ion." As the majors get into the space and start throwing around their weight and lucre, some folks will make bad decisions, and others will freeze and make no decisions at all. It will get harder to innovate before it gets easier. We'll all be surprised by the lack of what we consider "progress" in the RSS/Blogging world, and expectations of major publishing revenues will not materialize as quickly as perhaps we think they should. However, we'll in fact be making huge strides in understanding the path forward, it just won't seem like it. By the end of the year, the world will begin to realize that "blogs" are in fact an extraordinarily heterogeneous ecosystem comprised of scores, if not hundreds, of different "types" of sites.

3. There will be two to five major new sites that emerge from "nowhere" to become major cultural influencers along the lines of the political bloggers of 2004. One of them will be sold to a major publisher/aggregator for what seems like a large sum of money, driving the abovementioned #2 and #3.

4. Meanwhile, the long tail will become the talk of the "old line" media world. To capture some of that value, we'll see a slew of deals and new publishing projects from the established brands that seek to capture the idea of community journalism, affiliate commerce sales, and collaborative content creation.

5. Google will do something major with Blogger. I really have no idea what, but it's overdue. Six Apart will grow quickly but face a crisis in its implementation as its core users demand more features that are "unbloglike" like customer databases and robust publishing support tools. This (and other things) may drive Six Apart or one of its competitors into the arms of Yahoo or AOL or even - gasp - Quark or Adobe or Marcomedia.

6. Ask will continue to consolidate traffic by buying smaller search sites.

7. Yahoo and Google will both test systems that combine local merchant inventory information with search, so that merchants can use search as a direct sales channel. By the end of the year, there will be no question that the search companies are in direct competition with the ecommerce companies, but it won't matter - there's room for them all. Paul Ford will continue to get droves of readers to his related, and very prescient, three year old post on how Google takes over the world.

8. Microsoft will lose search share before they gain it back later in the year when the integration of MSN search starts to scale with new versions of Office and IE . Net net, however, MSFT will gain total in total search sessions from last year, and its technology will get much, much better.

9. Firefox will near 15% of total browser share. Firefox faithful will wonder why it's not much much higher. But MSFT will release a very good upgrade of IE, see #8.

10. A third party platform player with major economies of scale (ie eBay or Amazon) will release a search related innovation that blows everyone's mind, and has everyone buzzing about how it redefines what's possible in search.

11. The China question will become a critical issue to the search community. Defining the China question will in itself be a major task of 2005. How do search companies go in without being "evil"? Is the tradeoff worth it?

12. By the end of the year, there will be no question that search is a media business, and that the major players in search are major players in the content business.

13. Something major will finally happen at Tivo. We all hope that it's a sale to Apple, but if it is a sale, it will more likely be to Comcast or DirecTv.

14. All year, Apple will be rumored to launch a video iPod, but it won't - it's still too early. By the end of 2005, we will just be starting to see traction in the video over IP market and its connection to search. Google will introduce Video search at some point in 05, but it will stay in Labs.

15. Mobile will finally be plugged into the web in a way that makes sense for the average user and a major mobile innovation - the kind that makes us all say - Jeez that was obvious - will occur. At the core of this innovation will be the concept of search. The outlines of such an innovation: it'll be a way for mobile users to gather the unstructured data they leverage every day while talking on the phone and make it useful to their personal web (including email and RSS, in particular). And it will be a business that looks and feels like a Web 2.0 business - leveraging iterative web development practices, open APIs, and innovation in assembly - that makes the leap. (More on this when I start posting again).

16. Perhaps most recklessly...I will finish my book. The reviews will be mixed, as my attempt to satisfy both the exacting audience of Searchbloggers and the more general audience of a major trade hardcover may fall flat. Many will say I tried to do too much, others that I didn't do nearly enough (how's that for airing my deepest fears in public?!). However, I'll be happy with the effort, and the book will do OK, thanks mainly to the support of this community. So, ahead of time, thanks for your support this past year. I learned more from this process than I ever thought possible, and I owe it all to you, who grace my site with your time and input.

17. Lastly, I will be involved in starting a new business in the field of media and technology. It will start very slowly, and I'll screw up as much as I possibly can in the early stages, before imposing it on the rest of the world. Hopefully, you'll all be there to keep me honest as I try to figure out a few ideas I've been simmering for the past year or so.

Unless there's a major story which breaks in the next week or so, I'm signing off for the year, and look forward to resuming posting in 2005. Have a wonderful holiday, and a prosperous, healthy New Year. Oh, and please add your thoughts on 2005 below - I know I missed a lot....

[Batte lle's Searchblog]

Brent’s Psychic Predictions for 2004

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