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ICSTIS in meltdown - MPs







ICSTIS in meltdown - MPs

ICSTIS in meltdown - MPs 07/01/2004 10:39 AM

Clean up premium rate industry - or else




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ICSTIS in meltdown - MPs

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Andrew Dice Clay loses it on CNN/fn. Just lovely. Don't have any details on this but it's worth a look.

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On the meltdown at the Guardian...


On the meltdown at the Guardian... 03/14/2003 12:59 PM

Mad outbursts in national newspapers are like the rays of sunshine glinting through the storm clouds of international news. It's lovely to be able to sense the person who wrote the news, and get a sense of his or her vibrant perspective on the events they're writing about. It adds interest to information that you might otherwise wish to totally disregard. Like for example information on Cricket! So let's turn towards today's cricket report on Guardian Unlimited. It starts reasonably enough:

"It's really simple: India are already through, New Zealand have to win."

But then it goes a little pear-shaped:

"Meanwhile, have you ever thought what sort of life is this and what the hell am I doing boarding a train for Moorgate at 6.30 In the morning and then standing around for ages waiting for a tube while staring at a sign telling you that if you wait for four minutes you can board a train to Uxbridge I'd rather wait four hours for a journey with the Grim Reaper quite frankly and then you get to work and then there's this and I know the cricket's good and all that but I've got out of the wrong side of bed this morning and in any case it's not as if I'll write a cracking match report and then get rewarded by being sent on a wonderful assignment around the world because I'll be very surprised if any of my bosses will read any of this let's be honest they won't although on the other hand that's probably just as well.."

And that's before the weblog-style grumpy commentary kicks in! I mean - classy, fascinating comments emerge like, "Asger Kring works for a Copenhagen media company that publishes several newspapers. "Do you want me to inquire whether they are looking for an over-by-over commentary guy?" Yes. Yes. YES! YES! YES!!!! Not that I'm desperate or anything." By the ninth over, people are writing in with their improvisational 'hit the keyboard with your fists' comments:

"I must have a different keyboard-banging technique from Leonard," types John Kirby with his big fists. "I get 'ytcdskljojnvds.lkzsedli;j un fesalmjni vfesa;lmija;mju fceiv faewj;omivrewaomiu; svfeomijuhlvesmu;oilgvrstmjloivtrseomiju,' which looks rather like Finnish."

God, my sides would be shaking hard as Shakin' Stephens if it wasn't (as Matt has pointed out to me) potentially a 'wacky' Red Nose Day thing. Wouldn't that just drain all the life out of it? Like all the life out of it? I hate Red Nose Day. It's so desperate and tiring and forced. And they think they're being so cool and down with the kids. Grrr. Wankers.


Motherboard meltdown


Motherboard meltdown 07/25/2004 08:56 AM
My motherboard completely melted this morning. One minute I'm computing fine, the next my screen is frozen. On a cold boot, it can't get past the opening bios welcome screen. I can't even enter the bios setup page. Heck, it was almost a year old, so it lasted longer than most of my electronic equipment. And I was in the market to spend a few hundred dollars getting myself back to where I was anyway. Sigh....

Ski Industry Facing Meltdown?


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Other News: Internet Meltdown


Other News: Internet Meltdown 03/08/2004 11:09 PM
"People For Internet Responsibility is pleased to preliminarily announce an 'emergency' conference aimed at preventing the 'meltdown' of the Internet."

BT reveals phones meltdown cause


BT reveals phones meltdown cause 06/09/2004 11:54 PM
News.bbc.co.uk - Wed Jun 9, 03:57 pm GMT

The Factor of Four: Preparing Yourself
for Economic Meltdown


The Factor of Four: Preparing Yourself
for Economic Meltdown
06/22/2005 02:38 AM
diceThe cover story of this month's Atlantic is editor James Fallows' Countdown to a Meltdown, a look at the implications of reckless Bush-Greenspan economic policies for the next generation. The only thing that isn't entirely credible to any student of history about Fallows' portrait of coming economic collapse is the date -- while he sees it coming quickly and convulsively by 2016, I believe it will take a full generation to play itself out, and I would have been happier to see his scenario placed closer to the centennial of the last horrific depression, which was also caused by reckless economic mismanagement -- 2029. But aside from the date, you need only read the history books (and the very recent history of countries like Argentina) to see the rationale, and even the inevitability, of Fallows' predictions.

