stargeek
PHP news website logo.
home    PHP scripts    articles    seo tools    links    search    contact    shop    realtors


Housing price bubble and inflation risk







Housing price bubble and inflation risk

Housing price bubble and inflation risk 12/17/2004 06:35 PM

Morgan Stanley economist, Stephen Roach, has an interesting article on America's housing price bubble dated December 1, 2004.  Right underneath this piece is something about how investors believe that the risk of high inflation is growing.  I've been poking at buying a larger/more open place to live here in Cambridge and Roach's theory seems about right.  Central Square is a place with pretty high crime rates (the city owns much of the housing in the area and fills it up with people they deem to be jobless and hopeless).  The public schools are so bad in the city that almost every family with children who cares about education moves to Brookline, Newton, Lincoln, etc.  I looked at a place for sale at 33 Bigelow St. the other week.  It is just half of a house.  All of the floors and stairs are sloped and creaking due to settling over the years.  I went over with an architect friend and he took me down to the basement:  "See this framework of steel bars and 2x4s that has been slapped together underneath the beams?  That's what is keeping the whole place from collapsing.  I would be very worried about you buying this house."  Asking price?  $1.25 million.

Of course, if there is enough inflation it will turn out to be a good deal because $1.25 million will be a normal annual salary...




This is a GrokNews Entry: (what is grok?)





Similar Items

Housing price bubble and inflation risk

Grok Headline matches for Housing price bubble and inflation risk

Pop Goes the Global Housing Bubble


Pop Goes the Global Housing Bubble 06/17/2005 04:21 PM
The Global Housing Price Bubble is bursting. Prices are already declining in Australia and Britain. The Economist has another story that outlines how a global bursting of this bubble could be deleterious to the world's economy. The bubble is bigger than the stock market bubble of the late 90s. Will there be a smooth landing or will spending collapse when it cannot be funded on housing price gains?

Annals of the Housing Bubble


Annals of the Housing Bubble 05/21/2004 10:01 PM

  • Mercury News (reg req): Median home prices pass half-million mark. The median price of resale houses sold in the Bay Area reached $520,000 last month -- the first time that figure has exceeded the half-million point.
  • Lunacy.


    Housing Bubble, Continued


    Housing Bubble, Continued 04/11/2004 01:19 PM

  • Mercury News: As offers pour in, cutthroat market a boon for sellers. The fast-paced, competitive nature of this spring's Bay Area housing market has participants and observers alike speculating on the reasons -- particularly after three years of severe job losses.
  • The story goes on to offer all the usual reasons, such as a shortage of houses and low interest rates. But there's another very good explanation: rampant speculation of another kind, inducing panic buying like the kind that occurred in the stock market in the late 1990s. This is a bubble that will deflate eventually. It's happening elsewhere, as this NY Times story notes today. The mania will end here, too, and it'll be ugly.


    Freddie Mac: No Housing Bubble


    Freddie Mac: No Housing Bubble 07/30/2004 12:20 PM
    Salim Haji gets the scoop on why Freddie Mac believes that the U.S. real estate market today is rational.

    Who Cares About the Housing Bubble?


    Who Cares About the Housing Bubble? 04/13/2004 10:07 AM
    A swig of Pepto and a small perspective shift is overdue.

    The Housing Bubble, Continued


    The Housing Bubble, Continued 06/19/2004 12:14 PM

  • Mercury News (reg req): Economy boosts valley home prices. The median price of a home in Santa Clara County reached $590,000, up 20.2 percent from May 2003, according to DataQuick Information Systems. A total of 2,149 resale houses changed hands in the county last month, a nearly 30 percent increase from a year earlier.
  • It's much more than the economy at work here. It's a mindless, dangerous bubble that shows what a short attention span human beings have when they are infected with greed and/or panic. This particular news story ends witha local public defender who found a lender that offered a "zero-down" loan -- that is, loaned the full selling price with no down payment. I can understand the borrower's motive, though I think it's an incredibly risky move, but the bank making this loan is just irresponsible. So is the real-estate industry that promotes this kind thing, but that's par for the course. Of course, the lender will now push this mortgage into the national market, offloading it to some other company. This is how we have such liquid markets, and the system was a boon in the past, greased as it has been by the likes of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the giant federal home-loan operations that act as though they have the full faith and credit of the U.S. taxpayer behind them even though they do not. But it is not sustainable, yet nobody in power dares mess with this machinery. What we'll see eventually, if we don't find a way to slowly deflate this bubble, is a massive collapse of the housing market that will in turn spark a severe recession. The truly scary scenario, still not the most likely but growing in probability every day, comes when falling prices for housing lead to massive collapses in the financial industry. But if that occurs, the Fannie Maes and Freddie Macs and the money-center banks with big exposure will be considered too big to fail. We taxpayers will bail them out to the tune of several trillion dollars, an amount that'll make the S&L bailout of the 1980s seem tiny. And the only way that will work will be to re-ignite inflation on an absolutely massive scale, because the only way to make it work will be to ratchet up the money supply in unprecedented fashion. This is a bubble. It will deflate. If it doesn't deflate gently, the nation is in for the worst kind of pain.


