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Is There Hope for Humanity?: A Conversation







Is There Hope for Humanity?: A
Conversation

Is There Hope for Humanity?: A
Conversation
06/05/2005 11:12 PM

I'm beginning to appreciate that conversati ons are useful ways to explore ideas even if they're with yourself. So here's some more thinking out loud between my two schizophrenic halves, Dave the Idealist and Dave the Skeptic, on the subject of whether humanity has what it takes to get its act together and save the world:

Dave the Idealist
Dave the Skeptic
Yes, I know I liked John Gray's book, found it liberating in fact, but I still believe people are good at heart, and their instincts are right if they can re-learn to listen to them. And remember Margaret Mead: "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world.  Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."
So your argument is that we're going to save the world either by some massive act of collective altruism, even though such a thing is unprecedented, or by some subversive act by some clever noble clique of do-gooders. You know, some people would say that Bush's neocon born-again cabal fit Margaret Mead's 'small group of world-changers' definition perfectly. If that's what she was referring to, small groups of nazis and megalomaniac idealists, we're in trouble. Or is your 'small group' going to put birth control in the water supply and sabotage civilization until we have anarchy and chaos? -- which is actually the neocons' dream situation, since if that were to happen they'd just take over and feel self-justified in doing so, as they would see you as terrorists.
We overcame slavery, we gave women the vote, we invented written language and a lot of other amazing things, including birth control technologies, we've made democracy, an improbable way of running the world, work, and we've found ways to strike a balance in the economy between complete totalitarianism and complete laissez-faire. We're learning what doesn't work, we have unprecedented peer-to-peer grassroots communication and organization, and we have more knowledge available to a larger percentage of the population than ever before. And instead of just writing dystopias, many people are actually proposing practical ways to bring about massive change.
The last century featured more murders, more imprisonment, more torture, more war deaths, and greater extremes in distribution of wealth and power than any in our history. Every technology we've invented has a dark side that has been more effectively exploited than its positive applications. And as for communication, the digital divide is wider than ever. You shouldn't judge the state of the world by the view from your rosy little corner of it.
Stories are all we are. When we have learned new stories, we have become very different creatures very quickly, in a generation or two. It's our ingenuity, our ability to change and respond to new and intuitively better, healthier, happier ways to live, and learn from each other peer-to-peer that makes me optimistic and hopeful, not new technologies, which I admit are a double-edged sword.
Stories also allow fanatics and maniacs to raise huge and bloodthirsty armies, and allow cults, including most modern religions and political parties, to brainwash people to act against both their personal and collective interest. Myths and other stories allow people to tolerate and live in denial of atrocities going on all around them. Religious stories have prompted most of history's most brutal and protracted wars. And we're so adaptable that we learn to live a life of never-ending oppression, subjugation and deprivation, and we delude ourselves that our pathetic lives are good, healthy, deserved, getting better and the only way to live.
But we are also capable of forgetting, forgiving and moving on quickly, when a better story, a better way of living, is told to us. And in the last decade a significant minority of the population is on a roll -- better informed, more inventive, more attuned to and knowledgeable about that's needed, what's happening and what's possible than ever before. They're able to use networking technology to make creative, synthetic, analogical and metaphorical leaps, collaboratively, in ways that would have been almost unimaginable even a generation ago. We have already witnessed, in the 1960s, a huge shift in mainstream thinking and worldviews occurring in an astonishingly short period of time, and if we could do something like that again now we have much more powerful tools and much greater knowledge to do it with, so it might actually endure this time.
