Housing price bubble and inflation risk
Grok Headline matches for Housing price bubble and inflation risk
Pop Goes the Global Housing Bubble
Pop Goes the Global Housing Bubble
06/17/2005 04:21 PM
The Global Housing Price Bubble is bursting. Prices are
already declining in Australia and Britain. The Economist has another
story that outlines how a global bursting of this bubble
could be deleterious to the world's economy. The bubble is bigger than
the stock market bubble of the late 90s. Will there be a smooth
landing or will spending collapse when it cannot be funded on housing
price gains?
Annals of the Housing Bubble
Annals of the Housing Bubble
05/21/2004 10:01 PMMercury News (reg req): Median
home prices pass half-million mark. The median price of resale
houses sold in the Bay Area reached $520,000 last month -- the first
time that figure has exceeded the half-million point.
Lunacy.
Housing Bubble, Continued
Housing Bubble, Continued
04/11/2004 01:19 PMMercury News: As offers pour in, cutthroat market a boon for
sellers. The fast-paced, competitive nature of this spring's
Bay Area housing market has participants and observers alike
speculating on the reasons -- particularly after three years of severe
job losses.
The story goes on to offer all the usual
reasons, such as a shortage of houses and low interest rates.
But there's another very good explanation: rampant speculation of
another kind, inducing panic buying like the kind that occurred in the
stock market in the late 1990s.
This is a bubble that will deflate eventually. It's happening
elsewhere, as this
NY Times story notes today.
The mania will end here, too, and it'll be ugly.
Freddie Mac: No Housing Bubble
Freddie Mac: No Housing Bubble
07/30/2004 12:20 PMSalim Haji gets the scoop on why Freddie Mac believes that the U.S.
real estate market today is rational.
Who Cares About the Housing Bubble?
Who Cares About the Housing Bubble?
04/13/2004 10:07 AMA swig of Pepto and a small perspective shift is overdue.
The Housing Bubble, Continued
The Housing Bubble, Continued
06/19/2004 12:14 PMMercury News (reg req): Economy
boosts valley home prices. The median price of a home in Santa
Clara County reached $590,000, up 20.2 percent from May 2003,
according to DataQuick Information Systems. A total of 2,149 resale
houses changed hands in the county last month, a nearly 30 percent
increase from a year earlier.
It's much more than the
economy at work here. It's a mindless, dangerous bubble that shows
what a short attention span human beings have when they are infected
with greed and/or panic.
This particular news story ends witha local public defender who found
a lender that offered a "zero-down" loan -- that is, loaned the full
selling price with no down payment. I can understand the borrower's
motive, though I think it's an incredibly risky move, but the bank
making this loan is just irresponsible. So is the real-estate industry
that promotes this kind thing, but that's par for the course.
Of course, the lender will now push this mortgage into the national
market, offloading it to some other company. This is how we have such
liquid markets, and the system was a boon in the past, greased as it
has been by the likes of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the giant federal
home-loan operations that act as though they have the full faith and
credit of the U.S. taxpayer behind them even though they do not. But
it is not sustainable, yet nobody in power dares mess with this
machinery.
What we'll see eventually, if we don't find a way to slowly deflate
this bubble, is a massive collapse of the housing market that will in
turn spark a severe recession. The truly scary scenario, still not the
most likely but growing in probability every day, comes when falling
prices for housing lead to massive collapses in the financial
industry.
But if that occurs, the Fannie Maes and Freddie Macs and the
money-center banks with big exposure will be considered too big to
fail. We taxpayers will bail them out to the tune of several trillion
dollars, an amount that'll make the S&L bailout of the 1980s seem
tiny. And the only way that will work will be to re-ignite inflation
on an absolutely massive scale, because the only way to make it work
will be to ratchet up the money supply in unprecedented fashion.
This is a bubble. It will deflate. If it doesn't deflate gently, the
nation is in for the worst kind of pain.
The Housing Bubble Builds
The Housing Bubble Builds
07/08/2004 02:12 PMThe real estate market remains strong despite rising interest rates.
Housing market: Will the bubble burst?
Housing market: Will the bubble burst?
06/15/2004 04:59 AMThe Bank of England says house prices could be unsustainable and
interest rate rises may hit owners. Send us your reaction.
Housing bubble fears 'overblown'
Housing bubble fears 'overblown'
06/23/2004 06:15 AMConcerns that the booming buy-to-let business could cause a house
price crash are overblown, a new survey says.