    The Housing Bubble Builds


    The Housing Bubble Builds 07/08/2004 02:12 PM
    The real estate market remains strong despite rising interest rates.

    Housing market: Will the bubble burst?


    Housing market: Will the bubble burst? 06/15/2004 04:59 AM
    The Bank of England says house prices could be unsustainable and interest rate rises may hit owners. Send us your reaction.

    Housing bubble fears 'overblown'


    Housing bubble fears 'overblown' 06/23/2004 06:15 AM
    Concerns that the booming buy-to-let business could cause a house price crash are overblown, a new survey says.

    Housing Bubble News: Adjustable Rate
    Mortgages Stretch Borrowers


    Housing Bubble News: Adjustable Rate
    Mortgages Stretch Borrowers
    05/16/2004 12:21 PM

  • Reuters: Popular ARM loans can misfire for some homebuyers. "Those stretching to get into a home by using that (ARM) as a tool but haven't planned ahead are going to get into trouble," warned Douglas Duncan, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.
  • So why are Duncan's members enticing borrowers so ardently with ARM-based loans? This is like the credit-card industry, which whines about delinquent consumers but does everything in its power to sign up new customers who will have trouble paying.


    Price Index Dips, Easing Inflation Fears
    (AP)


    Price Index Dips, Easing Inflation Fears
    (AP)
    09/10/2004 09:28 AM
    AP - Wholesale prices dipped 0.1 percent in August as a retreat in food costs helped to blunt a rise in the price of some energy products, a fresh sign that inflation isn't currently a problem for the economy.

    "Housing price data from Consumer
    Reports; shows what's overvalued and
    undervalued, etc."


    "Housing price data from Consumer
    Reports; shows what's overvalued and
    undervalued, etc."
    04/14/2005 03:59 PM

    IMF warns of high oil price risk


    IMF warns of high oil price risk 04/13/2005 01:35 AM
    The International Monetary Fund says continued volatility in oil prices poses an "increasing risk" to economic growth.

    Internet firms 'at risk from BT price
    hikes'


    Internet firms 'at risk from BT price
    hikes'
    09/01/2004 03:12 PM
    Business Europe Sep 1 2004 6:41PM GMT

    Google's high stock price means high
    risk for investors


    Google's high stock price means high
    risk for investors
    08/01/2004 06:47 AM
    Ljworld.com - Sun Aug 1, 08:32 am GMT

    Bubble or no bubble, that is the
    question


    Bubble or no bubble, that is the
    question
    04/14/2004 09:13 AM
    "The real estate bubble's gonna pop!" You seem to hear that all the time... But dig deeper and you find that other people don't even think there's a bubble. Others think there's a bubble, but it's gonna keep growing. Then, just to make it interesting, you've got others who said the bubble was going to pop back in 2002. Why is first-time home-buying this friggin' difficult?!

    read the article carefully dumbass..it
    mentions the price in Rs..and it says
    its the STREET PRICE!!


    read the article carefully dumbass..it
    mentions the price in Rs..and it says
    its the STREET PRICE!!
    09/08/2004 01:14 AM
    TechTree Sep 8 2004 5:56AM GMT

    Stealth Inflation


    Stealth Inflation 12/04/2003 02:19 PM
    prostoalex writes "The New York Times on the Web explores the topic of incorrect bills and numerous surcharges with names like 'assessment', 'handling', ...