Pure romanticism. The 1960s weren't nearly as rosy and liberated as you remember them. Many guys jumped on the bandwagon in complete ignorance and indifference to the peace and liberation movements -- they were merely attracted by the promise of cheap dope and easy sex. Your faith (and it's nothing more than faith, since there's no solid reasoning behind it) that we could start a similar movement in this century and this time it would endure and bring about ubiquitous change, is simply the left-wing version of the right-wingers' Rapture. People don't change, cultures don't change, and there's an unprecedented level of investment in maintaining the status quo working against any little movement that might threaten that. We are programmed by our DNA to spend almost all of our time and energy living moment to moment and distracted by the minutiae of constant and trivial decisions. And even if this were not so, as Gray argues so articulately we have no 'free will' or collective consciousness. Even as 'individual' creatures we are merely collections of cells, molecules and organs, each doing what they do, largely for mutual benefit, and almost entirely (99.9999%) subconscious. So belief that we can somehow get our personal act together, let alone one at the level of some higher social order, and transform ourselves into what we are not, seems to me the height of folly, a form of leftist religious fanaticism.
There you go, relying on science again, that collection of unreliable and creaky models of reality, to make your argument. The whole, at every level of aggregation, is always greater than the sum of the parts. Gaia is much more than just all individual life on Earth. We as individual and wondrous creatures are more than a mere collection of our cells, molecules and organs. And I'm not being spiritual here. Forget about 'consciousness' and these other academic and utterly meaningless concepts. We as individuals, and our planet as an organism of a different order, are mostly what happens between our composite parts. We are sensation, reaction, communication, learning, understanding, and the stories that recall them. Most of what we are at both the creature level and at the Gaia level are what is happening in the intersections, margins and edges around the component parts. That is where our true sense of self and meaning resides, that is where our instincts draw their wisdom, that is what our DNA remembers and tells us to do. Your myopic science, looking at individual organisms in isolation, is no more able to understand the great truths of life, and the nature of our existence, than a collector dissecting dead monarch butterflies is able to comprehend the astonishing transformation of that creature's life, or how it could have 'learned' where and how to migrate when three generations have transpired since the last generation, or how sun and flowers and smells make a butterfly happy and inform its understanding of the purpose of its life.
Let's look at this argument. You're saying, I think, that almost all of what we are is subconscious, and that an important part of what we are is our relationships with 'others' outside ourselves. Yes? OK. So then you're saying that what can/will save us is something in our collective unconsciousness or subconsciousness? That deep down 'we' intuitively know what needs to be done, what is happening, and what is possible, and will use that knowledge to collectively do what is in our collective interest. Well, at least that's better than relying on gods. But if we had this great collective unconsciouness or subconsciousness, wouldn't we have been able to figure out, even before Einstein did, that almost all human inventions, notably in the media (since the invention of writing and the printing press), in transportation (since the invention of the lever, the inclined plane, the sledge and the wheel) and in the tapping of stored energy (since the invention of controlled fire) would have more negative consequences for our planet than positive ones, and hence prevent them from emerging? No, don't give me that nonsense that the global population is leveling off because we somehow 'know' it must, since people have repeatedly told researchers the only reason they don't have one or two more kids each is that they can't financially afford it (for now). If we ('we' being either all humanity or all creatures on the planet) are our own collective guiding hand, that guiding hand has done a pretty lousy job over the last 30,000 years. Just because we've lost touch with nature and Gaia, you say? I think it's more likely that we're just an exceptionally fierce and adaptable species which emerged by random accident from the primeval soup and, like all fierce and adaptable species in Earth's history, plagued (in the literal sense of the word, not the moral one) the planet until a meteor came along, or a climate change or new species evolved that preyed on excessive numbers of the plague species, and restored equilibrium and the selected preference of known life for biodiversity. Disequilibrium is neither new or unnatural in the universe. And that, more than the crown of creation, more even than the sum of our 'stories', is what we humans really are.