The article is still on the newsstands, and hence not yet available online, but in essence it sees three deliberate Bush-Greenspan policies leading to economic collapse in 2009:
  • Starving the government -- funding massive tax cuts for the rich by incurring monstrous debts that will have to be paid off by future generations and administrations,
  • Complete reliance on cheap energy, commodities and Chinese manufactured goods instead of promoting conservation, and
  • A policy of artificially suppressing interest rates to encourage reckless borrowing at all levels (personal, corporate and government), so that saving is discouraged, seniors cannot generate enough interest income to live on, and the economy becomes extremely fragile to economic changes (exactly as occurred in 1929).
The collapse scenario identifies a number of changes that occur like falling dominoes. What is interesting is that, much like the articles I have read about Peak Oil, about the non-sustainability of low interest rates, and about coming bubble burst in housing prices and (again) in stock markets, there is a recurrent 'Factor of Four' in this scenario1:
  • Energy, heat and electricity prices will rise by a factor of four ($160/barrel and $9/gallon)
  • The prices of goods dependent on energy will rise by a factor of four (foods, which grow in oil-derived nitrogen fertilizers and chemicals; anything transported a significant distance; plastics and medicines; clothes made with synthetic fibres; asphalt and tar for roads and roofing; furniture with hydrocarbon-based fire-retardants and cushion fillers; cosmetics and cleaners; coatings, paints and dyes)
  • Inflation, interest and mortgage rates will rise by a factor of four (making most debts unrepayable, leading to massive defaults, foreclosures and evictions)
  • The value of homes, stocks and bonds will fall by a factor of four (wiping out personal net worth, collateral and retirement savings)
  • The value of the US dollar will fall by a factor of four relative to most other currencies
  • The unemployment rate will rise by a factor of four
  • Business failures will rise by a factor of four (and foreign companies will bail out and buy out most large US businesses, since the US government will have no revenues to continue to bail them out)
  • Tax revenues will fall by a factor of four (bankrupting many municipal and state governments, and possibly the US federal government as well)
Fallows' thesis is that, even more than economic bungling, the Bush-Greenspan ideology of government doing as little as possible (other than pursuing insanely expensive foreign imperialistic wars and trampling on civil liberties) will soon lead to an America that has squandered all four of its competitive advantages:
  • A healthy rate of savings, providing resiliency in the face of downturns
  • Investment in good public infrastructure (e.g. in health care and transportation)
  • Investment in education (and in the key assets -- people and knowledge -- of value in the 21st century)
  • Investment in innovation (e.g. in real research)

It seems to me that progressives' inability to explain to the average voter the importance of these competitive advantages (not easy in our dumbed-down world, but doable) is one of the key reasons they are, at least in the US, in the political wilderness2.

The consequence of this "every man for himself" doctrine is that in the event of a severe economic downturn (and there is evidence it has already begun if you look at the real indicators and not the phony ones like GNP), the vast majority will be "priced out of any chance for real opportunity". The consequence of a population (a global population, because the US will take down most of the rest of the world with it) which is without hope of climbing out of desperate circumstances is almost too horrible to imagine -- we need only look to Afghanistan, Rwanda, Palestine, or Darfur to see what happens when people just give up trying.

Fallows suggests that only the rich and powerful elite will be immune to, and separated from, the effects of this economic collapse. Shielded by security guards in their homes, limos, penthouse offices and retirement villas from the staggering masses, they will be oblivious to it all (my grandparents regularly handed out food and other essentials to house-to-house beggars in the 1930s, to the great consternation of some of their peers and neighbours, who feared hordes of others would follow -- they didn't).