    Inflation rises to 5.57 PC


    Inflation rises to 5.57 PC 12/28/2003 05:27 AM
    Deepika Global Dec 28 2003 3:33AM ET

    Prices Come Down But Inflation Up At 6.5
    PC


    Prices Come Down But Inflation Up At 6.5
    PC
    07/23/2004 05:58 PM
    Financial Express Jul 23 2004 10:33PM GMT

    i-Buddie USB 2 HDD Housing


    i-Buddie USB 2 HDD Housing 11/18/2003 11:34 AM
    vnunet.com Nov 18 2003 10:29AM ET

    In The Broadband Battle Between Speed
    And Price, Customers Choose Price


    In The Broadband Battle Between Speed
    And Price, Customers Choose Price
    12/09/2003 03:39 PM
    Back in October we noted that DSL and cable providers were trying to differe ntiate themselves from each other. The DSL providers were focusing on being the low cost provider, while the cable guys wanted to be the high speed providers. At the time, we pointed out that this was likely to backfire on the cable companies. People like the speed of broadband, but for most applications there's a "good enough" speed - and many people want it more for the always on connection than the speed itself. It's looking like we were right. The latest study shows that, despite cable's commanding lead in the US, many more people are signing up for DSL these days because of the lower price. It's the basic "good enough" argument. What DSL offers is good enough for what most people want to do with their connections now. Also, the speed difference is minimal right now. You don't get that much faster speeds with cable, and there's not much you can currently do with that extra bandwidth. It used to be that people would sign up so they could download songs, but the music industry is cracking down on that enough that it's become less of a draw for many subscribers as well.

    New Forecast Says Inflation May Get
    Worse (AP)


    New Forecast Says Inflation May Get
    Worse (AP)
    05/24/2004 07:52 AM
    AP - Fed by escalating energy prices and a rebounding economy, inflation will pick up more this year than previously thought, a group of economic forecasters says.

    No compassion in housing proposal


    No compassion in housing proposal 09/22/2004 10:33 AM
    Funny, we didn't hear any of the Republicans who used New York City as the backdrop of their convention last month talking about the administration's plans to fo rce poor families to either pay hundreds of dollars in extra rent or go homeless. But we're sure George Pataki, Michael Bloomberg, and Rudy Giuliani are going to talk to their Republican friends in Washington and take care of this pronto.

    Inflation Still Far From Worrisome
    Levels (AP)


    Inflation Still Far From Worrisome
    Levels (AP)
    03/26/2005 07:42 PM
    AP - The latest inflation scare to grip Wall Street isn't by itself a good reason for equity investors to take cover, analysts say. Instead, they recommend looking for companies that have pricing power — the ability to pass on their higher costs to customers.

    Essay: How to End Grade Inflation


    Essay: How to End Grade Inflation 05/03/2004 06:54 AM
    suggests .. diving

    nytimes.com/2004/05/02/magazine/02ESSAY.html
    track this site | 4 links


    Inflation still far from worrisome
    levels


    Inflation still far from worrisome
    levels
    03/27/2005 02:46 AM
    Seattletimes.nwsource.com - Sat Mar 26, 07:08 pm GMT

    UK inflation rate jumps to 1.9%


    UK inflation rate jumps to 1.9% 04/19/2005 06:51 AM
    The annual rate of UK inflation rises to a greater-than-expected 1.9% in March, its highest level for nearly seven years.

    the inflation of the american dream


    the inflation of the american dream 04/29/2004 04:31 PM
    lies, damned lies, and made-up statistics

    UK housing boom continues


    UK housing boom continues 04/29/2004 05:01 AM
    House prices have picked up again, rising by 2.1% during April, but may cool in the second half of the year says the Nationwide.

    finally, affordable housing!


    finally, affordable housing! 03/17/2005 03:20 AM
    Build a huge house for only $782?! Low-cost housing for the masses! Unfortunately, you have to travel back in time to build houses for less than $1000. How many of these homes are in your town or on your block? (courtesy of J-Walk)

    Dow Down 43 After Drop in Housing Starts
    (AP)


    Dow Down 43 After Drop in Housing Starts
    (AP)
    02/18/2004 08:15 PM
    AP - A drop in housing starts and a rally in the U.S. dollar on currency markets sent stocks lower Wednesday as the news gave investors an incentive to collect profits.

    Nailing the Housing Market


    Nailing the Housing Market 03/22/2005 06:34 PM
    KB Home reports excellent first-quarter results. But investors beware.

    UK inflation slows down in August


    UK inflation slows down in August 09/14/2004 05:26 AM
    Cheaper clothes prices contribute to a surprise fall in consumer price inflation in August to 1.3%, official figures show.

    So Why Are Housing Prices Still Rising
    Here?


    So Why Are Housing Prices Still Rising
    Here?
    03/08/2004 11:18 PM
    SF Chronicle: Offshoring's giant target. Jobs are more likely to be shipped overseas from Silicon Valley than any other region in the nation, placing the Bay Area's economic engine directly in the path of the global freight train known as offshoring.