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I have witnessed, too, meetings that allow the listeners to use tacit signals to prompt the speaker without interrupting them: Holding up a green card means "I like what you're saying", a red card the opposite, and a yellow card signals "I don't understand what you're saying". They tend not to work, I think, because the green encourages unnecessary loquaciousness, the red is rarely used because it would be perceived as rude, and the yellow is rarely used because it might make the listener appear stupid. Electronic equivalents (IMs that the speaker can read on-screen while talking) present the same discouragements, and also are more of a distractions than most speakers can handle on the fly.

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About the notion of open DNS-like indices of people. And what we could do with them. You see I spent much of teh 90's desinging systems that relied uypon a theoretical notion - that noadasys is called social software and social networking. And at the core of that - is digital identity.

So as the world has caught up with my ideas, it's becoming more and more important that we DO IT RIGHT!

Now Tribe is calling that the PeopleWeb, Microsoft has a [can't talk about it but will soon] platform and Dick Hardt and his Sxip Networks is rolling out.

Along the way the Identity Commons has launched their i-Names effort and PingID continues to lead in the open source Liberty Alliance (and other enterprise protocols) space.

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No shit - Sherlock.

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I just received this comment from James Tauber:

More on Aggregation Versus Hosting

Previously on this blog, I've called for a separation of hosting from aggregation. I want to be able to maintain authoritative data on one site and have other sites use it for their aggregation.

When I read Ted Leung's entry Microcontent personality disorder and Steve Mallett's comments on it, my immediate thought was that they could both have what they want if we could separate where we host our data with where it is aggregated and made "social".

Marc Canter (whose work around Digital Lifestyle Aggregators is definitely worth following) resp onds to Steve Mallett. Marc is spot on that people have their information all over the place. But I still believe that if systems are built to support a separation between hosting and aggregation, they'll support both the distribution of primary data and the kind of "self-hosting" that a certain segment like Steve and myself want.

Bottom line is all combinations of centralized/decentralized hosting/aggregation should be possible.

It's not that hard to do. Sites that aggregate just need to provide a mechanism where users can point to their data hosted somewhere else rather than have to re-enter their data in multiple aggregators. Aggregators then keep customers based on the value of their aggregation, not the lock-in of being the hosts of people's valuable data. People who want hosting for their pictures, blogs, etc can use hosting services to do it. But their choice of hosting service should not impact their participating in aggregation and the social aspects of micro-content that follow.



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Active Résumés

"Alf Eaton writes today:

I think the MP3 blogs (which are essentially annotated playlists) might well be taking the middle ground in the P2P vs music industry wars - I hope that the record industry will begin to see the value in what these grassroots enthusiasts are doing to promote their music. On the other hand, a large part of making these playlists under current laws involves turning your back on the major labels and concentrating on the music libre, the 'free music', the stuff that wants to be shared. Those artists that make their tracks freely available online are the ones that will benefit most from the collaborative filtering and recommendation networks that are being set up. [Hublog]

Let's extend that remark: Any professional whose work is visible on the Net will become part of the conversation that establishes reputation and creates opportunity. The blog is an active résumé that enables you to participate -- by proxy -- in that conversation....

Here's the bottom line. What Alf calls "collaborative filtering and recommendation networks" will rival -- and my guess is, largely supplant -- conventional marketing and promotion. But if those networks can't find you, they won't be able to help you." [Jon's Radio]

Interesting when thought of in the context of libraries. It's exactly why our services - especially our online catalogs - need to be open and exposed. Exhibit A: LibraryLookup.


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I think the sum total of what I hope for the first decade of this century is some variant on the memex. We're going to have the vast majority of high-quality, permanent, high-value, human knowledge available to everyone, from many places, in multiple forms.

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Kailee’s on Runescape this morning, exasperated at an offline friend’s actions online. A few days ago, she told me about her Runescape boyfriend. Seems she was talking to someone in the game, and he asked if he could be her “bf.” She thought that meant “best friend,” so she said sure. Only when he dumped her did she find out that “bf” means “boyfriend.” She took it pretty well, though, considering she didn’t know she was dating him to begin with.

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I asked Kailee if she knows the friend’s login and password, and her response was, “One of them.” I don’t know why I expected the answer to be “yes” or “no” in this day and age, but I did. She went on to say that the friend has several accounts, and it’s just too hard to remember them all.