But it seems to me that there's a second way to insulate yourself from the impact of economic collapse, other than by becoming fabulously wealthy. And that is to be prepared. If you knew that in ten years the Factor of Four would be upon us, and the eight drastic changes in rates and prices bulleted above would then be in effect, what would you do starting now to prepare for it?

The obvious steps:
  • Reduce your need for energy: Buy an energy-efficient vehicle. Insulate your home better. Conserve energy. Reduce your need to work (by Radical Simplicity) or at least your need to commute. Strive for energy independence (explore community wind projects, solar and geothermal energy options). But make sure your replacement for oil doesn't depend on corn -- because corn depends on both subsidized oil (for fertilizer etc.) and subsidized agribusiness, neither of which is sustainable, especially in an economic collapse. Understand where your energy comes from -- oil may be running your car but filthy coal and vulnerable nukes probably provide your electricity, heat and air conditioning.
  • Buy local, natural and organic. Support small enterprises that depend less on government welfare. Buy stuff that lasts. Don't buy what you don't need.
  • Get out of debt. If you can't, go for low rates that are fixed for the entire term of the mortgage or loan. Pay off credit cards and other usurious loans on time every month. Don't buy non-essentials you can't pay for immediately.
  • Find out how you're exposed if the housing bubble bursts. If your house is suddenly appraised at much less than the amount of your mortgage, can you be required to pay down the mortgage in cash immediately? If so, are you prepared to just walk away from your house?
  • Find out how your savings are exposed if the stock and bond markets collapse. Will you have enough to retire on? To live on? Consider moving investments to 'near-cash' certificates that keep their value even when markets crash. Consider investments in Euros or other currencies less vulnerable than the US dollar.
  • Try to wean yourself off dependence on any government subsidies, pensions, and allowances, especially in the US. If the government suddenly becomes unable to pay its debts, it's not going to be able to pay you either. Just ask the ex-employees of Enron what that feels like.
  • Work to get Bush and Greenspan, and those with similar extreme economic policies, out of power. The earlier we start working on fixing the mess they've created, the better the chance for a 'soft' landing.
  • Don't hoard goods or other physical assets. It's wasteful, ineffective, selfish and expensive.
You don't need to do any of these things tomorrow, but it would be prudent to think seriously about doing them over the next few years. Think of it being like betting on a gambler in a casino who's on a roll, tossing sevens and elevens one after the other. If you cash out of the living-beyond-your-means lottery too early, you'll probably kick yourself for losing faith too soon, for not hanging in a little longer. But there's lots of evidence from history that the consequences of cashing out too late will be much worse. And alas, as with all gambles, you'll only know whether you did the right thing in hindsight.

A final thought from Fallows' article, and it's about education. He quotes Danish executive Niels Christian Nielsen, a Director of companies on both sides of the Atlantic, from a U.Cal presentation earlier this year on the subject:

The big difference between Europe and America is the proportion of people who come out of the [education] system really not being functional for any serious role. In Finland that is maybe 2-3%. In Europe in general maybe 15 or 20%. For the United States at least 30%, maybe more. In spite of all the press, Americans really don't get the education difference. They generally still feel this is a well-educated country and workforce. They just don't see how far the country is falling behind.

These two main themes from Fallows' scenario -- how reckless economic policy is leading inevitably to economic meltdown, and the importance of having a government that sets a good example of economic responsibility and public investment for the benefit of all its citizens -- are inextricably intertwined. Bush's failure on both counts threatens not only to lead to the ignominious end of the world's last superpower, but to drag the rest of the world needlessly into a long period of great suffering and deprivation in the process.

Notes:
1. One qualification about the Factor of Four, in case any economists or other number crunchers are reading this -- the rates and prices above are subject to continuous adjustment for changes in supply and demand. Because the domino effect will lower demand, prices that spike to quadruple current levels will fall off as a result of this adjustment, so in some cases the net effect may be closer to a Factor of Two or Three. Fallows' scenario reflects this. But if we're trying to visualize how such a change will affect our economy and our lives, thinking in terms of today's purchasing power, it still makes sense to use the Factor of Four.
2. I suspect that Europeans and Canadians take for granted the importance of these things, but do not really understand why they're important -- which is why it is not unthinkable that Bush-Greenspan thinking could happen elsewhere (as it did with Thatcherism), even without the religious undercurrent. That's something for us outside the US to think about seriously.