    The latest inflation gauge


    The latest inflation gauge 07/25/2004 09:08 AM
    Chicago Tribune Jul 25 2004 12:14PM GMT

    Dow Ends Down 99 on Inflation Concerns
    (AP)


    Dow Ends Down 99 on Inflation Concerns
    (AP)
    01/04/2005 05:31 PM
    AP - New concerns about inflation from the Federal Reserve drove stocks sharply lower Tuesday, adding to a spate of profit-taking that erased nearly a month of Wall Street's gains in the first two sessions of 2005.

    Greenspan: Fed May Up Rates on Inflation
    (AP)


    Greenspan: Fed May Up Rates on Inflation
    (AP)
    07/20/2004 02:27 PM
    AP - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said Tuesday the central bank is prepared to raise interest rates more quickly if inflation suddenly worsens.

    New inflation report is due this morning


    New inflation report is due this morning 06/16/2004 12:32 AM
    Seattletimes.nwsource.com - Tue Jun 15, 01:22 pm GMT
    Grok Description matches for Housing price bubble and inflation risk
    GrokA matches for Housing price bubble and inflation risk

    Housing price bubble and inflation risk

    The following phrases have been identified by the grok system as matching this entry:

















    Also check out:


    Grok

    Ipod Porn on the
    Rise

    Brief Abstract of
    Wikipedia's
    Mesothelioma Cancer
    page

    Get first aid
    instructions in your
    cell phone

    IE is crap
    JSPWiki gains
    podcasting support

    "Re-elect George W.
    Bush" plane ditches
    in Florida

    Ugliest New Building
    in Boston

    Photos from the
    Ecuador/Peru trip
    finally available

    Photos from the
    Thanksgiving Trip

    Any Internet photo
    printing services
    that can deal with
    Camera RAW?

    Intellectual
    property bad for
    long-term corporate
    profits?

    Chile from Dec
    25ish-mid-Jan: head
    north or south from
    Santiago?

    Best undergrad
    college regardless
    of price?

    J2SCatalog 1.0
    GoEdit 1.4
    ChitChat X 1.1.3b
    123 Flash Chat
    Server Software 4.0

    MarsEdit 1.0
    NetNewsWire 1.0.8
    NetNewsWire Lite
    1.0.8

    Stock WatchTower
    1.20

    EazyDraw 1.7.0
    Iseult 1.1
    Using Captivate with
    Questionmark
    Perception

    Show Off Your Mobile
    Developer Skills in
    the Flash Lite
    Content Contest

    Performing
    Full-Featured Form
    Validations

    Animation in
    Macromedia Flash:
    Squash and Stretch

    Developing
    ColdFusion
    Applications for
    Government
    Organizations

    Developing and
    Adapting Flash Games
    for Flash Lite

    Designing with CSS
    – Part 4: Creating
    a Two-Column Layout
    in Dreamweaver

    Delivering Flash
    Video: Dynamic
    Bandwidth Detection
    with Flash
    Communication Server

    Silicon.com: MySQL
    CEO: "We're As
    Greedy As Anyone
    Else"

    Interview - Zack
    Urlocker of MySQL

    Torvalds Puts Name
    to EU Software
    Patent Dispute

    The Definitive Guide
    to MySQL, 2nd Ed.

    SOURCEFORGE.NET
    UPDATE - 2004-11-23
    EDITION

    Computer Business
    Review: MySQL
    Prepares for Version
    5.0

    LinuxDevices:
    LinuxWorld Boston
    2005 Announces
    Keynote Speakers

    Install XAMPP for
    easy, integrated
    development

    Fashionistas meet
    penguinistas

    LinuxElectrons:
    MySQL Ships
    Easy-to-Use Visual
    Database Tools

    Linux.com: A
    child-safe SMTP
    whitelist with
    Postfix and MySQL

    A child-safe SMTP
    whitelist with
    Postfix and MySQL

    LinuxElectrons:
    MySQL Completes
    Another Record Year

    Mastering Internet
    Video: A Guide to
    Streaming and
    On-Demand Video

    Domain Name Basics:
    An Introduction

    Introducing Maya 6:
    3D for Beginners

    Automatic
    Ad-Rotation in
    JavaScript

    Software Review:
    Advanced Web Ranking

    Java Reflection in
    Action: Using Java's
    Dynamic Proxy

    HTML 4.01 in
    Netscape and
    Explorer

    Using the DOCTYPE
    Tag

    JavaServer Faces in
    Action: Introducing
    JavaServer Faces

    Photoshop Elements 3
    Solutions, Pt. 1.

    Stereoscopic Vision
    in JavaScript

    what is grok?