Some interesting life lessons going on here, but the scariest part is how freely Millennials trade identities without a care in the world. We’ve repeatedly told Brent not to give his Runescape password to his friends, but they all know each others’ accounts and log in as someone else. It must make for interesting conversations when you don’t know what you might have said before.

Time for another family meeting….


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Mineral Commodity Summaries 04/12/2005 05:49 AM
Mineral Commodity Summaries
http://minerals.usg s.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs/

Published on an annual basis, this report is the earliest Government publication to furnish estimates covering nonfuel mineral industry data. Data sheets contain information on the domestic industry structure, Government programs, tariffs, and 5-year salient statistics for over 90 individual minerals and materials. This has been added to Reference Resources Subject Tracer™ Information Blog.

VoiceSignal Technologies Appoints Former
Nokia Executive Richard J. Geruson As
Chief Executive Officer


VoiceSignal Technologies Appoints Former
Nokia Executive Richard J. Geruson As
Chief Executive Officer
07/09/2004 03:04 AM
Voice Signal Technologies, the leading provider of embedded speech recognition for mobile devices, recently named Richard J. Geruson, as it's new Chief Executive Officer. Geruson, a 20+ year veteran in the wireless and networking industries, was previously a Senior Vice President for Nokia. [PRWEB Jul 9, 2004]

Zend: PHP Weekly & PEAR/PECL
Summaries


Zend: PHP Weekly & PEAR/PECL
Summaries
05/03/2004 08:14 AM
In the two summaries from Zend this week, there's a lot of disussion going on, including details on new packages proposed and several new functions to extend PHP's already powerful functionality.

Zend: PEAR/PECL and PHP Weekly Summaries


Zend: PEAR/PECL and PHP Weekly Summaries 05/10/2004 07:21 AM
New from Zend this week are the latest PEAR/PECL Weekly News and this week's PHP Weekly Summary. Both have several interesting items including 20 PEAR/PECL releases and lots of discussion from the lists.

Clone Wars Season 2 Chapter Summaries


Clone Wars Season 2 Chapter Summaries 01/24/2004 02:51 PM
Interested in getting the lowdown on Season 2 of Star Wars: Clone Wars? We've got the first three chapter summaries available. Spoilers abound, so don't click through unless you want to know in advance.

Zend.com: PEAR/PECL Weekly Summaries


Zend.com: PEAR/PECL Weekly Summaries 04/09/2004 04:06 PM
If you're looking for more info about what's new in PEAR and PECL, or if you're looking for more info about what PEAR and PECL are, this article might be helpful to you. Zend.com have written a PHP weekly review telling about all the new additions to PEAR and PECL.

Revisiting SGML on the web


Revisiting SGML on the web 05/23/2002 10:39 PM

revisiting dunbar's number


revisiting dunbar's number 06/26/2004 08:42 PM
always good to see a site where the ideas are as pretty as the presentation

Revisiting The Unsubscribe Link


Revisiting The Unsubscribe Link 06/01/2004 02:03 PM
In just about every silly "profile of a spammer," you tend to hear them say two things: (1) they don't send out porn spam and (2) they really do remove those who unsubscribe from their spam. Of course, most people are unlikely to believe either of those claims (for good reason), but with the passage of CAN-SPAM (which requires a "working" opt-out link) the debate keeps returning to whether or not you actually should "opt-out" of spam - since it's well known that many spammers only use that information to confirm that you're a "live one," and make sure you get plenty more spam. Sooner or later, someone had to test it out, and now an anti-spam company is claiming that only 10 to 15% of opt-out spam links are invalid - which sounds impossibly low. Of course, they don't break out just how much additional spam you will get for the few untrustworthy opt-out links. In fact, it's unclear how they really know if the opt-out works. You may not get spam from the identical spammer, but they could just as easily resell your live info to other spammers, and you have no way of knowing it was because you "opted-out." Or, more likely, they'll just start spamming you from one of the hundred other identities they have, so they can claim that the you're no longer receiving spam from that one entity, but you never opted out of the other 99.

