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Convergence? Who Needs It?







Convergence? Who Needs It?

Convergence? Who Needs It? 12/17/2003 07:17 PM

When it comes to the convergence of PDAs and mobile phones most people are saying they're perfect ly fine with two devices for now. They say people are just willing to carry multiple devices. I'm not sure that's true. I'd say it has a lot more to do with the fact that most converged devices make you sacrifice important things that lessen the value of having a converged device. People buy the device for very specific things (as the article points out), and if the device can't do those things well, then it's not worth getting. As converged devices get better, then, it's likely that people will be more willing to adopt them. That is, it appears that functionality trumps carry-ability at this point - but if you can do both, people would be thrilled. That's part of the reason why the new Treo 600 has been so hot lately. It's the first device that comes close to still being a good converged device. I'm sure the next generation devices will go even further.




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For a while, it seemed like the idea of "convergence" was going out of style. It would come and go as people talk about various devices and services picking up more features. However, convergence means more than adding a camera to your phone or an internet connection to your TV -- but in figuring out what entirely new opportunities these combinations open up. Om Malik is pointing to a piece by Ramesh Jain suggesting that the future of convergence is about combining content, communication and computing -- but that too many are only focusing on two of the three aspects (or really just understand one of the three). True convergence occurs when a company clearly understands all three, and what the implications are of that convergence beyond feature creep. We've already mentioned that one of the "unexpected" side effects of convergence is that it's also convergi ng business models -- leaving some companies out in the cold when they discover their business model no longer makes sense. Witness Cablevision's ability to give away phone service. Of course, telcos are looking at convergence on their own, and this can be seen in SBC's announcement today that they're workin g on a set-top box that goes beyond what most current set-top boxes do. Basically, they're yet another company trying to create the ultimate "digital entertainment hub" with a DVR, internet access, photo/video/music storage and more. Of course, it's likely they're attacking this from a broadcast (content) perspective, rather than a communication one, but it's pretty clear that these battles are heating up, and companies who aren't figuring out the interplay between content, communication and computing aren't going to be around very long.

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nonsense(posted from Montreal)
A
s many of you know, I have recently become enamoured of complexity theory, and this has caused me to re-think many of the ideas presented here on How to Save the World. I am blogging today from Montreal, where I have been attending the First Annual Global Colloquium on Complexity and Chaos. The event has catalyzed or emerged some new conceptions about the nature of communications, and specifically blogging, and I have decided, starting tomorrow, to incorporate these thoughts into this online journal. So get ready for some big changes here. Beginning tomorrow:
  • The red, blue, and green system charts and process charts you have become accustomed to on this blog will be discontinued. In their place you will see graphics such as the one above. The lack of borders on these charts indicates the omnipresence of intellectual miasma, and the lack of connections on these charts represents universal uncertainty. All that we can presume to know is that ideas and conceptions have the apparent quality of co-existence and that understanding of their relationship will, with time and contemplative study, gradually emerge.
  • No arrows will appear in any graphics from now on. Such presumptions of causality are, at best, oversimplifications and, at worst, dangerous misinformation.
  • The words question, answer, problem and solution will be scrubbed from posts on this blog. In our world, as a complex system, these concepts are meaningless. There are no answers or solutions, just learnings about ideation, being and nothingness, consciousness and unconsciousness.
  • You will no longer read the words 'how' or 'why' on this blog. In the absence of causality on the edge of chaos such terms are pretentious. Effective tomorrow the name of this weblog will be Convergence Bridge.
  • The categories feature of this weblog will be discontinued. Since everything is related and the true relationship between the conceptions discussed uncertain, it no longer 'makes sense' to have artificial categories. And instead of arguing, as I have in past, in favour of personal taxonomies and ontologies, I will argue, in the first article tomorrow, that there are no taxonomies or ontologies, and that such arbitrary categorizations are fraudulent.
  • I will also eschew the use of the question mark in all posts, since questions imply the existence with reasonable certainty of answers. Instead, I will begin using the 'degree' symbol (º), the circle representing the endless pursuit of perfect understanding at points in my discourse where a 'pause' for considered thought is called for. Likewise, periods, with their naive implication of order and finality, will be replaced by commas, the perfect symbol of tentativeness and uncertainty,
  • And finally, the absurd words 'know', 'knowledge' and 'information' will no longer appear in my posts. Again, a symbol, the colon, with its gentle suggestion of possible relationship, will be used in place of such anachronisms,º
It is my sincere belief that these changes will allow a higher level of intellectual discourse on these pages: I look forward to our continued journey together:º

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Let's see.  What if similar tags (in terms of edit distance or some other aspect) were merged randomly?  Tags like dog, dogs, dag, and dig would get confused (aka merged) into one.  It doesn't matter which tag is chosen because more common tag will eventually emerge.  Problems stemmng from intentional tag confusion mechanism needs to be minimized but I don't think they are serious if they are constrained appropriately.