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E-mail meltdown claims take heat


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eyeing oracle for the orbitz meltdown


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mr. ellison, it's a bad thing for any service associated with plane flights to have to worry about "crashing"

Bank customers hit by computer meltdown


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Apple Courting Core Meltdown


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By Troy Wolverton, TheStreet.com


"Wizbang covered the Kerry meltdown"


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Internet meltdown predicted for tomorrow


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Tech Job Meltdown in Final Stages


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The bad news is that high-tech employers are set to lay off another 234,000 workers this year. But analysts say the high-tech industry should begin adding new jobs this spring.

"The Long Tail: Mainstream Media
Meltdown"


"The Long Tail: Mainstream Media
Meltdown"
04/13/2005 08:20 AM

The Long Tail: Mainstream Media Meltdown


The Long Tail: Mainstream Media Meltdown 04/13/2005 04:29 AM
The Mainstream Media Meltdown .. kind of a win-win .. very useful post

longtail.typepad.com/the_long_tail/2005/04/media_meltdown.html< br />track this site | 3 links


The Republican Party's Terri Schiavo
"meltdown"?


The Republican Party's Terri Schiavo
"meltdown"?
03/24/2005 07:54 PM
Numerous conservative bloggers continue to blast the Bush administration over the case -- and see a Republican Party in big trouble.

TCS: Tech Central Station - Mainstream
Meltdown


TCS: Tech Central Station - Mainstream
Meltdown
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MAINSTREAM MEDIA MELTDOWN? .. Pejman

techcentralstation.com/010305F.html
track this site | 4 links


Comair Blames Software Meltdown for
Flight Delays


Comair Blames Software Meltdown for
Flight Delays
12/31/2004 12:00 AM
After stranding tens of thousands of air passengers over the holidays, Comair has finally resumed its customary flight schedule. But upon blaming the delays on a "major computer malfunction," it joined U.S. Airways in the Department of Transportation's hot seat.

Comair computer meltdown raises backup
questions


Comair computer meltdown raises backup
questions
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MENAFN Dec 28 2004 3:47AM GMT

High-tech jobs continue to evaporate in
industry meltdown


High-tech jobs continue to evaporate in
industry meltdown
11/19/2003 01:33 AM
AP via New Jersey Online Nov 19 2003 0:34AM ET

High-tech employment stable after job
meltdown in 2001: StatsCan


High-tech employment stable after job
meltdown in 2001: StatsCan
11/17/2003 01:55 PM
Canadian Press via Canada.com Nov 17 2003 12:17PM ET

CNET News.com's Declan McCullagh
explains why Silicon Valley fears a
meltdown if trade and geopolitical fri


CNET News.com's Declan McCullagh
explains why Silicon Valley fears a
meltdown if trade and geopolitical fri
04/18/2005 08:41 AM
Sympatico Apr 18 2005 12:16PM GMT

Register Now for Meltdown 2004, July
27-28, 2004


Register Now for Meltdown 2004, July
27-28, 2004
06/17/2004 01:54 AM
Meltdown 2004 is two intense days for gaming industry experts to test your limits. Go one-on-one with leading hardware developers. Learn the latest news about gaming's hottest advances. Get straight-up answers to your toughest questions. Because there is more at Meltdown than any one person can absorb, most companies will want to send everyone who wants to learn how to get the most from Microsoft® Windows® XP and DirectX, as well as prepare for the next generation software development platform for gaming: XNA. This event isn't just for game developers anymore. Meltdown 2004 provides content for nearly everyone in the gaming business, with tracks covering graphics development, publishing/business development, Quality Assurance, game testing, and of course, a track for hardcore game programmers.
Grok Description matches for ICSTIS in meltdown - MPs
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ICSTIS in meltdown - MPs

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