Revisiting SGML on the Web (xmlhack)


Revisiting SGML on the Web (xmlhack) 05/30/2002 02:41 PM

New ‘Executive Club’ Launched in the U.K
for Executive Job Seekers


New ‘Executive Club’ Launched in the U.K
for Executive Job Seekers
03/14/2005 04:40 PM
www.executivesontheweb.com the UK No1 executive recruitment website announces the launch of The Executive Club. (www.the-executive-club.co.uk) [PRWEB Mar 14, 2005]

Revisiting the Nasdaq's Past Pain


Revisiting the Nasdaq's Past Pain 11/13/2003 08:50 AM
TheStreet.com Nov 13 2003 8:40AM ET

Revisiting Barcode Replacement Satire


Revisiting Barcode Replacement Satire 05/11/2004 03:16 PM
A little over a year ago there was a huge media frenzy over a site that let people view and print out barcodes. It was really just a database of barcodes, but the site presented a satirical commercial showing how you could use the site to "name your own price" and re-code any product to a price you preferred. Of course, actually doing the re-coding would be illegal. Running a database telling people how seems perfectly legal... unless you're lawyers at a big company like Wal-Mart. Wal-Mart and a number of other big companies forced the site to shut down, and the folks have now set up the site as a Wal-Mart spoof. John submitted a story about the whole mess one year later. It sounds like those involved didn't expect the level of backlash they got - especially from the press who labeled them as the thieves. Still, they've now got other plans up their sleeves for satirical projects.

Congress Revisiting Spam Plans


Congress Revisiting Spam Plans 05/25/2004 11:55 AM
When the CAN SPAM law was first passed, anyone who thought through what the law actually said realized that it wouldn't work, and some people started asking what was plan B? Instead of just patting themselves on the back, we wanted to know exactly how they would measure the success or failure of the bill, and what they would do in the very likely event that it made the problem worse, not better. The sponsors of the bill never really responded to that question, but just talked about how wonderful it was that they were now banning spam. Except, only five months into the law being in effect and the spam problem is clearly worse, not better. For once, however, it appears that even some folks in Congress realize this and are already interested in revisiting the law. Some of this article is just repeating the things that we posted last week about the FTC exploring other options such as a bounty system encouraging people to track down spammers, but the fact that more politicians are realizing CAN SPAM isn't working is a good thing. Of course, we still haven't heard from the Senators who were so proud of themselves for coming up with the law in the first place.

Revisiting "Table Layouts, Revisited"


Revisiting "Table Layouts, Revisited" 09/06/2002 08:42 PM
A response/reaction to Zeldman's recent reflections on the experience of table versus CSS layout.

Revisiting C# and Java RegEx Benchmark


Revisiting C# and Java RegEx Benchmark 01/18/2004 03:45 AM

Last year, these benchmark  ;results became hot points of contention between Java and .NET developers.What the results suggested was that Java regular expression engines are significantly faster than .NET's Regex.

I thought it might be fun to port one of the fastest Java regular expression engines to J# and see how it performs compared to .NET's Regex.  I chose the dk.brics.automaton engine because it seemed easiest to port.  It was.  When I ran a straight-forward C# port of regtest.java on the J# version of dk.brics.automaton and compiled singleline Regex, I got these results:

dk.brics.automaton 2303 milliseconds>
Regex 2894 milliseconds>

I also ran regtest.java on the original dk.brics.automaton and Java's built-in regular expression engine.  Results were:

dk.brics.automaton 511 milliseconds>
java.util.regex 1061 milliseconds>

Based on these admittedly informal results, Regex performance is probaly not caused by bad design or implementation of regular expression but by performance issues that may exist within CLR and core classes.  Since I lack the enthusiasm to dig into the innards except in pursuit of a critical bug, I'll leave it up to the CLR team to chase further.