Accumulation of confusion over time has a kick on it's own so I think confusions have to be soft.  I am still trying to figure out what soft means so don't feel bad if you don't understand what I am saying.


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Vegas


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Feature recognition software designed to spot problematic gamblers in Vegas casinos has proven so good that it will change the battlefield of the future. Soon, UAV's will have software that can anylize video and match targets to an existing database of objects. Dubbed DIVOT (Imagery and Video Object Tracking), this software is already being tested by the Air Force.

"It starts beeping on this clump of trees," Cook said. "And they had to drive the UAV about another two miles before they could get close enough [to see] there was a vehicle underneath the trees."

The captain whose face had been loaded into the computer was sitting in his truck eating lunch. "It found his face through the trees, through the windscreen, in the shadows of the trees, and we went, 'Wow, we need to explore this,'" Cook said.

Advances like this will be a field commander's dream.

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Sorry for the absence, folks... I've just limped back into New York from a lost weekend of fear and loathing in Las Vegas, during which just about the last thing on my mind was this blog. Before I post anything real - and I have several rants percolating - I want to thank you for having maintained what I consider a commendable civility while I was off contributing to the decline of civilization, despite your passionately conflicting political beliefs. There's been froth and pitch and a lot of wit. Best of all, you've been sounding like grown-ups. (A virtue I've come to appreciate a lot more of late.) I think the "constructive combat" I wished for in my last post may actually be arising here. This can be a venue where the vectors of opinion that presently rend our beloved country can come to appreciate each other a little better, if only for our sense of humor. I don't think either side is likely to win many converts. We're all pretty convinced. But if we maintain our currently reduced level of name-calling, we might grow back some of the tolerance that has become all too rare among our fellow citizens and upon which democracy itself depends. I be back at it myself as soon as I've had a chance to clear my head. In that service, I'm off to find myself a latte. Since my place here is in Little Italy, that will be easy enough to do. Might even pick up a New York Times while I'm at it......

Bowling to Vegas


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Bowling to Vegas! Four drunk bowling fanatics from Chicago are bowling their way across country....apparently for lack of anything better to do(looks like a couple of them are unemployed). Also, they're trying to restore dignity to the good old-fashioned Road Trip(and, of course, bowling). Why bowl to Vegas instead of fly? As Mike says: "It's not about the destination, it's about the journey. Nobody has respect for the road trip anymore. Haven't you people seen Fandango?" Follow their progress across country, and buy 'em a round.

Bender goes to Vegas!


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"Hi Jerks! Bender here. I just got back from the drinkin'est town in the known Universe: Las Vegas, Nevada- Earth. Check out these ph otos and you will see what I mean!" from Bender's Las Vegas Scrapbook. (Tons of pictures, big download alert) [via waxpancake]

Vegas Bound


Vegas Bound 03/06/2004 01:49 AM
After some days too busy to post, on my way to Vegas for business and pleasure. One question... Does "what happens here, stays here" apply to blogging?...

Thoughts about the Vegas Pubcon


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"What is different about this conference from the rest is that this conference is supported by its 'own' community. Many of the members of this community have spend thousands of hours conversing and learning here at WW. This community has shared interests and common goals. This community is unique and this community should be praised, just as the conference should be."

We'll Always Have Vegas: Comdex Canceled


We'll Always Have Vegas: Comdex Canceled 06/24/2004 07:53 PM
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Comdex Las Vegas Cancelled


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Vegas Gets Debt Crazy


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Las Vegas wasn't built in a day, but
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OO Perl Programmer - Las Vegas


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Vegas braces for DEFCON 12


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Convergence? Who Needs It?

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Ericsson sign a 3-yr
contract to deliver
GSM/GPRS/EDGE
equipment

what is grok?