Housing Bubble News: Adjustable Rate
Mortgages Stretch Borrowers
Housing Bubble News: Adjustable Rate
Mortgages Stretch Borrowers
05/16/2004 12:21 PMReuters: Popular ARM loans can misfire for some
homebuyers. "Those stretching to get into a home by using that
(ARM) as a tool but haven't planned ahead are going to get into
trouble," warned Douglas Duncan, chief economist at the Mortgage
Bankers Association.
So why are Duncan's members
enticing borrowers so ardently with ARM-based loans? This is like the
credit-card industry, which whines about delinquent consumers but does
everything in its power to sign up new customers who will have trouble
paying.
Price Index Dips, Easing Inflation Fears
(AP)
Price Index Dips, Easing Inflation Fears
(AP)
09/10/2004 09:28 AMAP - Wholesale prices dipped 0.1 percent in August as a retreat in
food costs helped to blunt a rise in the price of some energy
products, a fresh sign that inflation isn't currently a problem for
the economy.
"Housing price data from Consumer
Reports; shows what's overvalued and
undervalued, etc."
"Housing price data from Consumer
Reports; shows what's overvalued and
undervalued, etc."
04/14/2005 03:59 PMIMF warns of high oil price risk
IMF warns of high oil price risk
04/13/2005 01:35 AMThe International Monetary Fund says continued volatility in oil
prices poses an "increasing risk" to economic growth.
Internet firms 'at risk from BT price
hikes'
Internet firms 'at risk from BT price
hikes'
09/01/2004 03:12 PMBusiness Europe Sep 1 2004 6:41PM GMT
Google's high stock price means high
risk for investors
Google's high stock price means high
risk for investors
08/01/2004 06:47 AMLjworld.com - Sun Aug 1, 08:32 am GMT
Bubble or no bubble, that is the
question
Bubble or no bubble, that is the
question
04/14/2004 09:13 AM
"The real estate
bubble's gonna pop!" You seem to hear that all the time... But
dig deeper and you find that other people
don't even think there's a bubble. Others think there's a
bubble, but it's gonna
keep
growing. Then, just to make it interesting, you've got others who
said the bubble was going to pop
back
in 2002. Why is first-time home-buying this friggin'
difficult?!
read the article carefully dumbass..it
mentions the price in Rs..and it says
its the STREET PRICE!!
read the article carefully dumbass..it
mentions the price in Rs..and it says
its the STREET PRICE!!
09/08/2004 01:14 AMTechTree Sep 8 2004 5:56AM GMT
Stealth Inflation
Stealth Inflation
12/04/2003 02:19 PMprostoalex writes "The New York Times on the Web explores the topic of
incorrect bills and numerous surcharges with names like 'assessment',
'handling', ...
Inflation rises to 5.57 PC
Inflation rises to 5.57 PC
12/28/2003 05:27 AMDeepika Global Dec 28 2003 3:33AM ET
Prices Come Down But Inflation Up At 6.5
PC
Prices Come Down But Inflation Up At 6.5
PC
07/23/2004 05:58 PMFinancial Express Jul 23 2004 10:33PM GMT
i-Buddie USB 2 HDD Housing
i-Buddie USB 2 HDD Housing
11/18/2003 11:34 AMvnunet.com Nov 18 2003 10:29AM ET
In The Broadband Battle Between Speed
And Price, Customers Choose Price
In The Broadband Battle Between Speed
And Price, Customers Choose Price
12/09/2003 03:39 PMBack in October we noted that DSL and cable providers were trying to
differe
ntiate themselves from each other. The DSL providers were
focusing on being the low cost provider, while the cable guys wanted
to be the high speed providers. At the time, we pointed out that this
was likely to backfire on the cable companies. People like the speed
of broadband, but for most applications there's a "good enough" speed
- and many people want it more for the always on connection than the
speed itself. It's looking like we were right. The latest study
shows that, despite cable's commanding lead in the US,
many
more people are signing up for DSL these days because of the lower
price. It's the basic "good enough" argument. What DSL offers is
good enough for what most people want to do with their connections
now. Also, the speed difference is minimal right now. You don't get
that much faster speeds with cable, and there's not much you can
currently do with that extra bandwidth. It used to be that people
would sign up so they could download songs, but the music industry is
cracking down on that enough that it's become less of a draw for many
subscribers as well.