IMHO, .NET performance is 'good enough' for server-side use at this time so please don't misinterpret this post as an attempt to pull .NET down in favor of Java.  BTW, I won't be using my port of dk.brics.automaton in production because it's seems to miss some patterns that it should have found.


Revisiting the "hardware is free" vision
of the future


Revisiting the "hardware is free" vision
of the future
06/01/2004 11:21 PM
You may recall back at the end of March that we had a little diddy on Bill Gates' proclamation that "hardware will be free" in the future. Now Sun is saying that same thing, leaving us to wonder: what will we ever do with all this free hardware?

U.S. Supreme Court Revisiting Intel, AMD
Spat


U.S. Supreme Court Revisiting Intel, AMD
Spat
11/11/2003 06:58 AM
SiliconValley.Internet.com Nov 11 2003 6:29AM ET

"Night at the Ice Hotel - Ice Hotel"


"Night at the Ice Hotel - Ice Hotel" 06/20/2004 08:29 PM

Geruson to Rapidly Expand Worldwide
Operations and Drive Growth. Voice
Signal Technologies Appoints Former
Nokia Executive Richard J. Geruson As
Chief Executive Officer.


Geruson to Rapidly Expand Worldwide
Operations and Drive Growth. Voice
Signal Technologies Appoints Former
Nokia Executive Richard J. Geruson As
Chief Executive Officer.
09/01/2004 02:41 AM
Voice Signal Technologies, the leading provider of embedded speech recognition for mobile devices, recently named Richard J. Geruson, as it's new Chief Executive Officer. Geruson, a 20+ year veteran in the wireless and networking industries. [PRWEB Sep 1, 2004]

Sex tape of 'Survivor: All-Stars' Jenna
Lewis surfaces on the Internet -
Reality TV World - News, information,
episode summaries, message boards, chat
and games for unscripted television
programs


Sex tape of 'Survivor: All-Stars' Jenna
Lewis surfaces on the Internet -
Reality TV World - News, information,
episode summaries, message boards, chat
and games for unscripted television
programs
06/21/2004 02:48 AM
Sex tape of 'Survivor: All-Stars' Jenna Lewis .. digs into the tape's provenance

realitytvworld.com/index/articles/story.php?s=2638
track this site | 4 links


Innovations in Self-Help


Innovations in Self-Help 04/09/2004 04:09 PM
No, no, wait... even better than "Chicken Soup for Dummies" is a self-help book aimed at the terminally unfunky, which...

more innovations


more innovations 09/19/2004 06:08 AM
Scientific American Sep 19 2004 10:17AM GMT

Innovations in Journalism


Innovations in Journalism 02/16/2004 01:22 PM
Making the bold leap from merely waiting for Leander Kahney to watch Blogdex as this link rises, I'm actually going...

CES Innovations Awards winners


CES Innovations Awards winners 12/24/2003 12:12 PM
The Consumer Electronics Association has made their picks for the 2004 CES Innovation Awards. Among the winners are a few gadgets we've featured on Gizmodo...

See new innovations at Sun's Web event


See new innovations at Sun's Web event 09/23/2004 09:21 PM
TechWeb Sep 24 2004 1:18AM GMT

Innovations in Political Hypocrisy


Innovations in Political Hypocrisy 05/19/2004 07:43 AM

  • NY Times: White House Is Trumpeting Programs It Tried to Cut. Like many of its predecessors, the Bush White House has used the machinery of government to promote the re-election of the president by awarding federal grants to strategically important states. But in a twist this election season, many administration officials are taking credit for spreading largess through programs that President Bush tried to eliminate or to cut sharply.

  • Microsoft to Let Partners Own CE
    Innovations


    Microsoft to Let Partners Own CE
    Innovations
    07/01/2004 03:50 PM
    osOpinion Jul 1 2004 7:57PM GMT

    Space innovations aid hospitals


    Space innovations aid hospitals 07/22/2004 01:13 AM
    Usatoday.com - Wed Jul 21, 08:11 pm GMT

    Is There Hope for Humanity?: A Conversation

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