New Forecast Says Inflation May Get
Worse (AP)
New Forecast Says Inflation May Get
Worse (AP)
05/24/2004 07:52 AMAP - Fed by escalating energy prices and a rebounding economy,
inflation will pick up more this year than previously thought, a group
of economic forecasters says.
No compassion in housing proposal
No compassion in housing proposal
09/22/2004 10:33 AMFunny, we didn't hear any of the Republicans who used New York City as
the backdrop of their convention last month talking about the
administration's plans to
fo
rce poor families to either pay hundreds of dollars in extra rent
or go homeless. But we're sure George Pataki, Michael Bloomberg, and
Rudy Giuliani are going to talk to their Republican friends in
Washington and take care of this pronto.
Inflation Still Far From Worrisome
Levels (AP)
Inflation Still Far From Worrisome
Levels (AP)
03/26/2005 07:42 PMAP - The latest inflation scare to grip Wall Street isn't by itself a
good reason for equity investors to take cover, analysts say. Instead,
they recommend looking for companies that have pricing power
the ability to pass on their higher costs to customers.
Essay: How to End Grade Inflation
Essay: How to End Grade Inflation
05/03/2004 06:54 AMsuggests .. diving
nytimes.com/2004/05/02/magazine/02ESSAY.html
track
this site | 4 links
Inflation still far from worrisome
levels
Inflation still far from worrisome
levels
03/27/2005 02:46 AMSeattletimes.nwsource.com - Sat Mar 26, 07:08 pm GMT
UK inflation rate jumps to 1.9%
UK inflation rate jumps to 1.9%
04/19/2005 06:51 AMThe annual rate of UK inflation rises to a greater-than-expected 1.9%
in March, its highest level for nearly seven years.
the inflation of the american dream
the inflation of the american dream
04/29/2004 04:31 PMlies, damned lies, and made-up statistics
UK housing boom continues
UK housing boom continues
04/29/2004 05:01 AMHouse prices have picked up again, rising by 2.1% during April, but
may cool in the second half of the year says the Nationwide.
finally, affordable housing!
finally, affordable housing!
03/17/2005 03:20 AM
Build a
huge house for only $782?! Low-cost housing for the
masses! Unfortunately, you have to travel back in time to
build houses for less than $1000. How many of these homes are in your
town or on your block?
(courtesy of J-Walk) Dow Down 43 After Drop in Housing Starts
(AP)
Dow Down 43 After Drop in Housing Starts
(AP)
02/18/2004 08:15 PMAP - A drop in housing starts and a rally in the U.S. dollar on
currency markets sent stocks lower Wednesday as the news gave
investors an incentive to collect profits.
Nailing the Housing Market
Nailing the Housing Market
03/22/2005 06:34 PMKB Home reports excellent first-quarter results. But investors beware.
UK inflation slows down in August
UK inflation slows down in August
09/14/2004 05:26 AMCheaper clothes prices contribute to a surprise fall in consumer price
inflation in August to 1.3%, official figures show.
So Why Are Housing Prices Still Rising
Here?
So Why Are Housing Prices Still Rising
Here?
03/08/2004 11:18 PMSF Chronicle:
Offshoring's giant target.
Jobs are more likely
to be shipped overseas from Silicon Valley than any other region in
the nation, placing the Bay Area's economic engine directly in the
path of the global freight train known as offshoring.The latest inflation gauge
The latest inflation gauge
07/25/2004 09:08 AMChicago Tribune Jul 25 2004 12:14PM GMT
Dow Ends Down 99 on Inflation Concerns
(AP)
Dow Ends Down 99 on Inflation Concerns
(AP)
01/04/2005 05:31 PMAP - New concerns about inflation from the Federal Reserve drove
stocks sharply lower Tuesday, adding to a spate of profit-taking that
erased nearly a month of Wall Street's gains in the first two sessions
of 2005.
Greenspan: Fed May Up Rates on Inflation
(AP)
Greenspan: Fed May Up Rates on Inflation
(AP)
07/20/2004 02:27 PMAP - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said Tuesday the central
bank is prepared to raise interest rates more quickly if inflation
suddenly worsens.
New inflation report is due this morning
New inflation report is due this morning
06/16/2004 12:32 AMSeattletimes.nwsource.com - Tue Jun 15, 01:22 pm GMT
Grok Description matches for Housing price bubble and inflation risk
GrokA matches for Housing price bubble and inflation risk
Housing price bubble and inflation risk